Starts very soon (10:10am)
at Cincinnati (L. Castillo) +118 vs. Cubs (Hendricks)
11 games starting after 4pm PDT. Will be back closer to that with more (probably).
Starts very soon (10:10am)
at Cincinnati (L. Castillo) +118 vs. Cubs (Hendricks)
11 games starting after 4pm PDT. Will be back closer to that with more (probably).
Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com
Picked up a win on Cincy in extras.
They were up 4-2 in the 8th, and blew the lead, mostly thanks to Iglesias melting down after hating some questionable calls on balls. Then they won in the 12th thanks to a bases loaded walk. LOL
I've been on the fence on a lot of games, but ended up deciding to skip all of them. Just too many reasons not to pick every play I considered.
So maybe I'll change my mind, but for right now, that's it for the day.
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10-1 since May 13th, after scoring this win:
at Cincinnati (L. Castillo) +118 vs. Cubs (Hendricks) - WON +1.180
... and none of those 11 were big favorites, while some were big/moderate dogs. So this is a nice run.
GRAND TOTAL: 53-42-2, +13.769 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 31-21-2
Moneylines: 18-17 (a good deal ahead in units)
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As is often the case on Sundays, I'm having a hard time finding any games I like.
Considering one play for the Cle/Hou game, but that's not til 5pm, so I will look at that again later.
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Okay, I do have one wager today.
Cleveland (Carrasco) at Houston (McCullers) - Under 7.5 -115
Starts 5pm PDT
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Interestingly, while I haven't kept track of the exact numbers, roughly half my profits in MLB have been through moneylines this year (despite being only 18-17, due to underdogs), and the other half have been through unders. It's very close regarding which has made more money.
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If only it were always this easy...
Cleveland (Carrasco) at Houston (McCullers) - Under 7.5 -115 - WON +0.870
GRAND TOTAL: 54-42-2, +14.639 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 32-21-2
Sides: 18-17 (a good deal ahead in units)
Now 11-1 in MLB since May 12. I have never won 11 of 12 picks in any sport prior to this. None of these 11 were big favorites, btw.
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Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com
Think he had the under.
Miami (E. Hernandez) +122 at Mets (Vargas)
Kansas City (I. Kennedy) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8.5 -110
Miami game starting at 4:10pm PDT. St. Louis at 5:15pm.
NOTES:
Jason Vargas has a 13.86 ERA and has looked horrible since returning from the DL. There is no evidence he will pitch capably today. Elieser Hernandez is by no means a great option (he had troubles with walks in the minors this year, and doesn't strike out many), but this is a bet against Vargas and a depleted Mets lineup (Cespedes, Lagares, Frazier all out).
A very high percentage of money bet on the KC/StL total is on the over. So if you want to fade the public, here's your chance.
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You must have misunderstood my post. If I list the two teams and don't post a line next to either of them, but have a total listed after (such as "Under 8.5") then it's a total pick.
So looking at the pics I just posted today, I'm betting Miami +122 and KC under 8.5 -110.
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Thank you for clarification.
at Cincinnati (Harvey) +106 vs. Pittsburgh (Taillon)
Detroit (M. Boyd) at Minnesota (Lynn) - Under 9 -120
*** NOTES ***
Minnesota game is a bit weird, line-wise. Lance Lynn has been HORRIBLE this season, including recently, and yet you can get +153 against him. Even weirder? The public is piling on Detroit (which is unusual, for the public to pound the underdog), and the line keeps getting better -- known as reverse line movement. This looks very much like a Trapper John MD situation, and I'd stay away from the Detroit moneyline here, as tempting as it might be to get +153 against one of the worst starting pitchers in 2018 baseball. But I do like the under here.
Cincy game may get rained out. But no harm in firing a bet on it anyway.
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Right back into the W column with an easy 2-0 day. Not much of a sweat on either of them.
Record keeping:
5/21:
Miami (E. Hernandez) +122 at Mets (Vargas) - LOST -1
Kansas City (I. Kennedy) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8.5 -110 - WON +0.909
5/21 total: 1-1, -0.091 units
5/22:
at Cincinnati (Harvey) +106 vs. Pittsburgh (Taillon) - WON +1.060
Detroit (M. Boyd) at Minnesota (Lynn) - Under 9 -120 - WON +0.833
5/22 total: 2-0, +1.893 units
Last two days: 3-1, +1.802 units
GRAND TOTAL: 57-43-2, +16.441 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 34-21-2
Moneyline: 19-18 (a good deal ahead in units due to mostly underdogs)
I'm 14-2, +12.72 units since May 12
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Considered firing Detroit under again but decided to pass. Not clear enough for my liking.
I'll be back in the 3pm PDT hour to possible post afternoon/evening picks.
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Shouldn't doubt myself when on an epic hot run. Detroit under would have easily covered.
I had entered the bet and was about to hit submit, and then erased it. Ugh.
Only got one today.
Colorado (Freeland) at Dodgers (Maeda) - Under 7.5 -115
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May have missed a winning under early in the day, but I came right back with an actual winning under pick, to run my record to 15-2 since May 12.
Record:
Colorado (Freeland) at Dodgers (Maeda) - Under 7.5 -115 - WON +0.870
GRAND TOTAL: 58-43-2, +17.311 units
Overs: 2-3
Spread (-1.5): 2-1
Unders: 35-21-2
Moneyline: 19-18 (a good deal ahead in units due to mostly underdogs)
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Nothing this morning. May or may not post picks for the later games... later.
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Very last minute pick, so you probably can't bet it.
But for record keeping, here it is:
at Tampa Bay (Snell) +110 vs. Boston (Porcello)
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