Expected Value Discussion

[kewlJ]

Okay kewlj says EV accumulates.

You read it here first.

Alan doesn’t understand something. Heard it here first ��

Nothing new about this. Since I joined this site just about a year ago, Alan has been on a year long "agenda" to discredit me. I mean he has the same agenda with other AP's but with me, it has been pretty blatant. I don't know what it is about me that Alan hates so much that he works so hard to discredit me. To his credit, I don't think Alan's issues with me revolve around my sexuality, as some other members clearly do. My good friend Axelwolf thought it would be funny to announce that on my first day here.

But again, I don't think that is Alan's issue. If I had to guess, I would say my age plays into it with Alan. While he, a degenerative gambling addict doesn't like AP's that play with an advantage and make money instead of "donate" as he does year after year, It seems to really get Alan's goat that I, someone in my mid 30's has had some limited success, over 1.1 million total AP, $930k from blackjack, which is what I really consider myself, a blackjack card counter.

So as I have shared some experiences and techniques that I have incorporated into my play, Alan just goes berserk, challenging everything I say. The funny thing is that none of the concepts or techniques that I employ and Alan argues are anything I came up with, as everything I do is learned and taken from other players before me. Sometimes I put my own little twist on things, some necessary because of conditions that have changed, but the basic concepts come from very successful players that came before me.

So I make reference to tracking two tables when the opportunity is available, or some other thing and Alan goes berserk, because he is not familiar with it. Nevermind that several very well known and longtime successful players, will tell you they do the same. Alan who knows all, isn't familiar so he goes nuts trying to discredit me. The really funny part is that somewhere during these marathon discussion that will ensue, Alan will say "I am not a blackjack player but.....". However that doesn't stop him from trying to disprove and discredit what he admits he has no idea about.

One of my favorites, is related to or part of the "tracking two tables discussion". The concept of having an advantage with partial count or incomplete count. To Alan this is inconceivable. But it is a proven mathematical fact. Sure it is better to have as much information as possible, but partial counts can identify some pretty big advantageous situations. Partial counts are the basis of "Wonging in", named for Stanford Wong (pen name) a very successful player and "math guy". And many of the top teams have employed some measure of "wonging" and partial counts.

But it is news to Alan, a non-blackjack player, so he does his thing, trolling, challenging, and trying to discredit, what he has no idea about.