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Thread: My Florida Lottery Predictions!

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  1. #8
    Originally Posted by OnceDear View Post
    Originally Posted by Tasha View Post
    Originally Posted by OnceDear View Post
    There ya go Karen. A nice permanent, uneditable record of your dumbass predictions. We'll keep this safe for you along with your promise...


    That might just been one of your stupidest posts ever.
    Not really. I also said I would donate money to another certain website if none of my Pick 3 or Pick 4 predictions come up. I am THAT confident at least one of my picks is coming up that I made a foolhardy promise, twice.
    OK. Let's do some estimating shall we.
    The probability of one pick 3 number coming out in one draw is 1 in 1000
    The probability of one pick 4 number coming out in one draw is 1 in 10000

    Your selections covers 14 of the pick 3 possible outcomes and 11 of the pick 4 possible outcomes.
    Your selections doesn't cover 986 of the pick 3 possible outcomes and 9989 of the pick 4 possible outcomes.

    Let's look at the pick 3 draw...

    for you to have a bad draw where none of your pick 3 numbers came out, the outcome must be one of the sets of numbers you didn't cover. That has probability of 986/1000.
    Your forecast covers 2 daily draws for 14 days. that's 28 draws.
    The probability that you won't have a successful pick 3 over all those draws is (986/1000)^28= 0.6738 or 67%

    In other words, there is a 2/3 chance that you will be giving away $100...


    ... unless of course a pick 4 comes out, so lets do the math on that...
    For you to have a bad draw where none of your pick 4 numbers came out, the outcome must be one of the sets of numbers you didn't cover. That has probability of 9989/10000.
    Your forecast covers 2 daily draws for 14 days. that's 28 draws.
    The probability that you won't have a successful pick 3 over all those draws is (9989/10000)^28= 0.96965 or 97%

    Which is basically very slim fcuking chance.

    So, what's the probability that you just gave away $100?

    near as damn it 0.67 x 0.97 = 0.65 = 65%

    And if one of your numbers does come up... Dan will give you zero.

    A very generous offer you made.
    This is the problem with you Math Guys.

    I give Mission146 a bet and he runs the numbers and it is a bad bet so he says to me:
    "You think I'm Stupid?"

    After that I tell him to make the bet in his favor by the numbers.
    He tells me to Fuck Off.

    Next I tell him I will give the Prize Pool 500 dollars if he runs the game.
    He tells me to send the money to Dan Druff and that he won't play.
    Later he says I have to distribute the money and he will play.
    You Fucking Math guys are never happy... good bet or bad... free or not you just want to call people names and tell them to Fuck Off.
    Not only do you want to call them names and tell them to Fuck Off but you Math Guys love showing what idiots people are by the numbers.
    You guys are so smart to always tell on yourselves even to the Casino when the Casino is making bad bets.
    You Fucking Math Guys are some Real Geniuses!

    Tasha gives a chance at a 100 dollars for free to Dan Druff and Smart Guy Once Dear comes in here and runs the numbers...
    It turns out that it is a bad bet for Tasha but a Free roll at 65% for Dan Druff and what do the Math Guys say to the sucker... They call Tasha all sorts of names, idiot being one of them.

    The other problem with you so called Math Guys or APs or whatever you want to call yourselves is that...
    You guys have it all figured out to the decimal point and you know exactly what you will make on every play.
    You guys even pay your taxes and donate to charity or whatever.
    You have it all down to a Science or Business and it Sucks!

    What good is being a Grifter or an AP as you would call it if it is the same as being a Citizen?

    And by the way... Go Fuck Yourself Once Dear... You don't even have the Balls to post at WoV your true feelings.
    You are nothing but a Tool for Mike and the Minions.
    Last edited by monet; 08-09-2018 at 03:46 AM.

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