Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
So I'm asking you to explain it so a dumb person like me can understand.
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Sorry Alan. I was joking by repeating your name. There is a saying. Numbers never lie. People do. KJs numbers reflect his lies. Bouncing around like a pinball with HiLo to make $70-$75k annually? Hmmm. I don't think so.

Now, Alan. Consider playing 20 sessions a week where you are the one in control. Game selection is key. Even then, winning 60% of the sessions is considered better than average according to sims. Suppose $300 is your upside for a win and your downside for a loss. IF, you go 12 wins 8 losses, that's $1,200 a week profit. Hindparts sitting on leather about 300 hands a day or about 15 years a week.

A horrible week would be 2 wins 18 losses. This would be a disaster of $4,800 in the red. It's never happened to me because I've learned to duck and make large bets count. However, I've had some 18-2 weeks. That's when you begin to worry about getting 86ed. So the next week, you spread to different shifts.

There is always some guy in the sportsbook boasting he had a big bet on the 17 point dog straight up after they won. But no one ever sees him buy or cash a ticket. I've wondered why people tell such large tales and/or continue to repeat the same ones over and over again.

Rob Singer seems to have a pretty good handle on bullshiters. Maybe he could explain it to me.