Expected value and actual results run parallel to one another. If I am going to average 80k in actual results as I have for the last 4 years, my accumulated EV for those years will also average pretty close to that amount. In the longterm, you can't win xxx amount of money without accumulating xxx amount of EV. It is that simple!

In the short run the two measurements will fluctuate. (actually it is actual results that fluctuate....EV climbs steadily). But in the long run the two will and must be pretty close. You just can't win significant money without significant play and accumulating significant EV.

As a degenerate gambler, Alan, you focus on short-term results. But short-term results are meaningless. AP's focus on a longer run....longer term results, because that is what matters, not some short-term swing of a day or two. And that is what accumulated EV is...a way to measure where you are really at and where your actual results will be in the longterm.

And that day, back in the first week of January was a good day, because I found and played good games, got in significant rounds and built a good amount of daily EV. The actual results for that day or any short term period are just insignificant. It is just fluctuation or variance. And that works both ways. Had I won $20,000 that day, in the long run that day was only worth whatever EV I generated.

But Alan, you won't understand this explanation any more than the first because you don't think like an AP (longterm), you think like a degenerate gambler, because that is what you are I am afraid.

Here is one for you Alan. This year 2018, I am experiencing my best blackjack results ever so far. More than 50% increase of what my annual average is. And guess what, my accumulated EV is also significant higher than usual. The reason: I have played significantly more this year after my partner passed, putting in more time and this results in accumulating more EV and guess what....longterm, results will match that increase in accumulated EV....and they have. Are you beginning to see how this works? EV and actual results work in tandem in the longterm. Sure, short term, they will fluctuate as my results did that single day you continue to harp on, but longterm, they work in tandem. You can't have significant winnings without accumulating significant EV.


Now, Alan, if you can't, won't or don't understand this concept then I don't know what to tell you, other than it is beyond my ability to explain it to you....maybe someone else can get through to you but I doubt it because I believe you don't want to understand, so you simply won't understand.