Yea, there are many examples yesterday and they turned out right for the “smart” money. The Bears were easy money looking back at it. It’s the type bet I have made for years, but some years they never win. That’s a generalization but it just seems that way sometimes, same as Cleveland, wins this week, loses others but still the “right” bet. That said I had Tampa yesterday and it was a pure against the grain play based on 10 days off and coming off a loss for NO. And it looked good for a while but went bad late. Others will always play 8+ point favorites on the road religiously. Of course they also had NE yesterday.
I grew up betting wise on Roxy and the Barbary Coast book as religion and idols of the know all ideologies when it came to Sports Betting. And today’s books do put too much stock into analytics, like a certain Phillies GM, but overall they still make money. And I’m not willing to go as far as saying they are costing the books money. In my mind I would love to believe they are opening incredible opportunities for smart bettors, but my history tells me otherwise.
My thought is the expansion of Sports Betting will bring more players in the arena and books overcompensate on lines. But my history tells me a few large bettors will kill any incorrect lines quickly.
The expansion of sports betting is probably multiple show discussions in itself. But in the end, as we both know, we are always learning, looking for opportunities and in the end, the House edge is still there. Or we could just fade Singer and get rich.
Sorry I missed you in Vegas. Was in Florida, Vegas and PA in the past week. Enjoyed beers in all 3, but when you in Vegas and need a beer, try Sin City on the strip. The Amber is the closest to a Yuengling Lager.