The rollercoaster that is professional card counting.

[Moses]

I suppose, as the "sports guy," it's my fiduciary duty to make a comment here, so I will.

I have a real difficult time when a nonchalant comment is made like "sports betting providing more income than blackjack" or something in that neighborhood. There seems to be some general public myth that doing some conscientious data mining and trend analysis can yield a modest but consistent profit across many sports consistently for years.

That is a myth. It's more likely true that absolutely religious numbers monitoring and arbitrage can yield profits, but even that is rare, and it requires 24/7 monitoring of multiple shops and offshores, using every tool at one's disposal..

Research, finding value, and discipline. Blackjack, Stock Market, Housing market, Sports bets. It all comes down to hard work. I've been to those Monday morning QB meetings in the sports book. Hell, don't tell me what I could've done yesterday. Tell me, what is the best opportunity next Sunday. The Lakers getting 3 at Indy. Hell, I thought the line was reversed. I got the overnight line at like 3pm the previous day. Highly unusual. They norm is around 6pm. Boston only giving 3 to Detroit last night. Yes, Irving was out. But we could've put Bosox at point guard and they still would've covered. The line dropped to my standard about 30 minutes before go time. So I had to scramble a bit.

Tampa at Pittsburgh for -110 in hockey. Are you kidding me? That was an incredible value. But they lost. Two nights later -150 at New York Islanders. Not such a good price. I passed and they won. My point is, always seek value and price and the dollars take care of themselves.

Most guys get a daily or weekly sheet and handicap from that sheet. My work is all front loaded. So it's a matter of waiting for the game to come to me. I should bet more than I do. However, betting less than I can is the real detriment because it's easier to chase.

NHL Toronto at Arizona. Price will be too high. Tampa at Columbus on February 18 may offer some value. NBA San Antonio at Toronto on February 22. Probably more points than I'd want to give. But I did get them at home vs Utah on 1/1/19 for -2.