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Thread: Dan Druff's MLB picks 2019

  1. #81
    Won with the Yankees Saturday.

    Two small home favorites today:

    St. Louis (G. Cabrera) -108 vs. Cincinnati (L. Castillo)
    NOTES: Sharps love the Cardinals here. The magic has worn off for Castillo, who has looked hittable in his last few outings.

    Angels (Canning) -107 vs. Oakland (Montas)
    NOTES: Rookie Canning has quietly been excellent.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  2. #82
    Lost both yesterday.

    Fired on these, moments before they started:

    Yankees (Paxton) at Toronto (Thornton) - Under 8.5 -105
    Cleveland (Clippard) +112 vs. Minnesota (M.Perez)
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  3. #83
    Washington (Corbin) at San Diego (Lucchesi) - over 7.5 -120
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  4. #84
    Won yesterday.

    Washington (Fedde) -112 at San Diego (Margevicius) -- Wheels have fallen off for single-A minor leaguer Margevicius

    Dodgers (Kershaw) -1.5 -150 at San Francisco (Pomeranz) -- Wheels have fallen off for Pomeranz's career. ERA is over 8. He's done.

    Incidentally, if you really think Kershaw is going to choke, you can get SF -2.5 at +1003 on 5Dimes.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  5. #85
    0-2 thanks to a disaster in the 9th for Washington. Ugh.

    One game starting soon, one starting in like 90 min.

    Pittsburgh (Musgrove) +132 at Atlanta (Gausman) - Take a look at how Gausman has been pitching lately

    Chicago (F. Yu) +120 at Colorado (Marquez) - Pains me to back F. Yu, but he's been better as of late, and Marquez is garbage in Coors, and has been since last year.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  6. #86
    Screwed yesterday with Musgrove's early ejection, leading to that losing. Chicago blew a lead and lost, too.

    Here are two games starting shortly

    Miami (E. Hernandez) +139 at St. Louis (Hudson) - Hernandez with 1.19 ERA in minors this year
    Oakland (Fiers) +141 at Tampa Bay (Stanek) - Jalen Beeks likely to pitch for TB
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  7. #87
    Reverse Trapper John alert:

    Despite all appearances that Houston should be the clear favorite, and despite most of the money going on Houston, the line has consistently been moving toward even money, and the sharps have been on the Brewers.

    Milwaukee (Peralta) +106 at Houston (Peacock)
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  8. #88
    Only won the Oakland pick, so I lost 0.59 units.

    Today

    St. Louis (Mikolas) at Miami (Yamamoto) - Under 8 -115

    Yamamoto is making his Major League debut.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  9. #89
    An ugly 8th inning 3-run HR by Granderson killed the Miami under on Wednesday by just one run.

    Today:

    Miami (T. Richards) -116 vs. Pittsburgh (Brault) -- can you believe it? taking Marlins as favorite

    Minnesota (Gibson) -1.5 -115 vs. Kansas City (Keller) -- warning: super public play

    Angels (Heaney) at Tampa Bay (Snell) - Under 7.5 -108 -- Snell's abilities well known, Heaney has a great K/BB ratio & WHIP, and his 5.40 ERA is misleading
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  10. #90
    Only won the Minnesota. Lost other two.

    Starting in a few:

    San Francisco (Bumgarner) -1.5 +178 vs. Milwaukee (Nelson) - Only Nelson's 2nd start since 2017, first start went poorly
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  11. #91
    Another run line:

    Washington (Strasburg) -1.5 -115 vs. Arizona (Clarke)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  12. #92
    Ugh... already 2-0 Dbacks on two solo HR.

    Anyway, here's two more for later:

    Pittsburgh (Agrazal) at Miami (P. Lopez) - Under 7.5 -105 - Lopez has been very good, numbers were bloated by single start awhile back with 10 ER. Agrazal first ML start but has done well in the minors this year.

    Seattle (G. Bautista) +192 at Oakland (Montas) - Tommy Milone to pitch 2nd inning and beyond, and has been surprisingly effective in 2019. This game popular with sharps, and has had reverse line movement.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  13. #93
    Ended up going 1-3 on Saturday, only winning the Miami under. SF was up 8-6 going to the 9th, but allowed a run. Had they held, I would have had a winning day.

    Today:

    Okay, I know I haven't been hot in baseball lately, and the Orioles have lost 6 in a row but....

    Baltimore (Ynoa) +200 at Oakland (Bre. Anderson)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  14. #94
    Posted this on my Pokerfraudalert forum a few minutes before the game.

    This one already started but here it is for record keeping:

    NY Mets (Matz) +139 at Atlanta (Fried)

    I was close to going with Detroit as a big dog against Pittsburgh and the just-off-the-DL Trevor Williams, but didn't because Zimmerman for Detroit is so bad. But now Detroit is up 2-0. Ugh.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  15. #95
    Here is one for tonight:

    Angels (Canning) -110 at St. Louis (Wacha)

    Aside from one good start against the Marlins, Wacha has been a disaster this season, with a 6.00 ERA and 1.735 WHIP. 3 of his last 4 starts have resulted in 6-7 runs in fewer than 5 innings. Canning has a mediocre ERA (3.93) and has had a bit of an issue with the HR (9 in 50 innings), but he has a stellar 0.993 WHIP and is averaging more than a strikeout per inning. He is considered a potential up-and-coming star.
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  16. #96
    I've been super cold lately, but I'm going to fire one more before taking my usual Sunday break.

    Brian Johnson is starting for the Sawks, who hasn't gone more than 3 innings this year, mostly pitching in relief. It does not appear the Sawks are using him as an opener. They're actually starting him. He's not as bad as his 10.00 ERA indicates, as 7 of his ER came from one outing. But he's not good, nor is he expected to lats long.

    Toronto is using Derek Law as an opener, and the ball is expected to be handed to Sam Gavilglio after an inning or so. Gaviglio has a mediocre 4.47 ERA, but his WHIP is under 1.100, and he has a nice 45/7 K/BB rate.

    Sharps like the Toronto side, and there's been some reverse line movement, as well.

    Toronto +162 (Law) at Boston (B. Johnson)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  17. #97
    Tampa (Morton) -113 at Minnesota (Odorizzi)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  18. #98
    San Francisco (Beede) -105 vs. Arizona (Young)
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

  19. #99
    Back to the sports degeneracy now that I'm no longer concentrating on the WSOP.

    KC (Junis) +114 vs. Chicago White Sox (Giolito)
    Pittsburgh (Musgrove) at St. Louis (Mikolas) - Under 8 -103
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  20. #100
    Hit 'em both yesterday.

    Baltimore (Wojciechowski) +166 vs. Washington (Voth)

    Both of these pitchers suck. Anything can happen.

    Starting in a few minutes.

    Wavered on this one but decided to fire. I hate betting the Orioles.

    GL me
    Check out my poker forum, and weekly internet radio show at http://pokerfraudalert.com

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