The lack of new bonus machines

[tableplay]

Anyway, I'm sure your stats friend along with your team of quants can help you determine when Farmville is a play, so there is no need to ask here about when it is a play. Markov chains, Backpropagation Neural Networks, Black Scholes Options Models, Deep Learning Neural Networks, Simulated Bifurcation Algorithms, Genetic Algorithms. Your team can just run Farmville on its supercomputers - you'll have the numbers pegged exactly in no time !

I knew about Buffalo Diamond before it became popular. I got a buddy of mine from Vegas to give me the numbers before other AP’s or Hustlers knew about the game.

We already knew where the machines were located
https://www.aristocrat-us.com/where-to-play

If you didn’t play in the first few weeks you missed out on the high information asymmetry. Same with FarmVille.

I wrote before I don’t play every game, e.g. the Must Hits because I don’t like banging on the buttons for hours. I specialized on certain bonus machines, especially the ones with design exploits. Any monkey can figure the easy Scarab plays but not the hard ones. Same with Wild Pirates, Fortune Rooster, etc.

There is something about a game that we know that most bonus hustlers miss: take Jurassic Park Trilogy, you get more bonus symbols for the 4th column than the 2nd column but the plays are mostly on the 2nd column. Take Wild Explosion, there’s a 6-cell sweet spot to chase and a simple rule to follow. Take Star Goddess where the perimeters cells expand only to 6 cells. These knowledge of little things reduce our losses and variance. That doesn’t happen on MH’s, Buffalo Diamond, FarmVille, etc.

We knew about Pop ‘N Play when it first landed in Robinson casino in Nice in Lake County in April 2019. We know plays in small casinos and out of the way casinos with little or no competition. We know where the IGT 5 for 2 VBJ machines are still located, e.g. one machine was at Colusa for 4 short months before an AP burn it out. Cache Creek has single 0 Video Roulette machine to cycle your free play. We know where the 99.5% machines are in Red Hawk. There are still progressive Keno AP’s at an unnamed casino.

Lots of easy money to be made so no need to waste brain cells on games where our ROIC is poor since everyone knows about it. How are we going to get an meaningful edge when teams are camping out on Buffalo Diamond or FarmVille? Btw, you never see 25 on the lowest level in FarmVille; due to competition, someone will play it at 22.

So don’t under-estimate option pricing theory for asymmetrical payoffs. And play bonus machines no one knows about because others haven’t figured them out. Unlike you, I got a guy who cracks bonus slots as a hobby so I get lots of leads. He makes his money selling plays to APs; sometimes it’s a poorly designed promo, other times it’s a 99.7% video poker game by mistake, etc.

So pick your best plays.

EVBandit, you missed a Nor-Cal casino that has single zero roulette (video). You missed a casino in northern Nevada that has 5 for 2 BJ with 5 for 2 after the split if you get a two-card 21 after the split. You missed listing a machine that is very common in Nor-Cal casinos that is a huge moneymaker. Your assumptions about my familiarity with option pricing math (Binomial model and Black Scholes) are way off. But assume whatever you want - I don't give a fuck.
BTW with Scarab, if you are talking about the power of 2nd column scarabs (same fucking thing with Wild Pirates), I already figured it out.
With regard to the Ainsworth, you are referring to the implied volatility and option delta - that is the delta between the current progressive value and the average value of the current value and the max, which you can then plug into an option pricing model (available all over the web - bring your smart phone to the casino). I don't play these, so I don't give a fuck (people camp out until these open up), and so I never bothered to get a smart phone.
Why you are asking about the minimum Farmville numbers for it to be considered a play when you wrote that they're a waste of time is anyone's guess.