The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

[Rob.Singer]

Coach, can you or anyone else show us the math that says the vast majority of time you will be ahead at some point in a session?

Mission did the math and confirmed this earlier on this forum, in response to my questioning about VP.

Search through his posting history and you'll find it.

I'm assuming if it applies to VP, then it applies to Bac as well, since they are both card games.

But, not sure my assumption is correct.

Nope. Mission didn't do any math showing the vast majority of time a player will be ahead at some point in a session of video poker or baccarat. You see, it can't be done. No mathematician in history has been able to write that equation. You just can't pull it off in these kind of negative expectation games.

There's a little more to this. First, I know of no overall equation that defines how often a player can be ahead when discussing individual VP sessions. There's many different games, and multiple ways to play each game.

However, for an article I did in Gaming Today I did take a look at how often (session-wise) a player is ahead minimum 5 credits playing BP in a 6-level progression with $10,000 ($1/$2/$5/$10/$25/$100). It came out to between 95%-96% of the sessions. I played a lot of sessions but can't remember the number. I also made money on it, but not anything earth-shaking.

I also don't know a thing about how table games would fare. But I caution: this guy Mdawg wouldn't be posting pictures of money, a rolex, markers etc. and blabbing about winning every single time, Hawaii trips, a skinny wife, lifting weights, being some high-powered "LA businessman" and how many comps he gets ALL THIS TIME CURIOUSLY WITHOUT PICTURES if he weren't seriously lacking in the self-confidence that SHOULD come with such claims if they were anything close to being true.

We're being punked by a doofus.