Originally Posted by
Alan Mendelson
Rob, you of all people know the difference between "expected return" and "actual return." There is nothing wrong with deciding how to play or what to play using "expected return." And we all know that "actual return" can and most likely will differ from "expected return."
You, yourself, even say that you will play the best possible paytable available. But when it's not, you play the best game you can the best way you can. Okay, no one can fault you for that because we probably all do that.
When I am at Caesars and lack the budget to play the $5 games for the 8/5 Bonus Poker, I'm stuck playing the $1 and $2 machines which have 7/5 Bonus on them. That's just the reality of life.
But if I were able to choose which game to play and my budget was not an issue, I would certainly prefer the 8/5 Bonus at the $5 level.
Of course the bottom line -- what you win or lose -- is the most important factor. I don't think there is anyone whose goal is to play the "better game" rather than to win money. But we all know that playing the better game can help us win money.
By the way, I figured that my new "budget" for playing the $2 Aces and Faces game at Rincon in an attempt to reach 2,500 tier points per visit should be in the range of $500. This Thursday I have the following free play promotions available to me:
$165 weekly free play
$100 guaranteed "mystery money" but the other "choices" are $75, $200, $350, $1000 so I will choose the "mystery option"
$120 "Total Play" extra promotion that is available at midnight
So my guaranteed free play for Thursday night is $385, and the least free play I can get is $310 if I get the lowest payout on the mystery money.
I think this is a "good play" on Thursday.