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I go back to the line from the trial of the late, great Mike Stockunas (interstate bookmaker extraordinaire). When the prosecuting attorney asked Stockunas' assistant, who was on the witness stand, if he knew what a parlay was, the assistant replied, "Yes sir (clearing throat). It's a really stupid bet," which brought laughter from the many in attendance and a warning from the judge to the audience.
To give people a sense of what's "normal" ATS, I'm in a forced-choice competition at Youwager.lv. You must pick six NFL games ATS each week. Currently, I'm 39-32-1 ATS. That puts me 77th out of 822 contestants heading into tonight's game.
For me to find six NFL sides ATS with no totals is like squinting for gnats, but so far, so good. Two years ago, I cashed with a tie for second or third in this thing. I think I was 18 games over .500 or thereabouts, which is really something. Probably the best I've ever done high-volume in the NFL.
Look, I meant no offense this time, lol.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
Quote:
Originally Posted by monetSo, you probably already been hedging and devaluing the 50-1.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
Keep us posted!
Actually, monet, I have not. I have, however (since I don't particularly like Tennessee), bet against them a bunch of times -- Oklahoma (winner), Alabama (loser), Kentucky (winner), Florida (winner), and Miss State (winner). Bear in mind that these were teaser bets, so a win is really only a half win while the loss is a full loss.
But I appreciate the insinuation that I'm being less than stellar with my reporting.
Wait, wait, let me guess. I'm not reporting my moneyline bet on UTEP to beat them outright.
You stated many times that you make future bets.
And you admitted that you always hedge against those bets.
You keep bringing up the 50-1 payoff, but we all know it's not gonna end with those numbers.
I guess I assumed incorrectly.
The whole teaser semi-hedge thing is kind of wild.
I dunno.
You're just sharper.
Congrats.
You keep crushing them like you've been doing now for decades.
I'm gonna keep doing what I do.
You don't post winning picks, for free, on VCT constantly.
I do.
Even Dan Druff be posting 1000s of more winning picks than you.
Even you have to admit this was before the modern technology era with algorithms, smart phones, rebates, promotions and kickbacks.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
But yet again, you are not over here helping any of us giving us like one game a week or something.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
3 and 4 Teamers in.
We also bet a 2 Teamer.
Rangers PL
Kings PL
If everything goes sideways, we can always play it straight on the Kings Puck Line at 7:30 Pacific Time.
Quote:
Originally Posted by monetBut yet again, you are not over here helping any of us giving us like one game a week or something.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
Monet, you do realize literally everything I posted here has made some money, even if just a sliver. Most of it has been chunks.
I think I'll just keep that unblemished record intact.
Quote:
Originally Posted by monetEven you have to admit this was before the modern technology era with algorithms, smart phones, rebates, promotions and kickbacks.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
Monet, there have always been algorithms, rebates, promotions, and kickbacks.
The "silent killer" playing parlays under the "moderne" conditions is that you do not do the math to account for the loss of advantage of shopping. You do the math presuming all available lines have the same outcomes.
Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
I'm stupid, you're smart.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietzQuote:
Originally Posted by monetEven you have to admit this was before the modern technology era with algorithms, smart phones, rebates, promotions and kickbacks.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
Monet, there have always been algorithms, rebates, promotions, and kickbacks.
The "silent killer" playing parlays under the "moderne" conditions is that you do not do the math to account for the loss of advantage of shopping. You do the math presuming all available lines have the same outcomes.
I was wrong, you were right.
You're the best, I'm the worst.
You're attractive, I'm not very good looking.
Not so good.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Lose 4 Hun.
I was so depressed that I didn't even go back to make the Straight Bet.
I just hid under the covers and slept for 4 hours.
Good Times.
Individual games get mispriced by the books. Yet, somehow, by magic, more complex instruments (Parlays) are set dead right by the books and don't get mispriced. Not. If anything, complex instruments are much harder to price correctly than their simpler counterparts (individual games).
The fade with Parlays is the variance, not the EV. Those that are variance tolerant (Monet for example) can find wildly chaotic mispricings (Butterfly Effect).
Get your fat ass up, maybe even take a shower, buy a couple eight balls (because at your size one won’t do it) and head down to rub & tug massage parlor. While it will ruin the human trafficking victims day it might cheer you up a little. Better investment than your parlays.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetNot so good.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Lose 4 Hun.
I was so depressed that I didn't even go back to make the Straight Bet.
I just hid under the covers and slept for 4 hours.
Good Times.
Come on, the books are counting on their parlay boy to not give up.
LolQuote:
Originally Posted by The BozGet your fat ass up, maybe even take a shower, buy a couple eight balls (because at your size one won’t do it) and head down to rub & tug massage parlor. While it will ruin the human trafficking victims day it might cheer you up a little. Better investment than your parlays.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetNot so good.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Lose 4 Hun.
I was so depressed that I didn't even go back to make the Straight Bet.
I just hid under the covers and slept for 4 hours.
Good Times.
Come on, the books are counting on their parlay boy to not give up.
Today is a pretty good example of what you are talking about.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
I didn't even want to bet but this two teamer pays nearly 9 to 1.
You can't lose with these coin flip matchups and those odds.
People look at these parlays like they look at football but it's completely different.
The Puck Line changes everything.
Whatever though.
2 Teamer
Bruins Puck Line
Utah Hockey Club Puck Line
I put a few bills on it.
Why not us?
Just because we’re down, and we’re fat, and we’re ugly, and we’re broke, doesn’t mean it’s over.
That's why the Puck Line is so Fucking Fragile.
You can literally move it 20 points with a thousand dollar bet.
They have these lines set at the wrong numbers all the time.
Everyone is free to do and think what they want.
I've been doing it and living in it for just about 40 years now.
2 Teamers or more do not move the Puck Line For Everyone's Information.
That guy wasn't talking about NHL Puck Line Parlays.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietzQuote:
Originally Posted by monetEven you have to admit this was before the modern technology era with algorithms, smart phones, rebates, promotions and kickbacks.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
Monet, there have always been algorithms, rebates, promotions, and kickbacks.
The "silent killer" playing parlays under the "moderne" conditions is that you do not do the math to account for the loss of advantage of shopping. You do the math presuming all available lines have the same outcomes.
I don't even think they had a Puck Line when he was in court.
So much activity in this Fucking Thread that it's only a matter of time before Bill Yung shows up and starts screaming.
For monet:
The Riddler has made money on every play. Admittedly, some were minimal, razor's edge profits, but most were not. So to wrap up his posting, and especially for monet, who loves long shots, I give you the final definitive riddle. And, just for monet, to make it interesting, it can be bet as a parlay (not saying it should be, but it CAN be).
Riddle Me This:
From the Land of Hanging Kickers
Who couldn't Kick Out the Stool,
And Pummeling the Man in Red
Because He Was a Fool.
To the Land Where Dawgs are Barking,
Where Misdirections Live.
The Snapping Meets the Soaring
And Something's Gotta Give.
The Riddler
Have a fine 2025.
I stopped following Collegiate Football in the late 90s.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
I stopped following the NFL around 2010 or so.
I suck at riddles.
Dogs, Indiana or whatever.
Just post the freaking pick.
Make it plain and simple for me to understand.
Thank You.
Was a good try.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetToday is a pretty good example of what you are talking about.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
I didn't even want to bet but this two teamer pays nearly 9 to 1.
You can't lose with these coin flip matchups and those odds.
People look at these parlays like they look at football but it's completely different.
The Puck Line changes everything.
Whatever though.
2 Teamer
Bruins Puck Line
Utah Hockey Club Puck Line
I put a few bills on it.
Why not us?
Just because we’re down, and we’re fat, and we’re ugly, and we’re broke, doesn’t mean it’s over.
These games were tight.
Could have easily gone either way.
Lose 200.
Mix and Match Day.
It's your money, bet'em how you want to.
Wild Puck Line
Devils Puck Line
Stars Puck Line
Blue Jackets Puck Line
Jets Puck Line
Kraken Puck Line
Predators Puck Line
Hurricanes Puck Line
Canucks Puck Line
MONEY LINE BETS
Flames
Bruins
Just pulling shit out your ass at this point.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetWas a good try.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetToday is a pretty good example of what you are talking about.Quote:
Originally Posted by tableplay
I didn't even want to bet but this two teamer pays nearly 9 to 1.
You can't lose with these coin flip matchups and those odds.
People look at these parlays like they look at football but it's completely different.
The Puck Line changes everything.
Whatever though.
2 Teamer
Bruins Puck Line
Utah Hockey Club Puck Line
I put a few bills on it.
Why not us?
Just because we’re down, and we’re fat, and we’re ugly, and we’re broke, doesn’t mean it’s over.
These games were tight.
Could have easily gone either way.
Lose 200.
Mix and Match Day.
It's your money, bet'em how you want to.
Wild Puck Line
Devils Puck Line
Stars Puck Line
Blue Jackets Puck Line
Jets Puck Line
Kraken Puck Line
Predators Puck Line
Hurricanes Puck Line
Canucks Puck Line
MONEY LINE BETS
Flames
Bruins
You should have split last night but you don’t have the bankroll to bet the games straight on the ML.
Post pics before the games tonight or these NEVER happened!
Wild PL LOSER but won the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by The BozJust pulling shit out your ass at this point.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetWas a good try.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
These games were tight.
Could have easily gone either way.
Lose 200.
Mix and Match Day.
It's your money, bet'em how you want to.
Wild Puck Line
Devils Puck Line
Stars Puck Line
Blue Jackets Puck Line
Jets Puck Line
Kraken Puck Line
Predators Puck Line
Hurricanes Puck Line
Canucks Puck Line
MONEY LINE BETS
Flames
Bruins
You should have split last night but you don’t have the bankroll to bet the games straight on the ML.
Post pics before the games tonight or these NEVER happened!
Devils LOSER
Stars LOSER
Blue Jackets LOSER
Jets LOSER
Kraken LOSER
Predators LOSER
Hurricanes LOSER but won the game
Canucks LOSER
0-9 on his Puck Line bets. Almost impossible to do. But hockey is easy. Hopefully you realize this fat fuck knows nothing KJ.
Money Line bets
Flames LOSER
Bruins WIN 6-3! Should have bet the puck line buddy!
But no tickets posted because he’s broke and didn’t want to post his $5 parlay tickets.
Speaking of pulling feces out of one's behind, Boz you must admit in all of those posts you make about the lady who defecated on the fast food restaurant floor or bench, there is nary a description of RACE and you'd have to admit I think that if the defecator were Af American that is the first thing that would have been noted.
For example, the way MaxPen and AxelWolf (and others) have ID'ed UNKewlJ as Pac Islander. Race is something that is used to identity people, whether it stands out or not.
Hence, we cannot be talking about Tasha in those stories, can we?Quote:
Originally Posted by MaxPen
Additionally, that thread you bumped was pretty old and was the old angry Tasha before she was reinstated at WOV. She has nothing but good to say about WOV these days.
UNKewlJ on the other hand, is incapable of controlling his thoughts and emotions and keeps returning to badmouthing everyone under the sun including AxelWolf, MickeyCrimm and even V. Now that's an ingrate for you, can't even speak consistently positive about someone who gives him the benefit of the doubt.
Quote:
Originally Posted by mcap
This one posted before mentioned the public shitter was black. Granted odds would say a majority of those shitting on the floor of a chicken joint would tend to be black.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
Quote:
Originally Posted by The BozWild PL LOSER but won the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by The BozJust pulling shit out your ass at this point.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
You should have split last night but you don’t have the bankroll to bet the games straight on the ML.
Post pics before the games tonight or these NEVER happened!
Devils LOSER
Stars LOSER
Blue Jackets LOSER
Jets LOSER
Kraken LOSER
Predators LOSER
Hurricanes LOSER but won the game
Canucks LOSER
0-9 on his Puck Line bets. Almost impossible to do. But hockey is easy. Hopefully you realize this fat fuck knows nothing KJ.
Money Line bets
Flames LOSER
Bruins WIN 6-3! Should have bet the puck line buddy!
But no tickets posted because he’s broke and didn’t want to post his $5 parlay tickets.
Yeah, but Boz, we are making the case that he therefore made good decisions by playing parlays BECAUSE he would have been annihilated betting straight.
Meanwhile, with 10 minutes to go, I have Memphis +500 on the moneyline versus a Tulane team that plays for the conference title next week and is less than focused. The Memphis defense, however, makes a sieve look like the Rock of Gibraltar. So we're looking at a likely fantastic finish. And there goes a 40-yard Tulane completion. LOL. Brutal to watch this.
Could be worse, could have Miami.
Hit a 20k Royal the other day to negate this losing in the NHL.
Anyways...
2 Teamer
Wild Puck Line
Capitals Puck Line
4 Teamer
Wild PL
Capitals PL
Kraken PL
Kings PL
6 Teamer
Wild PL
Capitals PL
Kraken PL
Kings PL
Rangers PL
Devils PL
These Fuckers Can't Beat Me Forever.
Wild LOSER on the Fuck Line but won the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Capitals LOSER on the Fuck Line but won the game.
Kraken LOSER
Kings LOSER on the Fuck Line but won the game (see at pattern here?)
Rangers LOSER
Devils LOSER on the Fuck Line but won the game.
The guy is on a 1-15 run with his picks lately. But hey, it only takes one lottery ticket to turn his life around. FanDuel and DraftKings are drooling to get his action!
I’ll let anyone actually reading this figure out how stupid this fat fucks betting methods are. Again, the books laugh and thank the Gods of Wagering when this ass clown waddles in.
But he hit his 2nd $20k in the past month. And he had the Packers Thursday night too, again just ask him.
Ka-Ching with the Vols. Were down 14-0 early and 17-7 for awhile.
And for monet, I teased Vanderbilt, so I have an open teaser going forward. And get this. Vols up seven at half; I took Vandy +6 1/2 the second half for dinner money.
That's why they (should) pay me the big money.
3 Teamer
Capitals Money Line or Puck Line
Hurricanes Puck Line
Panthers Puck Line
Get your tickets in, last call.
I apologize as I didn't have enough time to post my bet today.
I put in a 4 Teamer for 500 buckaroos.
Woke up to the Jets and Eagles already in.
Jets -1.5 +110 and Eagles -6 -110.
The Wild were up 3-0 going into the third and looked easy.
Chiefs were up by 5.
Shit got ugly as the Hawks scored 2 and the Bills looked unstoppable.
It worked out in the end as the Wild got the Empty Netter to win 4-2
Wild were -1.5 +135.
Chiefs did what the Chiefs do and covered the spread -2 -110.
Jets Cover 5-2
Wild Cover 4-2
Eagles Cover 55-23
Chiefs Cover 32-29
4 Teamer Pays $8493.12
Time to go collect.
2, 3 or 4 Teamer
1. Lightning Puck Line
2. Capitals Money Line or Puck Line
3. Jets Money Line or Puck Line
4. Canes Money Line or Puck Line
Tampa Bay Lost 4-1Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Capitals Won 3-1
Jets Won 4-1
Canes Won 4-0
Ended up winning 3900 total on a two teamer and 3 teamer.
I lost 200 on some other parlays that I mixed in with the Lightning.
I didn't like the line on Tampa Bay, so I only bet on the Caps, Jets and Canes.
I bet a bit like a little girl as the two 3 teamers were only on the Money Line paying 3.79 to 1.
I put 200 on the two teamer with the puck lines that paid 6.4 to 1.
I just didn't get greedy enough.
3700-dollar win on Parlays is pretty good though.
I'll post the tickets later.
Don't Bet Parlays.
Welp, I'm officially hot in Hockey again.
The problem is that I couldn't post my picks today because I was out and about.
When I got home at 1pm... I just crashed.
I bet a two teamer that paid something like 5.88 to 1.
Devils Puck Line
Panthers Puck Line
Just woke up to look at the phone.
Devils won 5-0
Panthers won 3-0
I bet around 660 dollars.
I win about 3800 to 4 grand.
I forget.
Doesn't matter.
Doesn't really count for this thread.
Just saying... DON'T BET PARLAYS and oh don't even think about Puck Line Betting.
It's for suckers.
2 Teamer
Canes Puck Line or -2.5 PL
Oilers Puck Line
Not a big fan of the Canes Puck Line.
The Kings are on a back-to-back after being shut out.
Tampa Bay getting good value on the puck line with +165.
The Knights are skating on thin ice, but I still take them with the Puck Line over the Jackets.
I hate the Sharks so Kraken Puck Line.
Capitals looked tired and slow even though they covered the Puck Line for me against the Flames.
Senators Money Line tonight against the top team in the NHL.
That's about it.
If I had to bet the Flames game, I'd take the Flames Puck Line.
Doesn't matter.
Do what you want.
I'll probably mix and match a little bit.
Up over 17 grand this week in the book.
All through parlays.
I can't keep winning but you never know.
You never know.
Oilers killed me and I only needed them to win outright.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
I was still alive if the Knights won by the Puck Line, but they ended up going into OT and losing as well.
The games were really good and spot on from what I predicted.
Even the two games I didn't mention covered the Puck Line easily.
Jets and Wild.
In the end, I lost 6 hun.
Back to the Drawing Board.
Just woke up, so this is late.
Root for all the Home Teams today.
Bet 'Em Straight or Parlay, Whatever.
Buffalo Money Line
Stars Money Line or Puck Line
Avalanche Puck Line
Coyotes Puck Line
Buffalo Money Line Win 4-3Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Stars Money Line or Puck Line Win 5-3
Avalanche Puck Line Win 5-0
Coyotes Puck Line Lose 3-2 (OT)
If you're following along and you watched the Utah game, you feel the pain.
Up 2-0 with a 96% chance of conversion.
I agree that the Jackets put some serious pressure on the net but Fuck if those two goals were not fluke Own Goals.
So Utah literally scored the first 4 goals.
In overtime, Utah handled the puck horribly and the Jackets came down with an easy two on zero goal to win it.
If Utah wins by 2, I win around 5 dimes.
If they just win outright, I win 1700 or so.
Unfortunately, I got Butkus.
But I was in the perfect spot.
3 games in and all tickets live.
I got in early with a two teamer today.
Panthers -2.5
Flames Puck Line
I liked the Bruins but didn't pull the trigger.
I think I'm heading back.
Wild Money Line has Great Value
Tampa Bay Puck Line
Penguins Money Line or Over 6.5
Oilers Puck Line
Flames Money Line or Puck Line
Down 800 from the last two posts.
Not gonna stop us.
3 Teamer
New Jersey Puck Line
Tampa Bay Puck Line
Dallas Stars Puck Line
Now do the same three teamer but put them all on the money line.
And Round Robin all three teams into a Two Teamer with Puck Line.
Example:
2 Teamer
Tampa Puck Line
Stars Puck Line
etc. etc.
I have 700 in action.
Time for bed.
Good Knight!
2000-dollar downswing after 17k up.
Took a couple days off.
4 Teams look good today.
Concentrating more money on the Stars and Kings.
Canes Puck Line
Wild Puck Line
Stars Puck Line
Kings Puck Line
Devils not getting that Empty Netter screwed me out of an extra 6k.
Won 11 hun on the day with a 2 team Toronto/Lightning Puck Line Parlay.
Been a good last ten days.
See other thread for today's picks.
You're Welcome.
I was looking over the Flyers a bit.
They've lost 7 of their last 8.
All 7 games were lost by 2 goals or more!
Kind of hard not to bet on the Capitals at Home with the Puck Line.
Impossible.
I have a rant, monet. Did you see the first half dozen possessions for Arkansas when Kansas went zone? Holy fuck, I never saw a team IQ drop so quickly. Kids don't have any idea how to play against a zone anymore. It was horrendous.
But the Hogs managed to win, which keeps my 89-1 to win that region alive. I already lost Louisville at 20-1 to win their region earlier.
Don't even ask who my other Godforsaken squads are -- well, I have UNC at 250-1 to win the whole shebang. They're awful, but if they win two more games, I'll make money on them. The only problem is they aren't going to win two more games. LOL.
I have Kentucky at 70-1 to win it all. They don't even know what "boxing out" is, but they beat Tennessee twice this year, so they have a shot in that region.
Marquette at 197-1 rounds out my Bad News Bears longshot lineup. Ugly stuff, man. Ugly.
But I have just Vic and Anthony's dinner money on each, so I won't take much of a beating.
I'm guessing we are talking March Madness here.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
I haven't followed college hoops since the mid to late 90s.
I gave up on the NBA around 2010 or so.
Easiest damn sport to shave.
And I hate how they changed the game.
No more physicality to it.
Now let me rant a bit.
I was downtown yesterday, and March Madness was everywhere.
Too Many Fucking People.
AND...
Do you have to be a mook to get hired at the D Sportsbook (Circa)??
I mean talk about the dark side of the moon.
It's scary cashin' winning tickets over there as you think you're gonna get mugged at the window.
I'm all for equal rights and all but when every employee is black as the ace of spades you start to think the odds are tilted.
Sort of like the NHL intermission reports and tv in general.
A woman has to be present now lol.
It's the stupidest shit ever.
The Knights have this show that has a really small table.
They used to always have two dudes talkin' hockey.
They finally got the phone call and added a woman to the middle of the table.
It's the dumbest thing ever.
Bitch is scrunched up between these two meatheads talkin' hockey.
She don't know shit about hockey.
FUCK!
FUCK YOU REF!Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
YOU SUCK!!
If you're looking for FREE hockey picks, I'm having "delusions of grandeur" in the delusional thread.
Nobody gonna give me an answer about the Planet of the Apes over at Circa (D Casino)???Quote:
Originally Posted by monetI'm guessing we are talking March Madness here.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
I haven't followed college hoops since the mid to late 90s.
I gave up on the NBA around 2010 or so.
Easiest damn sport to shave.
And I hate how they changed the game.
No more physicality to it.
Now let me rant a bit.
I was downtown yesterday, and March Madness was everywhere.
Too Many Fucking People.
AND...
Do you have to be a mook to get hired at the D Sportsbook (Circa)??
I mean talk about the dark side of the moon.
It's scary cashin' winning tickets over there as you think you're gonna get mugged at the window.
I'm all for equal rights and all but when every employee is black as the ace of spades you start to think the odds are tilted.
Sort of like the NHL intermission reports and tv in general.
A woman has to be present now lol.
It's the stupidest shit ever.
The Knights have this show that has a really small table.
They used to always have two dudes talkin' hockey.
They finally got the phone call and added a woman to the middle of the table.
It's the dumbest thing ever.
Bitch is scrunched up between these two meatheads talkin' hockey.
She don't know shit about hockey.
FUCK!
Fuck.
I mean really.
Do they have a criteria when hiring?
No White People.
No Women.
No Carmel Colored Skin.
Only Black as the Ace of Fucking Spades and Male can push the parlay button??
I want to talk to HR.
Where's the Fucking Diversity or is this Repreparations?
And how did they find so many mooks that actually want to work at the Sportsbook?
How did they all pass the background check or drug test?
Not sure if they drug test anymore.
I know Bellagio didn't do a drug test around 3 years ago which I found odd.
Arkansas may have saved my, wait for it, bacon this Madness. If Kentucky can win two more games, I will make money on the whole project. That may be asking too much, though.
I entered just two bracket contests this year. Heritage, it turned out, wouldn't allow me in their contest. Such is life. Anyway, I'm 30th at this moment in the YouWager bracket contest out of about 550. We'll see how that goes. I have Duke winning it, but the ACC looks terrible, so don't think that will happen. I'm also in Oddsmaker, but have not seen standings for that yet.
KewlJ(s) are probably in both those same contests, so will be interesting to see where he finishes.
You're basically speaking Greek at me.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
Hope you win but I kinda hate basketball at this point.
They have over 30 TVs at this one place I was at yesterday.
They can't put one Fucking Hockey Game on One Fucking TV???
It all has to be a bunch of Jigaboos running up and down the court?
Whatever.
Losing Delusions and Back to this Thread.
Philly Fucks me twice in a row and the Oilers didn't help either.
Had the Stars and Oilers on two teamers with the Knights Puck Line.
Sure, the Stars and Oilers won but didn't cover.
Lose 700.
Today looks beautiful, maybe.
Jets Puck Line - Buffalo not doing so great on a back-to-back against one of the best in the league.
Probably not betting this but Panthers Puck Line against the surging Pens.
Pens can't keep this up forever and the Panthers got to get back to their winning ways.
Blues Puck Line
Blues are crushing as of late and the Predators are on a back-to-back travel game.
The Preds get a rare win against the Leafs but I expect them to lose in St. Louisey.
I want to bet the Knights but probably won't.
Money Line Knights if you have to bet it.
Ducks Fucked me a couple times recently and the Canes got a beatdown last night but still got to take the Canes Puck Line.
Boston Officially Sucks.
Probably throwing these games or just don't care at this point.
Kings Puck Line.
Dropped to tied for 50th out of 550 in the YouWager contest. Many Big 10 fans; did not know that.
Basically it comes down to Kentucky today versus Illinois. If Kentucky wins, I make money on the overall endeavor. If they do not, I don't unless some miracle occurs. Kentucky is a small underdog. Very unlikely to have an overall outcome outside of plus/minus 1K either way. Likely outcome is in the plus/minus $300 to $400 range.
And as someone who played and coached a little hoops, I hate the way Kentucky plays, but that's besides the point.
Kentucky won, so Daniel Day Lewis is out of luck. There will be no blood.
Heading into the night games, tied for 21st in YouWager's bracket contest. To win it, I need Duke to win the whole shebang, and I probably also need Kentucky to beat Tennessee next week. Not too sure how likely those events are, but at least I can say that I have a chance.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFTRwD85AQ4
Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
I just crushed the book with 2, 3 and 4 team parlays.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Won something like 17k or something.
EDIT:
(I counted it up, its a little over 17,000 but I lost 600 with the Jets and Panthers prior.
So, win like 16,600.
Whatever.
I'm the best damn parlay bettor in the world and we all know it.)
I had about 2200 in total wagers.
Got too many damn tickets to count and cash.
This is why I don't do this under the radar betting.
Too Much Fucking Leg Work.
I lost a few hundos on the Jets, so I went back and bet again.
I bet a 2 Teamer with Blues Puck Line and Kings Puck Line.
The rest was 3 and 4 teamers.
Most of it was...
Blues Puck Line
Canes Puck Line
Kings Puck Line
When I got to the 4 teamers, I added in some Knights Money Line and Puck Line Tickets.
I got to sift through 12 winning tickets now and dribble them in.
Kind of Fucking Sucks but you know, don't bet Parlays.
Don't bet Hockey.
Finished the day by dropping a spot in the bracket contest at YouWager. Tied for 21st out of 550.
I need to plot out my hedging next week. Some kind of profit is a given. Kentucky beat Tennessee twice, but they are 4 1/2 dogs. I'll consider being daring, but we all know that "Hedging is for weenies," and I'm a weenie, so I'll probably take my modest profit and run. I feel badly for the eight seeds that got screwed with their seedings. Louisville and UConn deserved better fates. Gonzaga really got screwed with their eight seed. Just terrible.
I don't think we're having a conversation.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
This is like when both of us are talking, and nobody can understand what the other person is saying.
I have a lot of experience with that.
I'm a bit of a hot head.
I'm not in love with any hockey games or lines today.
But I've been so damn hot this month.
I'm up 112k for the month so far.
I hit a couple 20k Royals and some other premiums.
I also beat the book for 43k in hockey.
I LOVE hockey.
I'm gonna bet the Devils Puck Line because they got to get out of this funk.
And Islanders Puck Line cause the Jackets aren't getting out of their funk.
The other two games are too close to consider for me.
And the above picks aren't very good either but like I say, I'm on a hot streak, so I bet.
I lost 300 but I feel like I won.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
When I first made my bet, I put it on the Money Line 2 Teamer, and it paid around 2 to 1.
I was like F that.
So, I changed it to the Puck Line, for both games.
It paid a lot better.
Both games lost outright so I sort of never had a chance.
That's like winning.
Even though, at one point, the Islanders were up 2-0 and Jersey was up 2-1.
That's the position you want to be in, every, single, time.
Gotta Root for the Home Teams Today.
Philly is in the funniest slump.
Leafs Puck Line.
Lightning got trounced, Haarrrd, on the Road.
Pens are playing Hard.
Still gotta take Tampa Bay Puck Line at Home.
Canes Puck Line - Probably the easiest game, maybe.
Blues Puck Line - Best Value but Canadians got to play hard as they are on the bubble for a Playoff Spot.
Blues are just red-hot right now.
Red Wings gotta win too but are on a back-to-back against a team that has improved over the season and been #winning.
Avalanche Puck Line.
Not sure about this last pick but it's the opposite of the Avalanche.
I really was on the Ranger Train early in the season.
But something happened to them after 20 games, and you can't trust them at all.
Kings been hot.
They literally scored 14 goals in their last 2 games.
Kings Puck Line, at Home but I probably don't put them on any ticket.
Now I gotta bet them straight, since I said that.
Time for the UFL, monet.
I had a real good two seasons with the last XFL/UFL incarnations. We'll see what I come up with this year. I've actually done better at these boutique leagues than anything else the last couple of years. It's basically glorified college football, but without the big NIL contracts, so in a sense, it's like college football 20 years ago. Maybe that explains why I've done so well.
It would be nice if you posted a couple of free picks before gametime.Quote:
Originally Posted by redietz
I lub ya but I won't hold my breath.
I look forward to the report.
By the way, yesterday was a huge day for hockey parlaying.
Don't Bet Parlays.
What a Fucking Day!Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
I was at the book watching the Canes lose and cost me around 1500 in tickets.
So, I pushed harder.
I bet what I could...
Blues Puck Line +165
Avalanche Puck Line -110
Kings Puck Line +165
Paid 12.4 to 1
I was at the kiosk(s) printing tickets lol.
I kept betting 100/110/120/125/130 to keep all paying tickets under 200.
That book got a thing for over 2000 dollar pays.
The Fucking Kiosks are so stupid.
You can't really do that shit at the window.
I printed 45 tickets.
They have a lot of kiosks to move around to.
You can only put 400 max into the kiosks without a card.
I won a little over 60 thousand dollars.
But now I got to dribble these tickets in around 6 per day.
Gonna Take Me for Fucking Ever.
I expect them to say something to me eventually or change the kiosk rules.
I dunno.
I wish I could see the guy back there watching or recording all the tickets being cashed/bet.
Someone has to be surveilling that shit.
Or maybe not.
Maybe they don't give a Fuck about 40 some odd 125-dollar parlays betting the same teams paying near the same amounts.
Maybe they think Parlays are for suckers and they don't give two seconds of thought about it.
Whatever.
Here are the results.
If you couldn't figure out how to make money from these picks, you don't know what you're doing.
That Fucking Empty Net Goal from the Kings was GLORIOUS!!
NHL Puck Line Parlay Betting is so Fucking Easy.
I don't care what you all think or say.
Still don't believe me?
My picks were 5-1 against the puck line.
Check the scoreboard...
Hurricanes LOSE 3-1 (FUCKERS)
this cost me over 20k in winning tickets and 1500 in parlay betting.
LEAFS cover 7-2
TAMPA covers 6-1
BLUES cover 6-1
AV's cover 5-2
KINGS cover 3-1
Games/Matchups not so great today.
It's like the other Islander day when I lost 300.
Nothing special here.
No edge.
Dey give me no nutrients. (Nacho Libre Quote)
Devils got to have a breakout game one of these days.
Fuck.
And the Bruins Suck.
Devils Puck Line
Ducks Money Line or Puck Line
I guess.
Probably better to just let this day go.
Just looking at these 4 games makes me want to puke.
Blah.
Terrible day.
Put 10 bucks on it.
Nothing great about Thursday either, except, maybe, the Leafs but you won't get great odds.
Devils Cover the Puck Line 5-3Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Ducks are up 1-0 at the End of the First.
I didn't get any bets down.
I never left the house today.
My loss.
2 Teamer
Tampa Puck Line
Leafs Puck Line
Don't Fucking Jinx Me VCT!
I didn't make the bet yesterday and would have won.
Today I made the bet.
Bonus Picks
Buffalo Money Line
Blues Money Line or Puck Line
I don't see how the predators keep it up after beating the Canes 3-1 last night.
I mean they could, but like I said before. the Blues are hot right now.
Fuck the Pens, that's why Buffalo.
Oh, and Buffalo is at home.
I can't even blame the Sharks for this stupid game.
The Fucking Leafs are high on drugs.
Tomorrow easy enough.
Panthers and Canes playing two slumping teams, on a back-to-back, at home.
Knights are coming on strong at the end of the season.
Got to take them against the Hawks no matter what.
I like Lose-A-Peg, at home, over Lucifer.
Panthers Puck Line
Canes Puck Line
Knights Puck Line
Jets Puck Line
That Panther game was dumb.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
You get six power plays; you should cover the puck line.
Whatever.
Panthers Win 2-1 (Did not Cover the Puck Line).
Canes Win and Cover 4-1.
Jets Win and Cover 4-0.
Knights Win and Cover 5-3.
3-1 on the day against the Puck Line
4-0 against the Money Line, not that I posted to take the Money Line.
You got to kind of figure that shit out for yourself.
Well, what the hell.
Ride her till she bucks ya... or don't ride at all!
Blues MONEY LINE +170 to +175 currently.
Wild Puck Line
Knights Puck Line
Senators Puck Line
Red Wings Puck Line
Oilers Puck Line
Rangers Puck Line
Stars Puck Line
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wtivS1z8q0
I bet 800 bucks on the Blues.
Not bad at +175!
1400 bucks is 1400 bucks.
Am I right or am I right, right, right.
The only losing team was the Wild as they lost 5-2 to the Devils.
3-4 against the Puck Line.
7-1 against the Money Line
Blues Win 2-1
Knights Win 3-1
Senators Win 3-2
Red Wings Win 2-1
Oilers Win 3-2 OT
Rangers Win 6-1
Stars Win 5-1
3/30/25
Getting tired of posting picks.
It feels like work at this point.
Anyways, I like the Home Teams tomorrow.
Not Great Lines but the matchups are just good.
You'll probably have to put most of them on the puck line.
Money Line Parlays could make sense.
You'll have to figure it out on your own.
I've shown you the blueprint.
I keep showing you the blueprint.
Panthers
Capitals
Jets
Canes
Kings
3-2 on the day against both Lines.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
3 in a row on the later games.
That's significant.
Today...
Flyers Money Line or Puck Line
Wild Money Line - Revenge Game
Avalanche Puck Line
Stars Puck Line
+175 on the moneyline?
Pinny closed at 3.40 for the Blues, +240 American.
It seems to me that you left a lot of money on the table.
I sleep on a bed of hundred dollar bills.Quote:
Originally Posted by SoccerPredictions
Can't you cash them at the kiosks by depositing them then going to the counter saying oopsie cash this ticket or sell them to a compadre?
You make a valid point.Quote:
Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
I guess I could cash at the kiosk for a voucher.
But not sure how it's going to look.
Vouchers would be like $1913.56.
Or $1324.78.
I don't think they are gonna say anything, but it looks odd having change when you can't put change in the kiosk.
I don't really have any compadres, nor would I want to sell tickets.
They got to pay the tickets.
They could change the rules or bar me, but I doubt it.
Who cares about someone betting hundreds of parlays??
Everyone knows you can't beat paralys.
Some Casinos don't blink at cashing over 100k.
Other Casinos are goofy about anything over 2k.
I prefer cashing at the cage after hours.
I cash about 6 to 8 tickets per day, per casino.
If I have a lot of winning tickets.
I mean they are good for 1 year.
If you cash over 3k at some joints, they get all squirrelly and call in the manager.
Under 2k, they just pay.
I figured them out when they started putting in these stupid kiosks.
I don't like the kiosks, but I do like that it never says no to a bet.
It just keeps spitting out the tickets.
NO... I do not want to use my Players Card!
Every single time from these Fuckers.
Stop asking.
My bad. Checked the wrong market.Quote:
Originally Posted by monetI sleep on a bed of hundred dollar bills.Quote:
Originally Posted by SoccerPredictions
Flyers win 2-1Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
Devils Win 3-2 S/O
Avalanche Lose 3-2 S/O
Stars Win 3-1 (ENG)
I bailed out with a small profit on the day as the Stars hit the Empty Netter, for a Straight Bet, against the Puck Line. All parlays got killed. Had some good chances with the Flyers and an Empty Netter. AV's were dominating till they decided to let off the gas. Wild looked horrible. No gas in the tank at all. I knew they were dead in OT cause... no legs. Even the Refs couldn't win it for them as the Shoot Out was lobsided. Stars continue to dominate the Kraken.
April Fools Day
Capitals Puck Line
Blues Puck Line
Knights Puck Line +155
Ducks Puck Line +130
Bonus Bet
Utah Puck Line +140
Nice 0-4 for the fat fuck, but I’m sure we will now hear he bet them straight and still won.Quote:
Originally Posted by monet
This fuck shows DAILY why having the bankroll to bet games straight and avoiding parlays is the way to go. But no different than Tasha, he’s reaching for the stars trying to change his life. The books smile when he waddles in daily.