Originally Posted by
Rob.Singer
Here's what you're not seeing jbjb. When someone plays for a stop-win goal and makes it TODAY, then leaves, it's real profit. It can be spent for real products and services, and for most people who play as I taught them or anything similar to that, they have no need to and usually don't just add it to their gaming bankroll for their next casino visit.
Your point is likely that this $55 will probably be lost the next time or the time after that, probably because they're playing a 98% game instead of a 102% game? Which of course makes little sense, since that small % difference will have little overall effect when playing a short period of time, each time.
The short term/goal oriented player understands that there is no rule, written or otherwise, that states the math MUST snatch back today's profit sometime down the road. And what the long term player completely misses is the fact that if a strategy is capable of yielding a profit from a relatively easy winning hand today, it is very likely to do the same over & over again--and at times with huge resulting profits, which from my 15+ years of experience, come much more often than those huge losing sessions.
And one more point: recreational players who play in this manner simply move past "the last session" immediately, whether they won or lost. It's over and means nothing after it ended. Today the go back to play with a new roll of disposable cash, having nothing to do with the last win because it was already spent on enhancements. If this player happens to lose $40 today, he doesn't subtract it from the $55 win because that win is today non-existent. But at the same time, when the player plays such a strategy that has an 80% session win rate, he expects many winning sessions, with some being higher and much higher than that $55. The reason you strict AP guys can't understand how overall profitable this method of play is, is simply because you won't see it for what it is (a short term strategy) and instead, force yourselves into for some reason lumping all these sessions into some long term theoretical situation, and then saying it's a loser because the games were slightly under 100%....while rejecting the actuality that the big winning sessions are almost always way larger than the big losing sessions, in addition to the many smaller winning sessions.
This is why I say, if I trained everyone to play in this manner, the people who play 20 or more hours a week would be spared a wasted portion of their lives, and the casinos would no longer be able to stay operating.