Alan, ahem.

Originally Posted by RS__ View Post
Then it depends on how bad the variance is (or how bad it can be) compared to your advantage. If you're playing something with a 0.5%, then yes, you're going to have to hit a royal or else you're gonna lose. (Play enough hands, you'll hit a royal.) Or if you play something with a 5% advantage, you don't need to hit a royal to come out a winner. And with a 15% advantage, you don't have to hit a RF, SF, or any 4oaks to come out a winner.

PS: I rarely play games with a very small advantage (2% or lower). I rarely play full pay deuces or those multiplier days at Boyd/South Point/etc. that push a game from a small loser to a small winner.