I will agree that my NHL bets are Negative EV.
However, I also bet the MLB and the NFL.
Those bets are Full on Positive Advantage Play.
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I will agree that my NHL bets are Negative EV.
However, I also bet the MLB and the NFL.
Those bets are Full on Positive Advantage Play.
It's time for UNKewlJ to come crawling back to WOV and post some more about MDawg, in his high pitched complaining whiny voice. What can he say really though, other than that he ended in the red last year with his own casino play and then gave up. Meantime.
Meantime, TatooDawg rings the bell, announcing that his latest load of horseshit is now spewing from his volcanic maw on Fantasy Island.Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=USfKJYZcUmI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqaUkmfQ6sQ
This is not a math answer. In the late 70's/early 80's my boss was an A-card player at the old, old MGM (now Bally's), I went with him on 10 trips in a row where he won between 20K and 80K. He was a disciplined craps player. He knew the odds and the rules and he was able to press hard when he was challenged. His bankroll was never "scared money", so if he lost (and trip #11 - his 50th birthday party trip, was a disaster!) he moved on.
MDawg may well be telling the truth. I am keeping a wide-open mind. Baccarat and craps are the4 two best "no skill" bets in Vegas, which if coupled with a proper bankroll and a disciplined, winning approach, can win A LOT.
And if anyone doubts this, they can ask that paragon of discipline and winning, Phil Ivey.
Sorry, man, when people trot out personal anecdotes and "disciplined, winning approach" mantras regarding -EV games, it's tough to skip the snark. I mean, if I jump off a 20-story building, I CAN FLY A LOT...until my trip comes to an end.
P.S. For those outside the loop, Ivey is a brilliant poker player who has lost a fortune at craps. Possibly like MDawg, Ivey has rebate angles, but please don't dangle "disciplined, winning approach" lines without mentioning rebates or other means of "winning" besides being blessed by God.
[QUOTE=BoSox;97505]Then you are clearly not a serious gambler. If you can keep the game to a near-even money bet (and Baccarat is that) and you exercise disciplined money management, you can leave a winner far more often than not.
The advantage the player has is that he can LEAVE when he is ahead. and in even money (or near even money) games, that happens often, especially if you stay focussed on why you are playing.
The three non-skilled games (poker is a skilled game) that are worth looming at for serious players (as opposed to the self-destructive comp chasing slots types) are 21 (with any discipline at all, near break-even, if you can count, you can go positive by a small amount), craps and Baccarat. I never play anything but craps, but Baccarat is very, very popular among serious A Card players. IIRC Baccarat has a house edge of 1.6%, triple odds craps is at 0.35% and 21 with the right play and basic counting basically even money.
Hi Hawkesite and Welcome! to The Adventures of MDawg.
To a certain extent you'll be banging your head against the wall with this lot. They don't even comprehend that money management and discipline are keys to casino success, especially at streaky games like Baccarat.
They don't even want to accept that "leaving while ahead" is key to success. Uh, how else does one win at the tables? By leaving while behind??
Thank you!
Yes, you can make it so that you leave a winner the majority of time but this isn't the same as winning money overall.
Just like martingaling can make your winning sessions completely outnumber your losing ones.
The distribution of winning/losing sessions can be monkeyed with but this also means you're leaving while barely ahead to lock up the win. Mdawg never claims to do that from what I recall but I don't read his inane shit.
They all read every bit of what I write, especially the ones who claim that they don't who are the ones who PM me after reading what I wrote.
In any case, you're on the right track Hawk with money management and discipline. Make your own decisions about anything or anyone else here.
accountinquestion reads my posts so closely that he sends me PMs about them that make it clear he reads every word.
Not like there's a ton of content here anyway, why anyone would try to claim (falsely) that he doesn't read something or other makes little sense.
Yea, please do this. If it is worth the trouble to phoney up a PM knock yourself out.
I've sent Mickey PMs, sent Axel PMs, I've conversed with Redietz and I believe KJ but never exchanged a PM to Mdawg.
The fact Coach Belly believes this nonsense shows Coach Belly is just another feeble minded fuck.
MD should get friends to play with him on every spot and bet in unison. That way he can make that much more! :rolleyes:
TatooDawg, where are the PM's which you claim accountinquestion sent to you?
He has given you permission to post them.
Surely an internet packrat such as yourself has saved them, right?
C'mon big mouth: WHERE'S THE BEEF?
Now, don't tell us you left them in Rob's Newell and that they're on a slow boat to Israel.
Post them up, or failing that, go take a long walk off of a short pier.
If "Marcusclark" isn't MD, he certainly is a friend or family member. He certainly isn't a surveillance officer as he claims.
There's only one other sock more obvious then the " Marcusclark". The other regular sock is a chump who only has a nickel to his name. Two different obvious socks that get a pass from the " man in charge".
I do tend to go into every thread and read stuff at some point on this site (At least in Vegas section). THere is no other forum I do this on. Especially when it pertains to me. I do not read your trip-reports or any of the other nonsense. I don't read fiction elsewhere, why would I read it here? It isn't particularly well written fiction. Mainly relying on pictures of big chips which most people will only dream about. Thats cool and all but meh.
What is the most telling is that you BOTHER to find some evidence about me lying. So you either remember this stuff or you spend the time to search it up to repost quotes. Very bizarre for a successful person.
Yes, Mdawg has complete permission to repost any of the alleged PMs I sent him.
The person behind Marcusclark is the exact same person that was Wynnpleasure here. Both started calling MD out, then started defending him after a short period.
No proof but it’s fairly obvious what their agenda is and that they are the definition of a sock pocket, used to prop up an argument.
I was wondering about that. It seems obvious, but no laws against cheerleading, I guess.
And this is why life would be more meaningful if everyone posted under his actual name. Then shills would be known in real life as shills. It's not like I take online reviews seriously, so why would anyone take online cheerleaders seriously?
I guess Shackleford's game(s) is to do what his bosses say to up views or lure more civilians into online gambling. Or he's getting a direct stipend. Indirect, direct, it's all the same.
I have zero malice towards "Socks/Dupes " in general, they can add a lot of extra entertainment depending on the creator. I have the ability to figure them out most of the time, with very little effort. There are MANY socks out there that are pretty sophisticated and quite a challenge to decipher, MANY are as clear as day. There are even a few socks that are ongoing between multiple forums( here,PFA,WOV) that have 3-4 or more that constantly talk amongst themselves. Fun and games, although some are less then desirable.
So start your own forum where everyone posts under his actual name,
and then members can discuss if it makes their lives more meaningful or not.
Report back every so often (but please not very often) on how it's working out.
I'll even start a "The Bob Dietz Forum" thread to host your reports.
For once we agree. We all know Mike is a horrible businessman. Along with being a social misfit, a pervert by today’s standards, a disrespectful husband along with being one of the best mathematicians out there....if today was 1990.
But I guarantee MDawg has him under his thumb for reasons few of us understand. And he is under pressure from the Czechoslovakians to create some interest there. It’s exactly why he suspends members with good points against MD, but let’s them back quickly instead of following his Marty “rule”.
If we only knew the back and forth between him and MD. Mike looks out for one person, and one person only and his history has shown that. He even fucked the hippy that helped him built the site over when he cashed out.
Lots of people on these forums who act like assholes online but are decent people in the real world. Mike Shackleford isn’t one of them. And those who know him best know it if they are honest.
I guess I just can't comprehend why cats get so riled up by the mdawg, hey hey.
Who knows, but it would seem that the Geek Squad went and created their own Adventures thread centered around some old man who lives in a trailer. The Beautiful People were ignoring them, so they went to try to create their own thread. I'll tell you what I WON'T be doing. Wasting my time in their thread, and if they had any self respect, they'd stay out of mine with their envious gibberish.
Yes, they are all very impressed and proud of Mister Tur-Tel,
and they'll be even giddier if he adds Burning Man to his itinerary.
I need to go over there and have sabre calculate the probability of that.
My estimate is that SooPoo doesn't have enough zeroes
to place to the right of the decimal point for that one either.
Can someone explain to me how JWT is involved in all this? Is he one of these characters?
Please go back and recall all the times MDawg has invited and provoked much of this. What did he say, something about There is no such thing as bad publicity? He has said something along those lines more than once. It's only now that the BS has come home to roost and most people realize just how much it sticks to high heaven that MDwag is suddenly taking a different stance/path as he has done multiple times allready.
I went back and read post #1 of this thread.
The OP didn't provoke anyone, nor did he invite the insulting replies that came in waves.
Further research yields similar results, he didn't provoke you...you provoked him.
I don't know what you mean here.
As long as those bozos stay in the trailer park Terapined thread and out of mine, whatever they want to do is fine. I actually feel for the guy though, he can't even punctuate or arrange paragraphs, even if I were interested in the topic of an itinerant trailer retiree it would be hard to read or follow. I scanned a few posts - anyone who actually reads any of it deserves a medal, makes AxelWolf's writing look literary.
BTW, I am calling out strike two for Regnis. First he claimed that a CTR would be issued for a transaction that does not involve cash or cash equivalents.
https://vegascasinotalk.com/forum/sh...l=1#post100250
Next he claimed that a $250K cashier's check could be mobile deposited.
https://vegascasinotalk.com/forum/sh...l=1#post122145
Well, I just got a check of over 35K from a casino for part of my winnings and tried to mobile deposit it, and guess what - even though I have a premier bank account which has a ton of funds in it, my daily limit for mobile deposit is 25K, i.e. it would be impossible for a mere photocopy or image of a cashier's check of 250K to be mobile deposited. I checked and the average bank account has a mobile deposit daily limit of only 5K.
Didn't Regnis claim to be someone who once wrote banking regulations? He clearly doesn't understand or know much about them, so if he is or was involved with the government no wonder the financial system is so screwed up.
I don't care about post #1 of this thread, I'm talking about.. in general. I don't know how that wasn't clear, but this is how you operate, even when things are obvious, but you dont have a good response that fits your narrative.
I never said MDawg started the provoking or originally invited it, he certainly seemed to love and invite it for a time, that's obvious from some of his comments and how he has conducted himself every since. For instance: AW. MDawg, I think that Rolex is fake. He could very easily have said. MD "You have the right to your opinion, but you are wrong, I guess it's impossible to prove over the internet one way or the other, so that's all I have to say on the subject. Have a wonderful day AW"
It's very obvious the tide is turning as more and more people are calling him out. There may have been a few people on the fence, but now they have no doubt... that something is greatly amiss.
I also addressed the overall general nature of all the exchanges in my reply...
If you are raising a liability issue, then we disagree as to who is at fault.
Of course you don't care about post #1, because it doesn't fit your narrative.
But the genesis of all the negative discourse are the replies to post #1 of the initial threads.
Go back and recall all of your own contributions to the MDawg saga.
In my view, you are primarily to blame for this mess. MDawg didn't start the fire, you did.
Most of these guys on here are the same. They toss out the insults or criticism without anything to back it up. At most with speculation.
Then when someone provides facts to back up why someone doesn't know what he is talking about or is lying, they revert to the insults.
*Yawn.
The spectre of John Patrick, festooned in polyester and sporting a bad toupee, enters, stage right.
If you quit when you're ahead you can have more winning sessions than losing sessions. However the size of your losing sessions will be quite a bit larger than what you won at your winning sessions. It in no way makes one into a winning player. If anyone argues with this then they're a fool and should be ignored.
It's hard to respond to anonymous accounts who can say or make up anything they want without any accountability. I read your first post and I can say that no one taught me any code of conduct. I made my own code of conduct as I traveled down the path. You could not possibly talk about all my bread and butter plays since I'm involved in so many different aspects of AP I can't even remember them all.
I allready have my hands full with a few other AW haters, I dont have the time, willingness, and energy to take on yet another anonymous person on the internet. I will follow suit and ignore you. Perhaps, I will have an auto-response to each post you make mentioning me.
This person is here for the sole purpose of trolling me, one can assume every negative things he says about me, or other Advantage Players is complete BS and untrue. true or not, I guess we will never know since I'm not going to respond to anything related to his posts, to him, or anyone. I don't claim to be the best, or have the most, or anything close, I don't claim to be without flaws, I am, what I am, and you get what you get with me. Love me or hate me, there is no disputing many people know who I am, know what I do, know what I have done and accomplished, and put their trust in me.