Originally Posted by
BoSox
Moses response:
"No. You select better games. Put yourself in a better position to win."
Moses, that sounds nice if you can find them, but and this is important what is the reality of better games? Even greater volatility especially if you are talking about short term "in hands played" time frames..
I play my game or I don't play. I still find about 70K hands a year.
A review of my last few weeks of sessions; 77 wins 55 losses 38 ties/Interruptions. The represented a profit of $5,963. There was a stretch of 800 hands in a short week where I lost $1435 and went 4-8-1. But I quickly identified and corrected a flaw in my game.
Granted, this is mostly green chips. But take figure x 4 if it were black. Making around $50k a year may not sound like much to the Pros. However, that's $250k over 5 years expense free. Key word is PLAYING. IF I were to play black chips I'd make $100K in 6 months and NOT be allowed to play. Then I'd have to travel. More income comes from sports bet than blackjack. I need to be in Nevada about 8 months out of the year. So, if KJ and RS are so certain my game is flawed, quit talking shit and play me.
Originally Posted by
BoSox
Moses response:
"Lots of losers talking about long term. Get game. Let the game come to you.
The deer doesn't just jump in the truck and say "shoot me, right here."
Moses, the game edges for the player are very small, and there is plenty of volatility associated with the game. What is it that you cannot accept that players should be immune to short term swings? In the case of of higher limit players it is only natural that swings will be more profound. We are talking about shoe games with much bigger spreads.
I never look beyond the session I'm playing. I refuse to refer to a loss as a long run goal. If I did? I'd get soft. Plus the opponent wins by forfeit. How can one plan on long term under that scenario?
Variance: My minimum bet results may be slightly better than most because my large bet frequency is minimal by comparison. Maybe this is why I don't have these large fluctuations. Plus my game is designed with a defensive strategy. Control the game, don't make mistakes, and don't get too far down and a comeback isn't necessary. I don't believe this variance monster follows around me from casino to casino.
My mistakes represent far more volatility...and that's a pisser.
I will only touch on this because I know it will drive you nuts. The percentage count is designed pull more quality hands out of less pen. Perhaps a Don S/Thorp approach as includes both philosophies.
A column count will work with less pen but it takes more hands to get the same profit. Although the deck compositions are maximized, The frequency is less because they are also shuffled away.
No. I don't believe you can attribute variance to losing $29k in a week. Piss poor play? Maxpens monkey wouldn't play that bad.