Originally Posted by
Bob21
I watched the line on a couple of these games last year and was surprised at how fast it moved when the weather became known. A good example is Wyoming, San Jose State last year. The weather was awful and the over/under dropped like a lead balloon. Even with the lower line, the game still went under. Since I didn’t think those warm weathered Californias would want to deal with that cold windy weather up in Wyoming I did all right on that game, with Wyoming comfortably beating the spread and the game going under.
Like you said, it’s a lot more complicated than something like card counting. There’s not some majic formula that can make you a winner.