Road Trip Hard-On

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Tom G showed us how to get a monster edge in sports betting but it requires a massive amount of daily action.
I think it was something like 20 bets per day, averaging 250k wagered per week.
I'm probably off on this total amount wagered but I just remember thinking how impossible it would be for me to bet on all those games day in and day out.
Easy Money... I suppose but the Fucking Leg Work involved is impossible for me to maintain.
And I have a sun problem.
When the sun comes up, I go to sleep.

I haven't read that cesspool in 5 months, but last I recall TomG seemed to know a lot about sports betting in general and other forms of AP. He seemed to wager like a grinder/flea low roller that I recall. I got the impression he was a very high IQ skilled AP, with a fairly modest bankroll, who severely underachieved from my years of reading him.

Ozzy and various, just to be clear, I would beware of doctors who deliver babies Tuesdays, do brain surgery Wednesdays, and cancer research during their golf games on weekends.

At WoV, looking as if you know a little about sports betting is about as easy as getting a hoops contract in a league of wheelchair bound dwarves. TomG has been oddly and completely off base about a number of things. Just so you guys know. I'm not getting into some flame debate with somebody who clearly wants to play at being some kind of knowledgeable sports person. But I wouldn't exactly take his advice on faith.

The whole parlay idiocy at WoV, and TomG is part of it, is unbelievable. Outside of a couple of very specific instances, which Boz and any halfway experienced people know, parlays are really silly.

A dentist friend from Florida who I partnered with, had a good parlay bettors quote, "Parlays are for poor people."


There are a lot of people who recommend doing what they don't or can't do gambling-wise, which should raise alarm bells for credibility. These forums are loaded with posers and pseudo-intellectuals, people who play at expertise when they couldn't earn a Ph.D. in what they're babbling if you spotted them a Masters and five years' tuition.

I thought, initially, that accountinquestion and TomG might be the same person because of their know-everything schtick. People who think sports betting (across all sports, no less) is some easily conquerable gig, some add-on to an AP skills inventory, are on serious drugs. But it seems to be a common myth. My supposition is that most APs dabble in sports gambling. They don't bet enough to feel the losses, and they don't keep meticulous records. I get a kick out of Axel with his, "I know folks who won sports betting , but the edges are too small so they gave it up." I mean, c'mon, sports betting isn't machine play. All you have to do to make more money is bet more....if you can win.

And, like most people, Axel doesn't even mention people he knows specializing in specific sports. If you are inside sports gambling, that's kind of a dead giveaway that we're in the land of fairy tales.

This is subjective on my part, but it's my best guess. I think there are, in the U.S., between 100 and 200 individuals or teams who actually win long term betting sports. Some might find this a really small number, but when Betfair was forced to reveal it's number of six-digit winners out of hundreds of thousands of players in horse racing, it was about a dozen. So keep that in mind. Almost everything posted regarding sports betting is bluster and posing.