Frank, Im sorry. You are mixing "math" with Singer's goals. I think you should ask him about this yourself.
Singer is willing to forego small wins for the chance of big wins.
Hence my comment -- he will drop 2+2 to get 3+3.
For a real example look at Special play #2 on http://alanbestbuys.com/id194.html I think this one clearly defines what Singer is trying to do with "special plays." He wants to maximize the wins forgoing the smaller payoffs.
I'm not saying it's the right thing to do. In fact, I don't do it. But that's part of Rob's system.
Again, you are trying to defend basic math, and there is no disputing the math. Rob says, in effect, screw the math and try for something better.
Look I'm not saying he's right. I'm just explaining what it is he's trying to do.
Arc: give it up. "Reporting" is not being "conned."
But the censorship you advocate is what's really scary.