The Mdawg "challenge"

[redietz]

Any semi sharp player can see how full of shit he is. People who aren't sharp believe all kinds of retarded shit when it comes to gambling, so who cares whether or not they believe him. WOZ is a forum for people who aren't sharp.

Let cunts be cunts.

The thing that first struck me when I went on forums after a lifetime of operating solo was how gambling-clueless people were, even people who were allegedly expert at something. I was shocked, because I was actually learning stuff about comps and player systems and best times to eat where, but I learned just about nothing about gambling in general and absolutely nothing about what I do best. It was stunning to realize all these know-somethings knew nothing. And all of these folks thought they were jacks of all gambling trades. It's ridiculous.

When I ran into WoV promoting the use of a "parlay analyzer," that pretty much was the fat lady singing for me regarding "forum expertise."

I can't for the life of me figure out why you are so stuck on debunking parlays. They are a legit way to gain an advantage in situations where you normally couldn't. There are situations where parlays can achieve a much higher % and earn than straight betting, even if you were a good handicapper.

A parlay analyzer is no different from a VP, keno BJ, craps, or roulette analyzer, they are tools that help one determine percentages.

Anyways, who are these know-somethings who knew nothing and who is claiming to be an expert at what? Are you an expert at sports betting?

I'm an expert at college football betting. There are no "sports betting experts" just like there are no doctors who do brain surgery on Monday and deliver children on Saturday and treat bunions on Sunday.

Regarding parlays, you have got to be kidding me. Outside of the occasional promo where parlay odds are pumped up beyond what they should be,
parlay betting off the board is usually idiotic. Now I am talking off the board, not off frozen lines on parlay cards. And I am talking parlays that do not have OPEN components. Parlay CARDS and OPEN parlays are betable. But in neither case does one need a parlay calculator.

If I have to explain why off the board parlays are generally idiotic, you're beyond salvation, but I'll do it anyway.

Lines move. I know. Huge inside info. Lines vary from book to book and from minute to minute. Lines especially move massively in the two sports that have historically proven most beatable -- college football and college hoops. Some would argue that these are the ONLY beatable sports.

If you are betting parlays off the board at one place and time, you are not getting the optimal numbers for the games involved 99% of the time. That use of non-optimal numbers has a cost, and that cost is not figured into any formula employed by a "parlay calculator." I submit that the cost of employing non-optimal numbers exceeds any angle advantages people think they have by employing parlays.

And not just that. Betting parlays off the board at one place at one time teaches two fundamental bad habits -- impulsivity (I must bet it now) and laziness (why check numbers 24/7 week-long at every location when I can just bet a parlay using my parlay calculator?).