Originally Posted by Don Perignom
I'd want to look at his reasoning, if available. Because this outcome can happen through ordinary chance.Originally Posted by Half Smoke
From a probability calculator:
https://goodcalculators.com/coin-fli...ty-calculator/
If my actual skill level is 55%, then my chance of achieving 66%+ in 100 trials is almost 2%.
If I'm applying this correctly, then a 60-entrant contest should produce one 66%+ outcome despite everyone being only 55% skilled.
If I'm totally unskilled (50%), then I'm only 0.1% to achieve 66%+. But a contest of >1000 unskilled entrants should produce at least one such outlier.
it wasn't anywhere near a 60 entrant contest - there were 21 entrants in 2021
you could try creating an account at WOV and sending a PM to Johnzimbo to get his reasoning - other than doing the picks he's not very active there
how about figuring out the chance that one person could go 71-36 one year and 37-63 the next year__________(-:\_____________good luck with that - I know I couldn't do it
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