Professional Sportsbetting

[Half Smoke]

Still early, but I'm 16-8 in MLB and up well over 7 units (where I am betting 1 unit flat on every bet, for fair and easy record keeping).

I slightly won last MLB season after a bad first half, where I made up for it during the second half. I made some adjustments for this year, including mostly avoiding unders until the rule change impact on them is better seen, and paying more attention to CSW (called strike/whiff) rate and swinging strikes, when it comes to evaluating pitchers. Last year I was focusing more on velocity and K/BB ratios, but this year I'm also closely examining CSW and swinging strikes.

One nice thing about my baseball season so far is that most of my 16 wins were not close. A very high percentage of them were clear victories almost the entire way. That's a sign that I'm doing things right, at least for now.

I had a monster NFL season, and decent NCAAF season.

However, I absolutely cannot beat basketball, either college or NBA. I think it's time to quit them.

many fewer picks but if you take out hoops Dan is crushing EV analytics and their about 2% r.o.i.


2.7% r.o.i. on 123 MLB picks last season

7.1% r.o.i. on 95 picks in the NCAAF last season

and an awesome 19% r.o.i. this past season on 88 NFL picks

and way, way up so far with 24 picks in this MLB season



but to be fair to EV Analytics, I'm not sure if Dan's record from prior years - if it was included - would still be a crush

Dan would have to answer that - I don't feel like going back over all that

even if the prior years didn't hold up to the most current year - still - Dan may have improved a great deal - and the most current year might be representative of his abilities

again, the "I dunno" or mystery factor shows itself in sports betting


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