Originally Posted by
redietz
In the past, I've bet $500 here and 2K or 3K there and fired back and forth and had longshots at 20-1 and all that, but there is no way I'm betting more than $500 on this one. There is too much chance something strange happens -- deaths or cognitive incapacitation or whatever. Also, you can't really arbitrage this one because there are too many potential issues with "is someone prez after Tuesday in November or after December or after being sworn in and what if he dies in between various dates?" Plus the incapacitation questions for those dates. Just real chance of screwing yourself trying to arbitrage this one.