It was just the 3 spins. You don't build up more free play by hitting something small.Originally Posted by jdog
Say you ran well and got 8 hands out of $15FP, this is still about a 1 in 5000 occurrence... certainly plausible but unlikely.Originally Posted by kewlJ
Look, I have hit at least 2 dozen royal flushes. Just running normal, that would be close to a million hands. And I didn't even handle the majority of our machine play....my partner did. He easily has 2.5 to 3 times that much play. In blackjack I am easily over 2 million rounds played, as I am almost at 2 million dollars won and for a long time my expectation per round was below $1. So easily over 2 million rounds. Probably closer to 3 million.Originally Posted by jdog
Over the past couple years I play a style and limits of blackjack that I don't spend nearly the time I used to in casinos. It is now maybe 8-10 hours a week (maybe 15 on a three day weekend), when it used to be 30-35, and before that when I was playing lower limit 15 years ago, as much as 50-60 hours a week.
When you spend this amount of time in casinos and have this number of trials, spins, or rounds, you are going to experience some unusual things. Some things that mathematically seem unlikely.
I have seen 4 straight dealer blackjack probably 3 or 4 times now. What are the odds of that? Roughly 1 in a couple hundred thousand. And I probably would have seen that even more except a few times I have exited after 3 straight dealer blackjack. Not because of any voodoo nonsense like the dealer is hot, but because they have used up some aces and 10 value and the count is probably negative and time to exit.
In 2011, I experienced a shoe that I have named the 'perfect shoe'. 6 deck shoe. Started off playing with 2 other players. For 6 or 7 rounds tons of small cards coming out. Dealer was pulling 19's, 20's and 21's on everything. 4 and 5 card 20's and 21's. First 1 player dropped out and then the second. I am at a monster plus count playing heads up with the dealer with more than 30 rounds left. From that moment, I didn't lose a round. Pushed 2, but won every other round. Probably 32 out of 34 with 2 pushed. What are the odds of that? I will bet they are pretty damn high. But it happened.
And guess what, I didn't receive a single blackjack out of those 30 some rounds that I won all with a high count and high number of aces and ten value remains. Figure the odds of that and then add that in. What are the odds of both these things occurring?
If a player plays enough, he will experience some unusual things. But there is a line. 18 y.o in a row. I have always thought Alan was mistaken. Not intentionally so. Selective memory comes into play. Mdawg claims he won 60 hands at blackjack in a row. That is double what occurred in my perfect shoe experience and with no pushes. I don't believe him
The problem with you people is you are now on a mission (not mission146), a witch hunt to prove me wrong at every turn because the whole damn bunch of you are obsessed with hating and trolling me. You are working it backwards.
I network with some other professional blackjack players. used to be more as there are fewer pure card counters around as everyone has moved on to other advantage play. The benefit of networking is you are looking for information that can directly lead to money. So and So casino is dealing 5.5 decks of 6. Or maybe a lucrative side bet. But really that rarely happens as most players keep that kind of stuff to themselves when they find it (including me). If they share something like that it is after the fact. But there are other things they might share. But you know what my single favorite thing about networking is. When someone shares some unusual experience like I just mentioned. And I never think well that didn't happen because it is a 1 in 20 million chance. Players that play a lot, for many years see and experience some unusual things. PERIOD!
But you people on this forum, with your trolling, hating, witch-hunting of someone you decide you don't like, are the exact reason these forums are what they are. Filled with trolls and haters and few real players. And the real players that do participate, even they are there for the trolling. (MaxPen).
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