“One grain of luck sometimes worth more than whole rice field of wisdom.” - Charlie Chan at the Circus (1936)Originally Posted by Half Smoke
“One grain of luck sometimes worth more than whole rice field of wisdom.” - Charlie Chan at the Circus (1936)Originally Posted by Half Smoke
Every one /everyone knows it all; yet, no thing /nothing is truly known by any one /anyone. Similarly, the suckers think that they win, but, the house always wins, unless to hand out an even worse beating.
https://youtu.be/OxgmMbSZ99w
Garnabby + OppsIdidItAgain + ThomasClines (or TomasHClines) + TheGrimReaper + LMR + OneHitWonder (or 1HitWonder, 1Hit1der) + Bill Yung ---> GOTTLOB1, or GOTTLOB = Praise to God! And, MHF.
Blog at https://garnabby.blogspot.com/
great quote GarnabbyOriginally Posted by Garnabby
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one of yesterday's picks - Jalen Duren didn't play - any bets don't count - no action
today - Twins at Orioles -
Manuel Margot under 1.5 hits __________-195
he's gone under that total 11 of 12 times this season and 18 of his last 22 at bats last season
the Orioles starting pitcher is mediocre - the Orioles bullpen is very tough
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...bcategory=hits
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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prop for today - NBA - Lakers/Pelicans -
Rui Hachimura over 4.5 rebounds -135
he's been over that total in his last 6 games and 8 out of his last 10 games
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...egory=rebounds
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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one more for today - Warriors/Kings - De'Aaron Fox under 3.5 three pointers made - 155 - he's been under that total in 30 of his last 38 games
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ategory=threes
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
I am withdrawing my pick on Fox for today - second thoughts - hope that's allowed____Originally Posted by Half Smoke- he doesn't get a lot of threes - but it's a key game and he's just too good - my bad -
if anybody bet him because of my pick I still think they have a pretty good bet - just not up to par for me
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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today -
royals/white sox -
Martin Maldonado under 0.5 hits_____________-140
he's a very light hitter batting just 0.65 and only 1.91 last season - he's gone hitless in 10 out of his last 12 games
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...bcategory=hits
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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today - 1:10 p.m.
Angels/Rays
Pitcher Ryan Pepiot under 6.5 strikeouts_______________-145
he's been under 6.5 Ks in 18 of his 21 starts in the last 3 seasons including this one
edit - they just worsened the line to -165 about one minute ago - it's still my pick
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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ikeouts-thrown
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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Rangers/Braves
pitcher Andrew Heaney under 4.5 strikeouts_____________-135
he's been under 4.5 Ks in 13 of his last 14 starts
he's facing the Braves - the best hitting team in the MLB (in batting average)
in his last 15 starts he has only pitched over 4 innings in one game - and is very often pulled well before that - current era - 6.75
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...=pitcher-props
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Last edited by Half Smoke; 04-19-2024 at 06:37 AM.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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Caris LeVert over 11.5 points +102
he's been over 11.5 in 6 of his last 7 games - his last 4 are 16,18,18, and 21 - he averages 14
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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ategory=points
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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one more for today
Miles Mikolas to allow more than 5.5 hits______________-145
he's allowed more hits than that in 3 out of 4 starts this year and 22 out of his last 34
he's facing the Brewers who are the 3rd best hitting team in the MLB (batting average)
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...y=hits-allowed
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
I have been fading Mikolas since halfway through last season. Usually some combination of being against cardinals for game or first 5 innings or betting the opponent team run line over, or betting the over for both teams for the first 5 innings. Anything that can take advantage of the guy giving up 4 or 5 runs in 5 innings.
The insecure little man that posts as Mdawg is no longer worth of that handle. From this point forward he will be known as "turtle" in reference to his insecurity and small dick that accompanies such insecure, little men.
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one last one for today
Lane Thomas a .195 hitter for the Nationals going under 1.5 total bases________________-180
he's been under that total 15 of 19 times this year
he's facing starter Ronel Blanco of the Astros who has a 0.86 era
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ry=total-bases
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
Originally Posted by MDawg
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas
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Pablo Reyes slumping for the Red Sox batting just .167 under 1.5 total bases______________-145
he's been under that total in 14 of his 15 games this year
facing Martin Perez of the Pirates who currently has a 2.55 era_____________1:35
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ry=total-bases
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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gonna make tomorrow's pick - a non prop pick - early, because I think the line may get a lot worse as we approach game time
Bruins -135 over Maple leafs___________playoff game in TD Garden
Bruins crushed them on Saturday and beat them in all 4 regular season games
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/hockey/nhl
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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the pick on Reyes lost
.going to try and get some of that loss back
Darius Vines Braves pitcher tonight - under 2.5 earned runs allowed_________-120
he's played in 6 games in the majors and given up just 10 runs - only played 1 game this year and gave up just one run in four innings
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...d-runs-allowed
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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I found this site "Pickwise" that gives free "expert" MLB picks - see link
I didn't really expect them to do well but I've tracked a few days and they have gone 18-7 in that time
I'm not going to figure out exactly what the r.o.i. is but they average about - 120 - so they are way, way, ahead - they don't pick extreme faves - not that I've seen so far
Maybe they are an exception to the rule - you wouldn't expect to find good free picks at a dotcom like this
they have picked many totals - all unders - they like unders like Druff
I was quite surprised that they have done this well
I will keep tracking and report after I have tracked 100 games
they probably have all their picks up by about 11:00
https://www.pickswise.com/mlb/picks/
Last edited by Half Smoke; 05-08-2024 at 05:02 AM.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
Here is an angle I found interesting. It comes courtesy of the ESPN Bet live crew (used to be called Daily Wager).
Since 2005. NBA teams returning home down 0-2 after losing the first 2 games on the road, which is the case tonight with Indiana, have covered the halftime spread 70 out of 100 times. (Even I can come up with the math on that....70%).
The theory or reasoning is that they ride the enthusiasm of their fans to a quick start and early lead, which may or may not hold up for the entire game.
I already liked the Pacers to hit their team over 115, which they could hit and STILL lose, so adding this half time -5.5 fits right along with it.
Go Pacers. Smack down those snotty Villanova Boys.
BTW, Half Smoke, PickWise went 0-7 yesterday. their "expert" picks weren't so expert. lets hope they got that out of their system.
The insecure little man that posts as Mdawg is no longer worth of that handle. From this point forward he will be known as "turtle" in reference to his insecurity and small dick that accompanies such insecure, little men.
Originally Posted by jdog
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas
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earlier I posted that I would track 100 games of Pickswise - I've now tracked 76 picks - I've seen enough
they went 40-36 almost always picking the fave at odds averaging about -125
they're well down
conclusion - their picks have no value______________surprise, surprise, surprise
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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