Every one /everyone knows it all; yet, no thing /nothing is truly known by any one /anyone. Similarly, the suckers think that they win, but, the house always wins, unless to hand out an even worse beating.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xsa6ojQcYXQ
Garnabby + OppsIdidItAgain + ThomasClines (or TomasHClines) + The Grim Reaper + LMR + OneHitWonder (or 1HitWonder, 1Hit1der) + Bill Yung ---> GOTTLOB1, or GOTTLOB = Praise to God!
Blog at https://garnabby.blogspot.com/
great quote Garnabby
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one of yesterday's picks - Jalen Duren didn't play - any bets don't count - no action
today - Twins at Orioles -
Manuel Margot under 1.5 hits __________-195
he's gone under that total 11 of 12 times this season and 18 of his last 22 at bats last season
the Orioles starting pitcher is mediocre - the Orioles bullpen is very tough
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...bcategory=hits
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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prop for today - NBA - Lakers/Pelicans -
Rui Hachimura over 4.5 rebounds -135
he's been over that total in his last 6 games and 8 out of his last 10 games
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...egory=rebounds
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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one more for today - Warriors/Kings - De'Aaron Fox under 3.5 three pointers made - 155 - he's been under that total in 30 of his last 38 games
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ategory=threes
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
I am withdrawing my pick on Fox for today - second thoughts - hope that's allowed____ - he doesn't get a lot of threes - but it's a key game and he's just too good - my bad -
if anybody bet him because of my pick I still think they have a pretty good bet - just not up to par for me
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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today -
royals/white sox -
Martin Maldonado under 0.5 hits_____________-140
he's a very light hitter batting just 0.65 and only 1.91 last season - he's gone hitless in 10 out of his last 12 games
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...bcategory=hits
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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today - 1:10 p.m.
Angels/Rays
Pitcher Ryan Pepiot under 6.5 strikeouts_______________-145
he's been under 6.5 Ks in 18 of his 21 starts in the last 3 seasons including this one
edit - they just worsened the line to -165 about one minute ago - it's still my pick
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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ikeouts-thrown
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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Rangers/Braves
pitcher Andrew Heaney under 4.5 strikeouts_____________-135
he's been under 4.5 Ks in 13 of his last 14 starts
he's facing the Braves - the best hitting team in the MLB (in batting average)
in his last 15 starts he has only pitched over 4 innings in one game - and is very often pulled well before that - current era - 6.75
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...=pitcher-props
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Last edited by Half Smoke; 04-19-2024 at 06:37 AM.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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Caris LeVert over 11.5 points +102
he's been over 11.5 in 6 of his last 7 games - his last 4 are 16,18,18, and 21 - he averages 14
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https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ategory=points
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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one more for today
Miles Mikolas to allow more than 5.5 hits______________-145
he's allowed more hits than that in 3 out of 4 starts this year and 22 out of his last 34
he's facing the Brewers who are the 3rd best hitting team in the MLB (batting average)
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...y=hits-allowed
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
I have been fading Mikolas since halfway through last season. Usually some combination of being against cardinals for game or first 5 innings or betting the opponent team run line over, or betting the over for both teams for the first 5 innings. Anything that can take advantage of the guy giving up 4 or 5 runs in 5 innings.
Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".
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one last one for today
Lane Thomas a .195 hitter for the Nationals going under 1.5 total bases________________-180
he's been under that total 15 of 19 times this year
he's facing starter Ronel Blanco of the Astros who has a 0.86 era
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ry=total-bases
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas
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Pablo Reyes slumping for the Red Sox batting just .167 under 1.5 total bases______________-145
he's been under that total in 14 of his 15 games this year
facing Martin Perez of the Pirates who currently has a 2.55 era_____________1:35
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...ry=total-bases
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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gonna make tomorrow's pick - a non prop pick - early, because I think the line may get a lot worse as we approach game time
Bruins -135 over Maple leafs___________playoff game in TD Garden
Bruins crushed them on Saturday and beat them in all 4 regular season games
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/leagues/hockey/nhl
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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the pick on Reyes lost
.going to try and get some of that loss back
Darius Vines Braves pitcher tonight - under 2.5 earned runs allowed_________-120
he's played in 6 games in the majors and given up just 10 runs - only played 1 game this year and gave up just one run in four innings
https://sportsbook.draftkings.com/le...d-runs-allowed
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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I found this site "Pickwise" that gives free "expert" MLB picks - see link
I didn't really expect them to do well but I've tracked a few days and they have gone 18-7 in that time
I'm not going to figure out exactly what the r.o.i. is but they average about - 120 - so they are way, way, ahead - they don't pick extreme faves - not that I've seen so far
Maybe they are an exception to the rule - you wouldn't expect to find good free picks at a dotcom like this
they have picked many totals - all unders - they like unders like Druff
I was quite surprised that they have done this well
I will keep tracking and report after I have tracked 100 games
they probably have all their picks up by about 11:00
https://www.pickswise.com/mlb/picks/
Last edited by Half Smoke; 05-08-2024 at 05:02 AM.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
Here is an angle I found interesting. It comes courtesy of the ESPN Bet live crew (used to be called Daily Wager).
Since 2005. NBA teams returning home down 0-2 after losing the first 2 games on the road, which is the case tonight with Indiana, have covered the halftime spread 70 out of 100 times. (Even I can come up with the math on that....70%).
The theory or reasoning is that they ride the enthusiasm of their fans to a quick start and early lead, which may or may not hold up for the entire game.
I already liked the Pacers to hit their team over 115, which they could hit and STILL lose, so adding this half time -5.5 fits right along with it.
Go Pacers. Smack down those snotty Villanova Boys.
BTW, Half Smoke, PickWise went 0-7 yesterday. their "expert" picks weren't so expert. lets hope they got that out of their system.
Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".
I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.
MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas
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earlier I posted that I would track 100 games of Pickswise - I've now tracked 76 picks - I've seen enough
they went 40-36 almost always picking the fave at odds averaging about -125
they're well down
conclusion - their picks have no value______________surprise, surprise, surprise
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the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
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