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Thread: Quick Note for Todd

  1. #101
    Originally Posted by accountinquestion View Post

    You telling me to let it go? I'm only responding because he brings it up in the first post in this thread. JFC how broken is your brain.

    You are THE person who should "let things go".

    It isn't about whether he is right or wrong - it is how he is wrong and insults everyone (people far from VCT) while never even trying to actually engage the subject.

    "of course he is wrong". You could say this shit about Mdawg/Singer and yet you'll post 10 times a day repeating yourself.

    I wonder if you could possibly realize all this .... but funnily enough probably not.

    Projection is a crazy thing to me. So common.
    You are right. I should let the Mdawg and Singer shit go....completely. I try at times. Sometimes do pretty well and then they come along and repeat their shit all over again and if I am in the right (or wrong) mood, I can't help myself, because it bothers me that much. I will continue to try to work on it. You should to.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  2. #102
    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    The thirty-three most major UNKewl lies I can think of
    Yeah, how are things at that mid 7 figure Dawg Mansion?

    And see even THAT, I haven't dwelled on too much, because it is just an insecure dude blowing himself up to be something he is not. It is not directly related to your claims that defy the way things work. THAT is what I haven't liked. The 1-50 spreads and winning every day while no one cares. These bullshit statements are absolutely 100% contradictory to reality. To be an AP and real winning player, long term in Vegas, you have to work at it!! It doesn't work the way you portray it for your "adventure story".

    And how you are even still around is beyond me. How does a guy write on not one, not two, not 3, but FOUR different forums, daily FOR 7 MONTHS, about winning day after day, totaling over a million (by Mission146 count) dollars won, and then in one sentence say "we went over my records and I am about even". How does that person even have the balls to show up again?

    Compare that to me and what you have on me. I had to change some minor details of events to protect YOU from gaining my identity.

    Everything else is just silliness on a troll forum.
    Kew, you're bringing out your inner tasha....again. Like her, you cannot stop saying stupid things that make yourself look like a big fat fool. The same lies over and over again. You want to believe them so much that you've actually talked yourself into believing them. My only question at this point is, why are you not repeating the proven lie about those MGM execs who chose to risk it all for who must be known to them as "rim job kew" by handing over mdawg's personal and financial records....and right to your door!

  3. #103
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    NFL Regular Season 2023/24 he went 25-25 +0.1 units.
    Interesting. I didn't realize this. He started so strong the first couple weeks. And tagging along with him, I started very strong the first couple weeks. And I dropped below .500 still playing his picks. Kind of a mirror. But I can't blame Dan Druff (nor would I). I was doing several different things, including Half Smoke's first 2 week NFL play which went very well.

    But here is the thing about Dan Druff: (besides being a crappy forum administrator with rules that encourage trolling ) Isn't Dan Druff's sports betting more or less recreational? So you would expect the results mickey just posted. Some a little better than others. Hopefully, he is getting some good bonuses that make his about .500 picks profitable.

    One more thing about DD's sports picks (any sport). The guy is very streaky. He will win 5 or 6 and then lose 5 or 6. If you are going to tag along with him....keep that in mind.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  4. #104
    Originally Posted by Rob.Singer View Post
    Kew, you're bringing out your inner tasha....again. Like her, you cannot stop saying stupid things that make yourself look like a big fat fool. The same lies over and over again. You want to believe them so much that you've actually talked yourself into believing them. My only question at this point is, why are you not repeating the proven lie about those MGM execs who chose to risk it all for who must be known to them as "rim job kew" by handing over mdawg's personal and financial records....and right to your door!
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    The moment that I knew this gal was capable of anything as far as simply making things up was when she claimed that the casino executives visited her on a Sunday Halloween to hand over "my" player records to her. It wasn't just that the story was completely implausible, it was also that I, being the person about whom she was talking, knew that she was lying.

    At that point I realized that she (and yes, UnKewlJ deserves to be called a she at least for being such a drama queen) was willing to make up anything to back up whatever it was s/he was claiming. The made up lawsuit, the stacks of unnamed, unknown, never to be revealed APs and others who "know" that UNKewlJ is telling the truth, all of these and more are part and parcel of the same method - the M.O. of a compulsive liar.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  5. #105
    Originally Posted by Rob.Singer View Post

    Kew, you're bringing out your inner tasha....again. Like her, you cannot stop saying stupid things that make yourself look like a big fat fool. The same lies over and over again. You want to believe them so much that you've actually talked yourself into believing them. My only question at this point is, why are you not repeating the proven lie about those MGM execs who chose to risk it all for who must be known to them as "rim job kew" by handing over mdawg's personal and financial records....and right to your door!

    Singer, You repeat Mdawgs talking points as if you are one of Trumps lackey's repeating his. That is sad and a bit of a decline for you (not unexpected at your age), as you have always at least come up with your own shit.

    No one handed me "personal" or "financial' records for anyone. I was given a copy of gambling totals for a player that matched Mdawg claims. Not matched the winning, but matched the amounts and length of play (7 straight months) And it turned out it was him. No surprise as there aren't that many players that play at that level for the length of time he described. So it wasn't that hard for my friend to come up with his actual results. Only thing was Mdawg was in the red when he was claiming hundreds of thousands in winnings. But then he wiped that away with the "about even" correction.

    That I put this friend at risk (for whatever risk that was) over this internet type nonsense, is one of my bigger regrets. I didn't actually ask him to print out anything and hand it to me. I casually said there is a guy on the forums, claiming....blah, blah, blah. See what you can find out. I thought he would come back and say, yeah there is a guy matching that kind of play, but he is losing not winning. I didn't expect him to hand me the information like he did.

    My friend does keep an eye on the databases for me and relays any information about me. And that is a VERY, VERY valuable asset for me. I should have never asked him for anything regarding Mdawgs internet nonsense.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  6. #106
    I'll tell you something else about that friendship that I value including something I have never shared before. I had a session back in 2011 which I originally wrote about on a blackjack forum and later reposted the story at WoV, calling it the "perfect shoe". The (6 deck) shoe was "perfect" on two fronts. Started out with 2 other players. After a couple rounds of small cards coming out and all of us losing to dealer 4 and 5 card 20's and 21's., the other 2 dropped out, leaving me playing heads up with a monster count. From that point on playing my max bet and even what I called a super max bet of 50% higher than my normal max bet, I didn't lose a hand. I don't know how many rounds there were, probably close to 40 and I pushed on one hand (side story) and one hand that I spit, I won 1 and lost one for a push, but won every other round. Oddly, or maybe "funnily", I received no blackjacks despite the monster high count with lots of aces and 10 value remaining.

    So my now friend was working the pit that day. I don't remember seeing him, so I don't think he was on my table, but he was in the pit and knew what was happening. I avoided a backoff, exiting immediately at the shuffle and weaving my way to the door without cashing out. So I met this guy sometime later at a bar a mile from the strip where this session occurred. He introduced himself, bought me a beer, told me he was in the pit and witnessed the play and informed me not to play at that casino on his shift or he would trespass me. He bought another beer and we talked for a while and became friends

    So why didn't he trespass or back me off that day when the session occurred? Well in part because I had rapidly exited not giving anyone that chance. But he could have waited until I next played again. the answer is that he is also a card counter in his own time. Obviously not professional. recreational or hobby, or whatever you want to call it. His Max bet is only $100 (still I think), so he is only making hobby type money. BUT, we have talked a lot of blackjack over the years. He frequently asks questions and advice and I have shared a lot of things that I am sure helped his game. So it has been a good friendship for both

    A truly one of a kind (probably not) Vegas type friendship between a card counter and pit critter.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  7. #107
    Originally Posted by accountinquestion View Post
    Pathetic...you were far better when you stuck with blackjack. You had your head so far up the ass of online blackjack forums that you actually had reasonable contributions from all the various stuff that people have done/suggested over the years.
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    The better lies worn smooth through years of use.

    The not so good lies? The ones UNKewLyingJ didn't have time to perfect.

    Originally Posted by accountinquestion View Post
    Next time you want to tell a whopper, talk to me and lets walk through it. I'll only charge you $200.
    But, all lies nonetheless.

    Name:  
Views: 
Size:
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  8. #108
    And the side story for the one hand pushed; I drew a 10 (I think 5,5) vs dealer 10. This is a double down play at any high count above +5 and this monster count was way above +5, so by the math I should have doubled down.

    But doubling 10 vs 10, much like splitting 10's is a play I just don't like. It is too big a tell as only card counters and idiots make these plays. But still this count was soooo high, you would be losing EV not to make it. I decided just to hit and drew a 2. for a 12. I re-hit drawing an 8 and pushed with the dealer 20. Had I doubled, I would have lost the double my 12 vs dealer 20. Call it good "luck" or the BJ gods smiling on me that special day.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  9. #109
    Mdawg You continually posting that image of a compulsive liar tag on another forum, where no such tag or label was EVER issued, is just more proof of who the liar really is.

    Hard on you I am sure to read my real experiences compared to your silly made up experiences of 1-50 spreads for 10 hours and 60 winning blackjack hands in a row.

    What is the term AinQ used? Jealousy? Mdawg a guy who claims he was born into wealth, is a partner in a big law firm and wins millions a year gambling is jealous of and spends all his time punching down at a mid level card counter. And that is "The undeniable truth".
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  10. #110
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Actually, I'm sure that Todd has a decent feel for why certain offshores allow certain clients and don't allow others. But you'd have to quiz him on his experiences with some of the offshores.
    I don't think I have to quiz Dan. I can just analyze his results. So let's hop over to the sports betting section and take a look at some stats:

    2023/24 NHL: He was 16-14 in March but ended the season with a 7 game losing streak.

    NFL Regular Season 2023/24 he went 25-25 +0.1 units.


    2023/24 NBA: Results posted thru Jan 14 he was 25-21 +1.79 units

    2023 College Football: 21-31 -10.6 units

    For the 2022-23 NBA: Thru 118 games he was stuck 16 units. His results probably got worse from there as he said he would quit NBA betting.

    2022 MLB he won 3.35 units thru 123 games

    2022-23 NHL-When he last posted his results he was +0.66 units thru 34 games.

    2022-23 College basketball: -8 units thru 126 games.

    2022/23 NFL: Opened up with an 18-2-1 run then wound up 54-32-2 +26 units for the season.

    2021-22 NBA: Didn't post results other than saying in late Dec "terrible season for me so far."

    2020-21 NBA he won 3.69 units
    __________________________________________

    Other than that great NFL season I would say although he is holding his own, he's not doing any damage to them.

    If he were consistently beating them out of 20 units per hundred picks they would make a move.

    See, this is what I mean. Mickey has no idea what I'm talking about. This has nothing to do with Todd having an alleged stellar record and getting banned or anything like that.

    What I was referencing was Todd posting previously that he tried to sign up a couple of years ago for two offshores that I was using and got nowhere. One said they were a private entity; the other said he needed a recommendation from a current client or something like that. He publicly reported this. So what a bright person might ask is why there are such things as "private offshores" and why they would allow certain players but not others.

    Mickey doesn't remember Todd's comments. But he remembers what Swingin' Joe and the Sharps Brigade are posting on Youtube every week. LOL.

    And mickey's last paragraph is kind of silly. Nobody's beating anybody on a decades-long basis with a 20 unit profit out of a hundred plays each year, which would require a lifetime ATS percentage in the low 60's. And nobody except single-sport specialists are close. This is why I say that the naivete here is often frightening.

    And further, no, even if Todd were winning with a 20 unit profit out of each 100 plays, certain places would not ban him or necessarily restrict him. If you can't fathom this, that sports betting is not machine play, is not coin flipping, is completely different in structure, priorities, and organization, nobody can help you.

    I erased half a dozen comments that were true and accurate for a summary line but were insulting. So I'll just conclude with the fact that some of you have no real experience figuring any of this out. It's sad. Hard to believe, really. Watching you guys discuss sports betting is like watching people try to drive nails with a handsaw. God bless you.

  11. #111
    After realizing that he hadn't quite "studied up" enough to show that he knew what he was talking about,

    Originally Posted by jdog View Post
    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    I am mostly arguing blackjack concepts with people that don't play blackjack.
    Yes you're a BJ "expert" who didn't seem to realize that re-doubling would create more advantage as well as another hit. Please continue to illuminate us mere mortals with your wisdom.
    UNKewlJ came back with a heavy on the double down anecdote, a story he lifted, like everything else he has to say that isn't generically bland, from a composite of things he read or heard about.

    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    This is a double down play at any high count above +5 and this monster count was way above +5, so by the math I should have doubled down.
    Originally Posted by MaxPen View Post
    This dude is a fraud. He just tries to piece together things that he imagines goes on based on a culmination of bits and pieces of stories he pulls from the Internet. Clown world.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  12. #112
    Redietz, I think perhaps you mistake your inability to communicate whatever it is that you wish to say for your audience's ignorance of the same.

  13. #113
    Take a look for example at what I posted today, off handedly actually, about stock trading.

    https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-...40/#post927262

    It's obvious to anyone that knows (or even anyone who doesn't) that I know what I'm talking about and am actually doing it. Shoot straight from the hip, no long breaks to Study Up and come back with a story, and no contradictions, no nonsense, no lies.

    UNKewlJ on the other hand can't even describe a hand of blackjack without getting caught in contradictions and lies and having to come back again and again to try to Explain His Position and tell us why something he said was such an obvious lie.

    Originally Posted by MaxPen View Post
    Compulsive liar is a fair assessment of what he is. If people go back and look at your last few stories they will see a trend in you always changing the story after you get caught lying.
    Originally Posted by MaxPen View Post
    You're aware of nothing. You only make things up in your mind to fit whatever conclusions you have drawn. You don't care if you have to lie or distort facts in order for the story to be written the way you perceive it to be.

    You're a fraud. So really, nobody cares what you have to say about others anymore. Actually fading anything you say other than proven known facts is probably the way to go.
    Last edited by MDawg; 05-29-2024 at 08:53 PM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  14. #114
    If the FraudJ would make at least one more confession that he made up the MGM Execs coming to his pad on Sunday Halloween fable it would lend him a tiny bit of credibility. That he can't see how ridiculous this (and other, such as the "15 minutes to reprogram the shuffler,") stories are, is representative of how deeply ingrained he is in his mental illness.

    Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Had MaxPen not done his searching, we would probably still be reading long essays about the lawsuits, and how we are all fools to be doubting it.
    Last edited by MDawg; 05-29-2024 at 09:06 PM.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  15. #115
    Originally Posted by MDawg View Post
    If the FraudJ would make at least one more confession that he made up the MGM Execs coming to his pad on Sunday Halloween fable it would lend him a tiny bit of credibility.
    A new revelation. That I have a friend who works in the industry that just happened to have access to the information that disproved Mdawg's big adventure "story" is what really set him off. That is when he doubled down getting nastier and nastier with his attacks and lies and doxxing. He blames me for his story falling apart.

    Mdawg you are a guy from a forum for writers, who is writing a story. That is all this is. All it ever was. You may enjoy gambling and maybe get comped well for your gambling, but you are not the greatest gambler ever. You are not the "Pope of Las Vegas". You don't win day after day and casinos welcome you and love you for it. That is NOT how Las Vegas works!

    I am sorry if me happening to know someone that was able to get to the truth pisses you off. But even before I shared that, there wasn't a real advantage player/long-term winning player that put any credence in your "adventure story" Not ONE! Not Dan Druff, nor Axelwolf, Half Smoke, or any real player on any forum, professional or not that knows how things work. NOT ONE!! The best you were able to do is buy Shackleford off and somehow get him to sign an NDA to not say what he really thinks.

    Maybe the story worked on the "writer's forum" But it was never going to work on a gambling forum with real players, including some that play for a living. It just wasn't.

    Better luck with your "I am the greatest stock trader ever" story.
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  16. #116
    And here is another revelation for you. When Mdawg showed up at WoV starting his adventure gambling story, it was about baccarat, not blackjack. As a matter of fact at that time, he told us he had been banned at multiple strip casino playing blackjack years earlier. I have no idea if that is true or not, but I have seen nothing he ever posted that would make me think any casino thought he was a threat, enough to ban him.

    So for the first year, his claims of daily winning was about bacarát, not blackjack. I wasn't even on WoV at that time. It was only after I was re-instated at WoV, that Madwg somehow felt this need to try to out-do me, and changed most of his story and claims to blackjack. To do this, he had to come up with that his previous bannings were reversed. What a hoot! How many real blackjack players (not many here I know), have heard of banning's being reversed? Mission146 argued it once, but that is just because Mission sometimes likes to argue.

    I am not saying it is impossible, but it just doesn't happen. Maybe if it were some high roller that was bring other high rollers to the game that would lose many times more, but in the absence of that. It just doesn't happen.

    Look, Mdawg, despite your higher playing level claims, there is a reason you can't compete with me. I am not a guy writing a story. All I do is share some experiences, that I feel comfortable sharing, from my many real experiences. You can't make up fiction to compete with that. Just doesn't work.

    And yes, I know there are members here that will say they don't believe me and my claims/stories/experiences. Like mickeycrimm recently said: They aren't being honest. Their bias overtakes their common sense.

    I don't care because I am not writing a story or book. It changes nothing for me. I know these same haters refuse to believe that too....that I don't care. But it changes nothing for me. I don't get more money if someone believes me or not. I am just a guy who enjoys sharing some experiences from my journey. And no matter what anyone here says, or what names you call me, I know there is a good number of players that have benefited from me doing so, in small and big ways.

    Can YOU say that Mdawg? Can you honestly say anyone has benefited from anything you have posted about gambling? How about You Rob, can you honestly say that? (This should be good).
    Dan Druff: "there's no question that MDawg has been an obnoxious braggart, and has rubbed a ton of people the wrong way. There's something missing from his stories. Either they're fabricated, grossly exaggerated, or largely incomplete".

  17. #117
    Pay dirt!

    Originally Posted by AccountInQuestion
    10X Multiplier response.
    I tell you it’s wonderful to be here, man. I don’t give a damn who wins or loses. It’s just wonderful to be here with you people.

    MDawg Adventures carry on at: https://www.truepassage.com/forums/f.../46-IPlayVegas

  18. #118
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Actually, I'm sure that Todd has a decent feel for why certain offshores allow certain clients and don't allow others. But you'd have to quiz him on his experiences with some of the offshores.
    I don't think I have to quiz Dan. I can just analyze his results. So let's hop over to the sports betting section and take a look at some stats:

    2023/24 NHL: He was 16-14 in March but ended the season with a 7 game losing streak.

    NFL Regular Season 2023/24 he went 25-25 +0.1 units.


    2023/24 NBA: Results posted thru Jan 14 he was 25-21 +1.79 units

    2023 College Football: 21-31 -10.6 units

    For the 2022-23 NBA: Thru 118 games he was stuck 16 units. His results probably got worse from there as he said he would quit NBA betting.

    2022 MLB he won 3.35 units thru 123 games

    2022-23 NHL-When he last posted his results he was +0.66 units thru 34 games.

    2022-23 College basketball: -8 units thru 126 games.

    2022/23 NFL: Opened up with an 18-2-1 run then wound up 54-32-2 +26 units for the season.

    2021-22 NBA: Didn't post results other than saying in late Dec "terrible season for me so far."

    2020-21 NBA he won 3.69 units
    __________________________________________

    Other than that great NFL season I would say although he is holding his own, he's not doing any damage to them.

    If he were consistently beating them out of 20 units per hundred picks they would make a move.

    See, this is what I mean. Mickey has no idea what I'm talking about. This has nothing to do with Todd having an alleged stellar record and getting banned or anything like that.

    What I was referencing was Todd posting previously that he tried to sign up a couple of years ago for two offshores that I was using and got nowhere. One said they were a private entity; the other said he needed a recommendation from a current client or something like that. He publicly reported this. So what a bright person might ask is why there are such things as "private offshores" and why they would allow certain players but not others.

    Mickey doesn't remember Todd's comments. But he remembers what Swingin' Joe and the Sharps Brigade are posting on Youtube every week. LOL.

    And mickey's last paragraph is kind of silly. Nobody's beating anybody on a decades-long basis with a 20 unit profit out of a hundred plays each year, which would require a lifetime ATS percentage in the low 60's. And nobody except single-sport specialists are close. This is why I say that the naivete here is often frightening.

    And further, no, even if Todd were winning with a 20 unit profit out of each 100 plays, certain places would not ban him or necessarily restrict him. If you can't fathom this, that sports betting is not machine play, is not coin flipping, is completely different in structure, priorities, and organization, nobody can help you.

    I erased half a dozen comments that were true and accurate for a summary line but were insulting. So I'll just conclude with the fact that some of you have no real experience figuring any of this out. It's sad. Hard to believe, really. Watching you guys discuss sports betting is like watching people try to drive nails with a handsaw. God bless you.
    So let's revise it down to consistently winning 10 units per hundred. That would be about 57% at -110 against sides and totals, right? The web is saturated with guys crying about being limited for similar results but here is redietz once again shilling for the books.

    You are right. I don't remember Druff's comments about private offshore books. That's because I never read those comments. So here you are coming with another false premise.

    You avoid so much. You still haven't given any take on gaming commisions now being concerned with books limiting winning bettors while increasing limits for sucker bettors. But I'm sure if you think hard enough you can come up with a non-relevant answer that will insult the shit out of those asking such questions.

    You are purposely evasive in your responses. Consequently, you have no credibility. Instead of spouting your nonsense on a 7th tier gambling forum that nobody reads you should be out there in front of the masses of sports bettors spouting your schtick. That is, if you really think you are better than them all. You are hiding from the real sports betting world.
    Druff, let us know when you receive redietz’ credit score.

  19. #119
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    My point to you, since you are an "AP," is that your friend and mine, Richard Munchkin, agrees with this and agrees it kind of goes without saying. Which is actually really obvious.
    Redietz has rehabilited Richard Munchkin's image here at VCT. When I told ditz about all the pro sports bettors that appeared on VCT his response was along the lines of "Do you think the books are afraid of Dancer and Munchkin?" And "do you think the books are afraid of those blackjack players."

    But then I knew things were changing with him when he wrote he had dinner with a "real AP" in Las Vegas, and Munchkin agreed with him on EV.

    Munchkin went from being a gambling bum to world class in ditz' eyes. Great job of rehabilitating Munchkin, ditz. You've got another name you can drop.
    Druff, let us know when you receive redietz’ credit score.

  20. #120
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    Originally Posted by redietz View Post
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post

    I don't think I have to quiz Dan. I can just analyze his results. So let's hop over to the sports betting section and take a look at some stats:

    2023/24 NHL: He was 16-14 in March but ended the season with a 7 game losing streak.

    NFL Regular Season 2023/24 he went 25-25 +0.1 units.


    2023/24 NBA: Results posted thru Jan 14 he was 25-21 +1.79 units

    2023 College Football: 21-31 -10.6 units

    For the 2022-23 NBA: Thru 118 games he was stuck 16 units. His results probably got worse from there as he said he would quit NBA betting.

    2022 MLB he won 3.35 units thru 123 games

    2022-23 NHL-When he last posted his results he was +0.66 units thru 34 games.

    2022-23 College basketball: -8 units thru 126 games.

    2022/23 NFL: Opened up with an 18-2-1 run then wound up 54-32-2 +26 units for the season.

    2021-22 NBA: Didn't post results other than saying in late Dec "terrible season for me so far."

    2020-21 NBA he won 3.69 units
    __________________________________________

    Other than that great NFL season I would say although he is holding his own, he's not doing any damage to them.

    If he were consistently beating them out of 20 units per hundred picks they would make a move.

    See, this is what I mean. Mickey has no idea what I'm talking about. This has nothing to do with Todd having an alleged stellar record and getting banned or anything like that.

    What I was referencing was Todd posting previously that he tried to sign up a couple of years ago for two offshores that I was using and got nowhere. One said they were a private entity; the other said he needed a recommendation from a current client or something like that. He publicly reported this. So what a bright person might ask is why there are such things as "private offshores" and why they would allow certain players but not others.

    Mickey doesn't remember Todd's comments. But he remembers what Swingin' Joe and the Sharps Brigade are posting on Youtube every week. LOL.

    And mickey's last paragraph is kind of silly. Nobody's beating anybody on a decades-long basis with a 20 unit profit out of a hundred plays each year, which would require a lifetime ATS percentage in the low 60's. And nobody except single-sport specialists are close. This is why I say that the naivete here is often frightening.

    And further, no, even if Todd were winning with a 20 unit profit out of each 100 plays, certain places would not ban him or necessarily restrict him. If you can't fathom this, that sports betting is not machine play, is not coin flipping, is completely different in structure, priorities, and organization, nobody can help you.

    I erased half a dozen comments that were true and accurate for a summary line but were insulting. So I'll just conclude with the fact that some of you have no real experience figuring any of this out. It's sad. Hard to believe, really. Watching you guys discuss sports betting is like watching people try to drive nails with a handsaw. God bless you.
    So let's revise it down to consistently winning 10 units per hundred. That would be about 57% at -110 against sides and totals, right? The web is saturated with guys crying about being limited for similar results but here is redietz once again shilling for the books.

    You are right. I don't remember Druff's comments about private offshore books. That's because I never read those comments. So here you are coming with another false premise.

    You avoid so much. You still haven't given any take on gaming commisions now being concerned with books limiting winning bettors while increasing limits for sucker bettors. But I'm sure if you think hard enough you can come up with a non-relevant answer that will insult the shit out of those asking such questions.

    You are purposely evasive in your responses. Consequently, you have no credibility. Instead of spouting your nonsense on a 7th tier gambling forum that nobody reads you should be out there in front of the masses of sports bettors spouting your schtick. That is, if you really think you are better than them all. You are hiding from the real sports betting world.
    Redietz has ridiculed people (it was probably me) for claiming people are limited all the time. He'll try to strawman with you, 'do you think those sportsbooks care about YOUR action?'. He'll then come up with a few reasons why people are limited that are not due to their action.

    It is kinda weird though. If you don't believe in the concept of +EV betting then maybe you wouldn't believe sports-books are concerned of such things? If such betting doesn't exist then why would books be worried about guys just because they seem to be +EV sports betting? After all - he can tell you a dozen stories of fallen sports bettors who didn't keep the magic. Who would believe these bettors are consistent in picking off value? There is no concept of value.

    It really would make the most sense. How one nonsensical belief of his begets another.

    He is a fascinating specimen, that Redietz.

    All this flies in the face of accepted winnig sports bettor experiences. Dude should have gotten on twitter or found some other forum and at least TRIED to keep up with his peers and the world of sports-betting. Instead he sits around calling us fools vis-a-vis sportsbetting. lol

    Quality top tier poster. I removed him from my signature. I didn't really want him to stop posting.

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