BINGO!! This is exactly what I am concerned with or wondering about people I am not 100% sure with how they go about making their picks. If you are doing some kind of analysis, based on longterm past results, fine. Normal hot and cold streaks to be expected.Originally Posted by AxelWolf
Someone like Druff at times seems to find some kind of trend with like over or under basketball or football, which I sometimes wonder if the conditions that lead to him betting in that pattern have changed before he stops betting that pattern. Like last basketball season he noticed a pattern where many NBA games were going over, just after the all-star break, so betting that for a few weeks, he did fantastic. So when he loses a few games, I have to wonder if that is just normal or has something changed that he hasn't seen yet? I don't know because I don't know exactly what he is doing. I am not going to panic, but I may take a break from tagging along in that circumstance and just keep an eye on his picks for a couple day.
Now Monet is a completely different animal. I also don't know exactly what he is doing although it is obvious he is looking for value with the puck line, figuring at worst an open net goal can put him where he needs to be if the better team doesn't already put him there with a 3 or 4 goal win. But he is a little all over the place, I am not sure he wouldn't result to some sort of "chasing" as he experiences normal losing. He seems to have some of that kind of animal in him. So I am not going to blindly follow. I'll take a break from following him and see how he runs. And if I miss a few winning picks doing so, that is fine too.
Now one of the ESPN guys I follow uses almost strictly computer analysis. He takes all emotion out of his picks. So I am not going to back off his picks should he lose 4 or 5 uin a row.
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