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a game could open up as a pick 'em
then a few days later close to game time a fave could be bet down to -1.5 - happens quite often
so when would the bet be random________?___________when it was offered a a pick_________?__________or when it was offered at -1.5
my answer - if it is random - then it would be random close to game time after which there would be no changes in the line
and non-random early in the week
the bettors themselves, the sharps, move the bet spread closer to randomness the closer the bet is to the actual game time as the sharps make their late bets against the early non random line causing the books to alter their spread offering
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