Originally Posted by
mickeycrimm
Originally Posted by
redietz
You do realize my "wrong opinion" regarding the use of the term "EV" for sports betting is also Munchkin's take on it? I was prepped to argue the point with Munchkin, but there was zero need.
The more I think about it, the proper inroad for a discussion is the parallel between Todd's distaste for poker manipulations and my/McCusker's/Boz's distaste for, as McCusker coined, "Scamdicappers." There is a rich history of nonsense, which Boz knows about as well as I do. I suspect Boz knows 90% of what I know and knows a couple of things I do not.
I remember you saying the books were not afraid of Dancer and Munchkin. Munchkin is betting computer derived numbers in sportsbetting these days. Walter’s was always betting computer derived numbers.
Question for the radio show: Do you think your opinion based handicapping methodology is on a par with Walter’s’ mathematics based methodology?
Do you ever read what you write, mickey?
Walters hired me. I didn't hire him (not that I could afford him). LOL. So I give up, is my handicapping methodology on a par with his?
Additional hint: You need to be more honest when you write stuff. Writing "Walters' mathematics based methodology" is a sneaky way to sidestep the issue of stating clearly whether Walters was doing his own handicapping. He hired teams of dozens of people over time, varying by sport. So whether they used "power ratings" or not is largely irrelevant. They were doing the handicapping, for the most part. Walters was more of an overseer, a boss. Even your weasely way of asking the question is rhetorical. Most of the people Walters hired used some form of power rating. Some did not. Obviously, some did not, because I did not. And even the premise is silly. People use heuristics all the time as mathematical short cuts that are often more precise than the math at hand, because the available math is limited by language and how that language is applied.
Now any and all of this obvious as hell, and I'm hoping you're just being adversarial, as opposed to dumb as a rock.
Finally, and this is another obvious one, mickey, how the hell do you know I don't use something as amorphous as "mathematics based methodology?" I mean -- LOL again -- do you have idea what you're talking about? Do you think I read entrails and and go by the colors of teams' jerseys? What the hell are you talking about? I was using more "mathematical based methodology" than just about anyone when I started.
Here's the thing -- have you ever even asked me how I do what I do? Because if you haven't or haven't asked one of my clients, then how the hell do you think I do what I do? Do you read minds? Are you omniscient? What clue do you have regarding how I do things?
You need to read and logic out what you're writing, my friend.