Originally Posted by coach belly View Post
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
If the investor pays 10% on the 55 winning bets his return is $110 on $110 in action.
In your scenario, the bettor wins 55% of his wagers, then pays 10% commission on the overall win, which brings him to net break-even for his total wager.

Is that correct?

Is it impossible, or even unlikely, that Integrity's actual combination of win rate & commission rate will produce whatever return that's projected by the advisor?

There must be an infinite number of combinations that are +EV.

But you can eliminate any combination that won't or can't produce a consistent positive return, because his investors would not participate under those conditions.
What I’m pointing out is that, in this configuration, the tout has to hit 55% for the investor to break even.

And when old investors wash out from losing….the continuous advertising brings in new investors. Rinse and repeat. And keep rinsing and repeating.