The Blue Jays had been putting up a good fight and I'll assume they will take this to 6 or 7 games. Game 4 will be hard for the Blue Jays.
The Blue Jays had been putting up a good fight and I'll assume they will take this to 6 or 7 games. Game 4 will be hard for the Blue Jays.
Last night was a wonderful game to watch if you didn't have money riding on it (or if you bet a total which hit in the 5th inning).Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
It was just a fun game to watch, which is why I continued watching long after my wager was determined. BOTH teams had their chances.
I know some people are feeling like the series is over. The Dodgers win tonight with Ohtani on the mound and hitting 2 homers.And then the only question is whether they wrap it up on Wednesday in LA or back in Toronto.
I am not so sure. My gut tells me the BlueJays win tonight. I will be putting some money on the Bluejays and the over. Ohtani only pitches 6 innings even when he is on fire and BOTH teams bullpens, which are their weaknesses, are very taxed after last night. I think there will be runs scored.
I am also thinking of throwing some money on the series line @ Toronto @ +450, with the sole intent of hedging if they are able to win tonight as I suspect. Haven't completely decided yet.
The one draw back is the Springer injury. If he is out that is a major loss. If he can play....is he anywhere close to right?
The insecure little man that posts as Mdawg is no longer worth of that handle. From this point forward he will be known as "turtle" in reference to his insecurity and small dick that accompanies such insecure, little men.
Game 4 was a really nice win for me, with Toronto winning @ +185. Unfortunately the Over 8 runs pushed. I could have used 1 more run in that Dodger 9th inning rally. Oh well.Originally Posted by kewlJLast night was a wonderful game to watch if you didn't have money riding on it (or if you bet a total which hit in the 5th inning).Originally Posted by theywontpayontuesday
I know some people are feeling like the series is over. The Dodgers win tonight with Ohtani on the mound and hitting 2 homers.
I am not so sure. My gut tells me the BlueJays win tonight. I will be putting some money on the Bluejays and the over. Ohtani only pitches 6 innings even when he is on fire and BOTH teams bullpens, which are their weaknesses, are very taxed after last night. I think there will be runs scored.
I am also thinking of throwing some money on the series line @ Toronto @ +450, with the sole intent of hedging if they are able to win tonight as I suspect. Haven't completely decided yet.
The one draw back is the Springer injury. If he is out that is a major loss. If he can play....is he anywhere close to right?
I am also set up nicely on the series bet where I have 2 different wagers on Toronto @ +450 and +440. When the adjusted odds come out, I should have a really good hedging opportunity. I would love to see the odds close to 50/50, as it is now a 3 game series with 2 games in Toronto, but I suspect the Dodgers will still be as much as a -140 favorite. -140 on Dodgers would be a really good hedging opportunity, but even closer to -100 would be even better. we'll see what number pops up.
Edit: The early series adjusted numbers I see are Dodgers -180 and -190. That is disappointing.
Can still hedge and make decent money, but not what I was hoping. Will see how the number moves and what I want to do tomorrow. Still a really good place to be with a +440 on one team and a -180 on the other. I just want more.
Last edited by kewlJ; 10-28-2025 at 09:01 PM.
The insecure little man that posts as Mdawg is no longer worth of that handle. From this point forward he will be known as "turtle" in reference to his insecurity and small dick that accompanies such insecure, little men.
Some numbers. Toronto has scored 5 runs or more in 10 of it's 15 playoff games. They have won 8 of those 10 games. So 5 runs seems to be their magic number, although they did score 5 runs Monday and lost (one of the 2 losses). Two of the remaining 3 games will feature the Dodgers best 2 pitchers Snell tomorrow and Ohtani in game 7. But The BlueJays have already scored 11 and 6 runs in games that Snell and Ohtani started (5 and 4 runs off the two starters respectfully) so they have been able to score runs. Bottom line: Despite that the Dodgers have the better team, at this moment, I give Toronto a decent chance at winning this series.
The insecure little man that posts as Mdawg is no longer worth of that handle. From this point forward he will be known as "turtle" in reference to his insecurity and small dick that accompanies such insecure, little men.
The Blue Jays were 74-5 when scoring 5 runs. Anything can happen.Originally Posted by kewlJ
Well I have revised my plan regarding my two wagers on the BlueJays to win the series @ +440 and +450. Initially I thought that if Toronto won last night which they did, I could then hedge with the dodgers guaranteeing a nice with either way. But the Dodgers odds are lower than I expected or was hoping for at -190. I could still hedge and guarantee a smaller win either way.
Option 2 would be to hedge partway on the dodgers guaranteeing a break even if Dodgers win and still a decent win if Toronto wins
And Option 3 would be to just let my wager ride. I honestly think Toronto has a decent shot to win this series now and @ +450/+440, that would be really nice win for me.
I really thought hard and long about option 3, but in the end, I can't ignore the expected value and math. Too much of a gamble and I am about EV and math. So I am going with option #2. I line shopped and the best I could find was Dodgers @ -180 at a B & M book here in Vegas, so I went with that, just enough to guarantee break even if Dodgers win and still a decent win if Toronto wins. Sort of like a free roll bet on Toronto.
One of the reasons I now like Toronto so much is because they get production from their entire line-up. Even their 7-8-9 hitters. The Dodgers get nothing from their lower order hitters. They rely on 4 or 5 guys at the top of the line up to produce runs and one of those guys, Mookie Betts has given them nothing. So the Dodgers are really relying on 4 guys at this point. Now maybe Mookie turns it on and starts to contribute over these last 3 games, but I am not betting on that.
The insecure little man that posts as Mdawg is no longer worth of that handle. From this point forward he will be known as "turtle" in reference to his insecurity and small dick that accompanies such insecure, little men.
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