Dan Druff's 2025-26 NFL picks

[Dan Druff]

I was so stupid to forget to bet Detroit last night. I had it down, meant to post it Monday afternoon. Figured I had til 5pm. Didn't look at the start time.

Didn't post it, didn't bet it.

Ugh!

[kewlJ]

I was so stupid to forget to bet Detroit last night. I had it down, meant to post it Monday afternoon. Figured I had til 5pm. Didn't look at the start time.

Didn't post it, didn't bet it.

Ugh!

I am interested to see if you have anything with tonights game, Vikings at Chargers. The line Chargers -3.5. Home field is 3 points, so they are basically saying these 2 teams, Viking with qb Carson Wentz are even. I have run 6 different sims which all say Chargers by a TD or more.

What am I missing? (I mean unless the chargers come out in those all yellow head to toe uniforms again, which had to be the ugliest look in the history of the NFL )

[Dan Druff]

Minnesota +149 at Chargers

[Dan Druff]

Lost the Minnesota pick. Wasn't close.

-------

Two for today.

Note that one is yet another bet on a shitty team, so tread lightly. If you are iffy, take the spread instead of the ML.

New Orleans +177 vs Tampa
Indy vs Tennessee - Over 48 -110

[Dan Druff]

Washington +10.5 -115 at Kansas City

Split the above... New Orleans laid an egg.

[redietz]

Well, I am officially eliminated from my LMS. I knew not using the Broncos the week of their miraculous 30-point fourth quarter would lead to my demise, which it did.

Meanwhile, I am tied for eighth in the Heritage Race to the Super Bowl Contest (out of a couple thousand). Usually, when I get myself into contention I stay there. We'll see how it goes. I lost the Houston total by half a point last week, so that cost me top five status.

And in BetOnline five-games-a-week NFL ATS contest, which is a snipe hunt kind of thing (why bet five games a week out of so few, and no totals?), I clock in with a modest but effective 22.5/17.5 record after eight weeks. Not very good, but enough to be 500th or so out of more than 10K, which is frightening.

In week-to-week wagering, I won Week One, Week Two, Week Three, Week Four (but not much), I lost Week Five, I won Week Six, Week Seven, Week Eight, Week Nine, and lost Week 10 (but not much). I am ahead Week 11, so we will see how it shakes out.

I lost so little Week 10 (split two teasers and missed an asymmetric middle shot by a point, and pushed an open teaser) that I briefly considered betting a dinner money prop Monday just so I could tally a "winning week." But I don't do that stuff, even for dinner money, so it was a losing week. I still haven't done the final tally, but it was about $30 in arrears, which is in the context of 10K or so in wagers.

That accounting where you emphasize winning weeks always lends itself to bragging about, as quoted in Whale Hunt in the Desert, eating like a bird and shitting like a bear. All that matters is the overall tally, really, but nice to pound along consistently if the season layout lends itself to that.

[monet]

I knew not using the Broncos the week of their miraculous 30-point fourth quarter would lead to my demise, which it did.

I took the Bengals, the following week, minus 6.
I checked in on the game and Cincy was up by 20 something.
I was not happy when I checked back at the Final Score.
Fucking Jets.
Yeah, and I'm not talking about Lose-A-Peg.
Nor West Side Story.

[kewlJ]

I knew not using the Broncos the week of their miraculous 30-point fourth quarter would lead to my demise, which it did.

I took the Bengals, the following week, minus 6.
I checked in on the game and Cincy was up by 20 something.
I was not happy when I checked back at the Final Score.
Fucking Jets.
Yeah, and I'm not talking about Lose-A-Peg.
Nor West Side Story.

You are still fretting about THAT game? yeah I lost on that game too. I failed to take into account the emotional circumstances surrounding the Jets having a recent former long-term player die the day before at a young age of 41.

But it is over. Move on. lol. I do volume wagering, working through the bonus money as quickly as I can at numerous books. Today I have 67 wagers going. No time to dwell. Wager, win lose, move on.