I don't know how often Mickey finds the plays he says he finds. I have no reason to believe he's exaggerating. Perhaps he is, but I don't think so. If he's playing as many plays as he claims to find, then it would be extremely unlikely for him to be a net loser. Getting a lot of action through on a really strong play -- losing (overall) just doesn't happen. Like my example above with 1.5:1 payouts on a coin flip....you're not going to lose.