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  1. #11
    Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post
    If you want to find the low IQ person in the room he’s the one calling other people low IQ.
    Mickey here's the answers to the windbag Ex-AP's/EVBandit's "hard" IQ questions (LMFAO):
    1) No crows left on the branch, the rest fly away when the first one is stoned (this is probably one of the questions the Frat Boys/X water Polo team/rowing crew asked him at his call side interview for a Wall Street job - nowadays they only hire PhD physics majors and mathematicians for these sorts of jobs since it's all high frequency trading and frontrunning; he's lucky he interviewed back in the good ole days)
    2) N-Play VP - mistakes are amplified if you make a hold mistake on the deal (like we didn't already know this).
    3) Markov Chain Scarab (for regular scarab or scarab grand:again, who would bother - not worth the infinitesimal gain in EV versus simple human generated rules-based approach):
    1) setup a MySQL database (free open source database) with the following fields/variables:
    a) column # of scarab occurrence of last spin if spin one through nine (missing value symbol if 10th spin was last spin)
    b) row # of scarab occurrence of last spin if spin one through nine (missing value symbol if 10th spin was last spin)
    c) denomination
    d) Most recent spin number (10 minus the # of spins left until Scarab explosion)
    e) Number of scarabs on board after most recent spin (has a value of 0 just after explosion obviously)
    f) # of scarabs in column 1 after most recent spin
    g) # of scarabs in column 2 after most recent spin
    h) # of scarabs in column 3 after most recent spin
    i)# of scarabs in column 4 after most recent spin
    j)# of scarabs in column 5 after most recent spin
    k) number of units bet at current denomination
    l) ID number for uniquely identifying the group of spins belonging to a 10-spin sequence. This ID number is unique with respect to each group. This is for the development of time series variables as needed for model refinement.

    2) data gathering phase to populate database shown in step 1: lots and lots of Youtube footage and casino observation of other players playing scarab with pen camera in shirt recording game play, including high limit room scarab footage.

    3) Run the database through a CART algorithm (SAS/jmp;SAS data miner;SAS catmod macro;matlab;Python or any other of dozens of freeware packages).
    This will generate a classification and regression tree (which uses a Markov chain algorithm) which shows what the likelihood is of scarabs occurring in various configurations on the next spin.
    The bottom line is once you have the youtube and in-casino footage and then have stored it in your database, you can play around with different variables and responses until you have a usable model (CART tree) for the casino.


    Anyway, even though I just mind-flayed that bitch, expect him to come back with more windbag/anal retentive low IQ insults. Also, expect him not to take a prop-bet for an IQ contest, he'll just keep ignoring this request like he did in his other post. The piece of shit calls me a fraud, but I'm sure you and the other forum members remember me stating that I am a one-bit hustler, and that I make about $1500 a month. Never stated otherwise and it is 100% the truth.

    Cheers, TP.
    Last edited by tableplay; 01-27-2020 at 08:38 AM.

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