The Adventures of MDawg (in progress)

[Keystone]

Keystone you are the f----- idiot who cannot wait for MDawg next trip report. You gullible SOB who loves dreaming about fantasy land from someone playing a negative expectation game while winning almost all the time.

You mad BoTox?...you seem a lot angrier now than you used to be...chin up, it’s Friday...get that blow up doll down from the attic and enjoy yourself. Things will turn around

Sorry keystone. I just don't know why people are attracted to MDawg's stories.

Don’t know if I’m “attracted” to them, more like entertained is a better word...whether he’s telling the truth or not really doesn’t impact me one way or the other

[mickeycrimm]

Brokeassblackhole jumps in the thread and tells us all what a great high roller MDawg is and how we are all losers for bashing MDawg because we are all jealous of his high roller life. Then it was Rob that turned out to be the biggest basher of MDawg. I know that's put brokeassblackhole in a quandary. He's never criticized Rob. He's scared of Rob so you can see he has remained silent about what Rob believes about MDawg.

Everyone of you two-bit broken-down alleged self-proclaimed lifetime AP’s can’t wait for MDawg to stumble. Eventually he’ll stop posting on these jealous, envious, forums when he realizes the true caliper of the fools he’s talking to.

When he does stop posting I could already hear the comments that’ll follow. He must have gone broke, he lost everything, his wife divorced him, he’s living under a bridge, he sold his Rolexes for peanuts to a high roller at the tables so he cold double down or press his bet, he was thrown out of the firm, etc.etc.

For the record asshole, Rob is the most entertaining person on this site. His comments are the greatest and one of the only reasons to return here, regardless of which side of the fence he’s on. If you need a good laugh and are or was a gambler this is the place to come. Obviously, Dan the owner of this site sees the value of Rob being a member here also. He voluntarily brought him back after he banned him. You’re not a business person and are to dumb to realize the same.

I have to be careful what I say about you because Dan likes you also. You’re good to attract the desperate two-bit broken-down slot players to this site. It was okay for you to wish me dead but when I did the same during your heart attack, he banned me from the thread and deleted my posts.

So, let me say I personally don’t know you and only do from reading your posts. But I couldn’t give two shits what your alcohol contaminated brain forces you to write, and definitely don’t care about your hearts conditions or what happens to you.

Maybe you’ll end up back in the streets again If your retirement bankroll doesn’t hold up. If you do go to Pelosi’s district in California. It’s warmer than Montana, and they treat the homeless there better than the tax payers. Another alternative would be to break out the tin cup on these forums like Sad-Shack did.

Damn, brokeassblackhole. It looks like your vagina is hurting again. You sure know alot about the homeless. The only reason I follow the MDawg thread is to watch you squeal like a pig then snivel snivel snivel. IT's funny.

[kewlJ]

This thread and some of the responses have been pretty revealing.

So, I have expressed my opinion about MDawg's "adventures". I enjoy reading the trip reports and accounts of his Las Vegas visits, seeing pictures of the suits. I have expressed my opinion that he is what would be described as a mini whale or whale jr. And that's what I believe he is. A -EV player, who may have some winning play, but loses in the long-term. Just the kind of player Las Vegas was built on.

With his claims of 40 winning trips in a row, I have given him the benefit of doubt, suggesting he is either exaggerating or experiencing "selective memory", which are pretty common among losing gamblers. It might not even be their intention to deceive...they just remember the good or winning and tend to dismiss and quickly forget the losing. An example would be my grandfather, a life long horse racing guy. Of course he was a huge life time losing player. But when I would ask him how he did over his lifetime, I always got the "about even" reply. My grandfather wasn't out to decisive me. He believed that. His stories were always about the big wins, the trifecta he hit with a 60-1 shot on top....that kind of thing. Because THAT is what he remembers. The losses, quickly vanish from his memory.

AP's focus on the math. We know what is and isn't possible. But every once in a while someone comes along claiming they were able to achieve the impossible, to defy the math. The biggest example on this forum is of course Rob Singer. His claims are not possible by the math. Not to the longterm results that he claims. Rob retorts this by trying to disavow the idea of long-term. He claims in the short term a player can defy expectation and he is right to some degree. But then he claims the player can simply do so again and again and again. This is where he is wrong. (Think roulette. Can you hit black 3 out of 4? Absolutely. Can you hit black 3 out of 4 a thousand times in a row? absolutely not).

So here is the funny part: MDawg comes along, claiming to defy the math on a short term basis (as he has offered no other explanation). So who is the biggest critic, calling him out as a phony? Rob Singer. Apparently Rob can defy the math short-term, but someone else comes along claiming to, can't.

But what it says to me, is that Rob knows how the math works. Most losing, degenerate gamblers do, even if they can't admit it. And because Rob knows, he calls MDawg out as a phony. What is the saying?....takes one to know one.

But what it really says to me is that Rob's whole act is fiction. He thinks he is playing a character, from his anti-math claims right down to his nasty, try to be as dislikeable as possible characteristic. It's fiction and Rob is playing the part of the villain. It's all make believe. How did I do Rob?

[coach belly]

With his claims of 40 winning trips in a row, I have given him the benefit of doubt, suggesting he is either exaggerating or experiencing "selective memory", which are pretty common among losing gamblers. It might not even be their intention to deceive...they just remember the good or winning and tend to dismiss and quickly forget the losing.

Regarding MDawgs recent trip reports, where he has posted all the photos...are you suggesting that he has been deceptive, exaggerating or experiencing "selective memory"?

[kewlJ]

With his claims of 40 winning trips in a row, I have given him the benefit of doubt, suggesting he is either exaggerating or experiencing "selective memory", which are pretty common among losing gamblers. It might not even be their intention to deceive...they just remember the good or winning and tend to dismiss and quickly forget the losing.

Regarding MDawgs recent trip reports, where he has posted all the photos...are you suggesting that he has been deceptive, exaggerating or experiencing "selective memory"?

Short answer...yes. There is the possibility that MDawg is engaged in some sort of advanced advantage technique that he isn't telling us about or is leaving out. If he were doing something like that it would be understandable that he might leave that out, but it would still fall under deception. The story is simply NOT how it has been presented.

[coach belly]

Regarding MDawgs recent trip reports, where he has posted all the photos...are you suggesting that he has been deceptive, exaggerating or experiencing "selective memory"?

Short answer...yes.

What are you saying, that while he has been reporting consecutive winning sessions, he has actually been losing...that there have been unreported losing sessions?

Has he been deceptive in his explanation of his playing strategy, or have the recounting of his playing sessions been deceptive?

For instance, when he reported that he was down $15K and bet and won $15K on the next hand to get back to even...do you think that didn't happen, or that he found and exploited some advantage for that big winning hand?

[kewlJ]

What are you saying, that while he has been reporting consecutive winning sessions, he has actually been losing...that there have been unreported losing sessions?

Has he been deceptive in his explanation of his playing strategy, or have the recounting of his playing sessions been deceptive?

For instance, when he reported that he was down $15K and bet and won $15K on the next hand to get back to even...do you think that didn't happen, or that he found and exploited some advantage for that big winning hand?

Could he have been down 15k and won 15k on the next hand? sure. That is equivalent to the winning 3 of 4 black analogy. In a small sample size....of course.

I am talking bigger picture. I don't believe 40 or 60 or 80 or whatever number is being thrown around, winning "trips" in a row. Not unless there is some information that we are not being told about.

I haven't read all MDawgs reports. I have read very little at WoV. But near as I can tell, he has been pretty evasive about how he is winning....what he is doing that would give him an advantage that would explain his constant winning. A little bit of mention of progressive wagering, and that is not going to do it. If that is what we are back to.....that progressive wagering can turn -EV play into winning +EV play, then we are right back in RoB's alternative reality. Like I said the only interesting part to that is that Rob eternally argues that he can win by progressive wagering, but someone else comes along claiming so and Rob, argues the opposite. Why? Because he knows his whole deal is fiction.

BUT, honestly, all I know for sure, is that the story as told by MDawg, is incomplete. Something is not being told to us. Either what he is doing that allows him to win (backed by mathematically sound principals) or he is leaving out the losing and only telling us about the winning. But it is not the way it is being presented.

[The Boz]

What are you saying, that while he has been reporting consecutive winning sessions, he has actually been losing...that there have been unreported losing sessions?

Has he been deceptive in his explanation of his playing strategy, or have the recounting of his playing sessions been deceptive?

For instance, when he reported that he was down $15K and bet and won $15K on the next hand to get back to even...do you think that didn't happen, or that he found and exploited some advantage for that big winning hand?

Could he have been down 15k and won 15k on the next hand? sure. That is equivalent to the winning 3 of 4 black analogy. In a small sample size....of course.

I am talking bigger picture. I don't believe 40 or 60 or 80 or whatever number is being thrown around, winning "trips" in a row. Not unless there is some information that we are not being told about.

I haven't read all MDawgs reports. I have read very little at WoV. But near as I can tell, he has been pretty evasive about how he is winning....what he is doing that would give him an advantage that would explain his constant winning. A little bit of mention of progressive wagering, and that is not going to do it. If that is what we are back to.....that progressive wagering can turn -EV play into winning +EV play, then we are right back in RoB's alternative reality. Like I said the only interesting part to that is that Rob eternally argues that he can win by progressive wagering, but someone else comes along claiming so and Rob, argues the opposite. Why? Because he knows his whole deal is fiction.

BUT, honestly, all I know for sure, is that the story as told by MDawg, is incomplete. Something is not being told to us. Either what he is doing that allows him to win (backed by mathematically sound principals) or he is leaving out the losing and only telling us about the winning. But it is not the way it is being presented.

One thing that never changes is when someone claims something that is mathematically improbable, Coach is always there to defend them. Of course BS is going to be called out on these forums because it is. I suggested IF MDawg wants to show us how wrong we are he could post 2019 casino Win/Loss statements, but we all know he won’t.

And Cosmo isn’t giving Wraparounds to long term winners, nor is any other casino. But we all also know that, as he does. He enjoys writing and has nothing to prove to any of us. To me he is a better writer than Dark Oz. So that’s a plus.

As for Coach, his act never changes. He likes to believe, dream and defend the impossible. By the way Coach, you still shilling for that shitty Shorty guy and his band?

[kewlJ]

And Cosmo isn’t giving Wraparounds to long term winners, nor is any other casino.

This is probably all that needed to be said on the topic.

[coach belly]

But near as I can tell, he has been pretty evasive about how he is winning....what he is doing that would give him an advantage that would explain his constant winning. A little bit of mention of progressive wagering, and that is not going to do it.

I'm not sure he's claimed to have a mathematical advantage, but he's explained his strategy.

He recounted it here...

Next thing you know I was down $8K! I pulled a ten K marker, lost a thousand here and there, pressed into a player run, 500, 1000, 1500, 2000, 2500, 3000, 3500 and had the whole 8K back immediately

Is that something evasive, mysterious, extraordinary or impossible?

[coach belly]

I suggested IF MDawg wants to show us how wrong we are he could post 2019 casino Win/Loss statements, but we all know he won’t.

Why don't you offer to bet him on what his W/L statements will show?

What's the most that you're willing to wager?

[The Boz]

I suggested IF MDawg wants to show us how wrong we are he could post 2019 casino Win/Loss statements, but we all know he won’t.

Why don't you offer to bet him on what his W/L statements will show?

What's the most that you're willing to wager?

You and I both know these wagers never happen because no one can agree on the terms. And for someone like MDawg there is no upside if he is as rich as he claims to be. And I don’t doubt he is that rich.

And he has no incentive to disclose them for any wager between you and I.

But I’ll ask you if think he can show $25,000+ wins from 3 casinos on table games in 2019.

By the way, how’s your pal Shorty doing?

[coach belly]

I suggested IF MDawg wants to show us how wrong we are he could post 2019 casino Win/Loss statements, but we all know he won’t.

Why don't you offer to bet him on what his W/L statements will show?

What's the most that you're willing to wager?

You and I both know these wagers never happen because no one can agree on the terms.

And he has no incentive to disclose them for any wager between you and I.

The terms can be worked out once there's a commitment in principle from both parties.

I wouldn't be betting, unless I knew what his W/L statements showed.

But he knows what they show, so betting would be a sure thing for him, and if it's worth his while to bet on chance then he should accept a bet on a sure thing.

So it's just a matter of getting the commitments.

Since your brought up the W/L statements, and seem sure that he lost overall for 2019...how much are you willing to wager?

[BoSox]

But near as I can tell, he has been pretty evasive about how he is winning....what he is doing that would give him an advantage that would explain his constant winning. A little bit of mention of progressive wagering, and that is not going to do it.

I'm not sure he's claimed to have a mathematical advantage, but he's explained his strategy.

He recounted it here...

Next thing you know I was down $8K! I pulled a ten K marker, lost a thousand here and there, pressed into a player run, 500, 1000, 1500, 2000, 2500, 3000, 3500 and had the whole 8K back immediately

Is that something evasive, mysterious, extraordinary or impossible?

Coach belly, how would you answer that same question yourself?

[coach belly]

Next thing you know I was down $8K! I pulled a ten K marker, lost a thousand here and there, pressed into a player run, 500, 1000, 1500, 2000, 2500, 3000, 3500 and had the whole 8K back immediately

Is that something evasive, mysterious, extraordinary or impossible?

Coach belly, how would you answer that same question yourself?

No I don't think he's been evasive, I'm not sure what's been implied about a possible advantage..edge sorting?

And pressing into a streak like he recounted doesn't seem mysterious, extraordinary or impossible...is it any of those things?

[The Boz]

You and I both know these wagers never happen because no one can agree on the terms.

And he has no incentive to disclose them for any wager between you and I.

The terms can be worked out once there's a commitment in principle from both parties.

I wouldn't be betting, unless I knew what his W/L statements showed.

But he knows what they show, so betting would be a sure thing for him, and if it's worth his while to bet on chance then he should accept a bet on a sure thing.

So it's just a matter of getting the commitments.

Since your brought up the W/L statements, and seem sure that he lost overall for 2019...how much are you willing to wager?

Some of stupidest stuff ever posted by you, in a history of stupidity.

You wouldn’t bet unless you knew what was on them. So obviously you don’t believe it 100% either.

And why would he accept a bet if he knew he couldn’t prove It?

What is there to commit to?

You can’t be this stupid, can you?

If you want to believe this guy found the holy grail of Baccarat, you go right ahead.

And how’s shilling for your buddy Shorty and his dive bar band going?

[coach belly]

And why would he accept a bet if he knew he couldn’t prove It?

What is there to commit to?

Of course he wouldn't accept the bet if he knows he can't prove it.

That's the whole point of you offering the bet...to show that he can't prove it.

If you commit to bet him some substantial amount, then he should accept the bet if his W/L statements show an overall table-game win, since it's a sure thing for him.

So what are you waiting for? Throw down...how much are you willing to wager?

If his W/L statements show a win for 2019, then would you accept that as proof that he won overall for 2019?

[The Boz]

And why would he accept a bet if he knew he couldn’t prove It?

What is there to commit to?

Of course he wouldn't accept the bet if he knows he can't prove it.

That's the whole point of you offering the bet...to show that he can't prove it.

If you commit to bet him some substantial amount, then he should accept the bet if his W/L statements show an overall table-game win, since it's a sure thing for him.

So what are you waiting for? Throw down...how much are you willing to wager?

If his W/L statements show a win for 2019, then would you accept that as proof that he won overall for 2019?

Why would I make a bet that is a no win situation for me? How stupid are you?

If, and he won’t do it so it’s a non starter, he showed substantial winnings from multiple casinos in 2029, yes I would believe him. Even with knowing W/l statements are not totally accurate.

But he has no incentive to show me or anyone else, he likes to write fictional stories and enjoys it. You seem to be the only one who thinks it’s legit. But you always do, or just like to play the contrarian.

By the way, hows your buddy Shorty and his band doing?

[coach belly]

Why would I make a bet that is a no win situation for me?

If you are right about him, then you can win.

he won’t do it so it’s a non starter

If you offer to bet him something substantial, and his W/L statements show a win, then he'll do it.

After all, he's betting $15K a hand on baccarat not knowing what will happen. Why wouldn't he bet you $15K on a sure thing?

he likes to write fictional stories and enjoys it.

You're accusing him of lying. If you're so sure that he is, then throw down...what are you waiting for?

[The Boz]

If you are right about him, then you can win.



If you offer to bet him something substantial, and his W/L statements show a win, then he'll do it.

After all, he's betting $15K a hand on baccarat not knowing what will happen. Why wouldn't he bet you $15K on a sure thing?

he likes to write fictional stories and enjoys it.

You're accusing him of lying. If you're so sure that he is, then throw down...what are you waiting for?

Are you really this stupid? How can I win?? Can someone else explain this to Coach or is he just that stupid?

How can I win? If I am right about him he will not take the bet. It’s that simple. Why would he?

Yes he is Lying about his story or writing fiction. I’m not afraid to say it. Some say selective memory but I’m not buying it. When he throws stuff in about winning everytime and being able to read the flow of the cards, you know it’s Bull Shit.

As I said, it’s fiction writing and some enjoy it. Nothing more.

How’s Shorty doing? With your lack of an answer I can assume the bum sold his guitar for a few more spins of the Roulette wheel. And owes you money.