When you appear on Life Is A Gamble you can explain to Munchkin how he is going wrong by multi-accounting.
And good luck finding any of your "family and friends" with bankrolls big enough to exploit the situation for any real money.
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The whole idea of telling some random family person to pony up 1 to 5k for 40% onetime EV. Those who understand these things don't need the money. Those who don't understand won't want to do it. Those who will take the plunge most likely don't have the money.
But according to redietz you'll be fucking over all the above.
It just goes to show and as Singer will agree - this mother fucker is from Mars.
Just weird
This ^^^^
Putting up $5k for a coin flip with 100% loss rebate (that you still have to gamble) is something that is obviously appealing to an AP but utterly unappealing to most normal people, assuming they even have $5k in the bank to risk.
It is not something people will jump at just because you explained the +EV to them.
Which reminds me of something... redietz have you checked on the status of those deposit bonuses that you so shrewdly decided to "save for a rainy day" because they would "always be available'?
(Ok I'm paraphrasing more than quoting.)
Off topic, who are the major operators servicing the US market from offshore?
Preliminary ranking:
Bovada.lv - licensed Comoros
Betonline.ag - located Panama (owns Sportsbetting.ag)
Betus.com.pa - licensed Comoros
Mybookie.ag - operated/administered Curacao
Bookmaker.eu - licensed Costa Rica (owns Justbet.co)
Who am I missing?
Jazz sports book and Jazz casino, Youwager, Everygame, Heritage.
You would have to define major operators. There are places like Xbet(perhaps a MyBookie skin) Wagerweb, Nitrobetting, Bet Now, Betwhale(They limit your cashouts to like $400 at a time, it's based on your "history"), and too many others to mention.
Sorry yes, that's tough because of limited information. I looked mainly at site traffic, which doesn't necessarily have a uniform measurement. And usually the information is paywalled, so I asked AI chatbots.
Sites you mentioned, according to ChatGPT:
Jazzports.ag - "relatively niche" traffic
Youwager.lv - <same>
Everygame.eu - "moderate to fair"
Heritagesports.eu - 250k visits per month
Compare that to Bovada.lv, with 23 million visits per month. And BetOnline.ag, between 5 & 10 million.
In the regulated US markets, two operators have achieved overwhelming dominance: DraftKings and FanDuel. I'm thinking offshore market shares may be similarly lopsided.
Yes thank you, Xbet.ag may be the biggest skin of a major operator. ChatGPT says 1.3m monthly visits. Licensed in Curacao, same as MyBookie.
Wagerweb.eu - "relatively modest presence"
Nitrobetting.eu - "niche but respected ... in crypto"
Betnow.eu - "relatively new", "Curacao"
Betwhale.ag - "launched August 2022", "not widely popular"
Thanks. One thing concerning me about the industry is the lack of geographic diversification. Every operator in my top 5 is >95% US by site traffic. For whatever reasons, other countries are served by different operators. (Bet 365 is possibly the biggest for Europe and the non-US Americas.)
If it ever happens that the offshores are somehow prohibited from the US, it could be fatal to them. I don't suppose it's likely. As you noted, crypto has been beneficial to their operations. But you never know what Trump will come with if a lobbyist gets to him, and Republicans are not typically gambling friendly.
Trump has several supporters with deep pockets from the B & M casino industry like the Adelson Lady and Wynn. If they were to decide and make it a priority that the offshores were hurting their business, I could see them influencing Trump to try to shut down or make it harder for US players to play at the offshores.
I will move to Canada if something like that happens. I was actually thinking about buying land in CA but the little research I did at the time seemed to indicate there was a moratorium on non CA citizens buying land there.
I found a few places that were on the boarder that I was interested in..
It sounds like you just want to go off the grid and live a life of Grizzly Adams. fishing and stuff. :D
Have you thought about Alaska? Might have stopped, but it used to be the Government gave people land to settle there. Plus they have that thing where every citizen gets a check for like $3000 every year from oil profits.
Of course you have the -20 degree winters. :( And if you go far enough north it is like 6 months of day light, 6 months of darkness.
Quote:
Originally Posted by accountinquestion
https://i.imgur.com/0OfRYckh.jpgQuote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
About a week ago, Druff made an odd post about how he "defended me as a card counter". I have no idea where or what that was in reference to. But I am pretty sure Dan Druff or any other real AP/player knows that I am a real card counter AP.
Even you Axelwolf have said that you can't know the stuff I know and share and it not be from real experience. And I am not talking basic "bet 1 for bad, 2 for good" (rainman movie reference). I am talking about things I do and stuff I have shared that you don't find in your basic books.
Somebody :rolleyes: once (or many times) said: it doesn't take that much to figure out who knows what they are talking about and who is just talking.
I would love to see one legitimate member (not Tasha)
If you put a gun to their head(Including Mike) that will say they believe all of MDawgs claims.
In the case of wacky Shacky, you don't have to put a gun to his head. He will tell you privately what he thinks. He has told me. I assume he has told you or would if you asked. BUT, I would like to hear or see him say what he thinks publicly, which of course he can't do because he made that weird NDA agreement with Dawg. That was Dawg "playing" Mike.
I mean for God sakes, Shackleford is a highly respected (except by freddy) Gambling expert and he is not allowed to tell us what he thinks about the longest running and most ridiculous claims on the forum that he used to own and still bears his name. Of all the crazy ass ridiculous things. :rolleyes:
Gotta wonder, hound: how do you get any work done in your alleged law practice, or how do you manage any of your claimed businesses, given your OCD obsession with VCT posting?
Hell, we post and BAM you respond.
I have an excuse: I'm retired; but you claim to be a successful practicing attorney, an owner of other businesses, a whiz-kid investor, and a highly successful gambler.
Uh...survey says...
Yeah, I am trying to bake some Xmas cookies today. Between my brother who is home playing video games, saying he has ended his gambling year, eating half the cookies as fast as I can bake them and the distractions of this forum (fun as it may be), I am not accomplishing much. :D
But a guy, claiming to be a working lawyer...... :rolleyes:
I sometimes think I spend too much time online, but then I compare myself to the hound.
The guy must monitor these boards.
KJ, while you're baking cookies I'm rebuilding the front end of a 2001 Toyota Avalon XLS I am giving to my ex wife for Christmas: she's never asked for much, is not materialistic, but would certainly benefit by getting a better ride; the other benefit is that she'll give her old Kia Optima to her long lost daughter who about a year ago began recovery from a many decades long drug addiction (meth, heroin).
So you've been divorced....what a surprise. And you also have a relation to a hard-core drug addict. Unbelievable.
I believe your penchant for getting involved in all these stupid threads where you're supposedly "supporting" the only forum fool to be constantly hurt by what other people think about his sadass life, finally has some meaning behind it.
You actually think being called a NIGGER of any kind online actually means a thing to people of means?
Robert, I married young and divorced young; remarried some years later and this marriage has lasted.
But yeah, drugs were a problem with my first wife: she developed a habit with white powders and I always avoided that harder shit...at least after college (experimented with drugs quite a bit then).
For me, weed was OK but not crank, meth, or heroin: so we split but she recovered and we've been pretty good friends since...hell, my current wife tolerates her just fine, which is arguably asking a lot.
Yes, I do believe that calling a rich spook a nigger online would irk him: of course it would.
Good to see one of our own acknowledged for his expertise :):
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/ques...ys/#post943455
Quote:
Parlaying a $10 bet for nine legs means by the ninth leg you are betting $1,764. If you aren’t comfortable betting $1,764 on a game as a $10 better then you shouldn’t bet a nine leg parlay.
Note there are plenty of other reasons to dislike parlays that RE Dietz would be happy to explain to you if you can find him out there somewhere and stomach the supercilious tone in which he will deign to explain it to you.
One of the reasons that I didn't get into the online sportsbook bonus game much earlier than last year, when I finally pulled the trigger is because I was not confident I wouldn't get screwed by these books that are not regulated in the USA. When I did pull the trigger, I kind of figured it wouldn't last long.....that I some point I would wear out my welcome.
The first hint of that occurred at the start of football season when one of the 4 books I was using stopped offering me anything playable, bonus-wise. So I replaced that book with 2 others that people recommended. But I have had no issues with payouts.....until this week. I now have a book refusing to pay me, which was my exact fear when I got into this. So to any of you guys that have dealt with these off shore books much longer than I, what recourse do I have, if any?
Why is this piece of shit Arab, sand nigger, injecting himself and incessant trolling into a legitimate gambling/AP discussion of which he has proven he knows nothing about?
When is enough... enough with this asshole troll?
Quote:
Originally Posted by PunkCity
What is your deal Axel??? WTF man is this some kind of interrogation???
Don't you know the books employ skilled operatives to read this forum and identify suspected bonus whores???
We should be grateful for the stray crumbs that find their way to us from KJ's heaping plate!
It is a book that has been mentioned on this forum, although not on the list posted this week, but I am not going to name them right now, as I am hoping and trying to get at least some of my money back. I will let you know one way or the other hopefully in the near future, although it may be by PM rather than public.
I guess this snarky comment is directed at me, because I have stated that casinos and casino associated organizations read this and other gambling forums. Well guess what friend, this is NOT speculation on my part, Dan Druff just like several other owners of gambling forums has confirmed that some casino personnel read this forum. He is the guy seeing the Ip addresses, so he would know. Are you calling him a liar? :confused:
The "associated organizations" like database companies, might be a little harder to identify, but I have other ways that I definitively know some have read. Do I think they visit and read every day? No I don't. But they have at least occasionally visited this forum and read.
This guy really is a baffoonish troll. He knows nothing about the subject of this thread, and yet he can't help hijack it with his continuing stalking agenda. :rolleyes:
I guess that should come as no surprise, as he knows little about any kind of gambling and nothing about what it takes to win long-term. If he has an area in gambling that maybe he has a little knowledge about it would be playing the comp game pretty well. He probably gets more comps that he otherwise would for his LOSSES.
THAT is the extent of his gambling knowledge or expertise, getting a liitle more over-valued comps, in excahnege for his real money losses. Color me impressed. :rolleyes:
When Dan look at ip addresses it says - officeofonlinecasinosecurity.bookmaker.com
I am sure Druff's comments made a while ago, where more about B&M casinos, probably here in Vegas. But you would have to ask him.
I don't think a B&M casino or chain of casinos like let's just say MGM, has people who's sole job it is to scour social media and gambling forums. But there are people that work for them that may visit this or other forums, maybe even on their own time. I have a friend that works for that particular chain that visits this forum occasionally. I think mostly from home, but he may very well have visited on his break from an IP address that would have been a casino. I have no idea.
Now the databases companies, I do believe have people, maybe only one or two that monitors online sources for any information that can be helpful to them. That is their business.
What I can tell you is that when I was doxxed, (which the primary doxxing occurred on another site not here, but some of the information was repeated here), there was a piece of information that was incorrect, that turned up in a database entry. That is a "marker" or proof of where it came from.
Look fucktard (Mdawg not Axelwolf), I am not going to keep going over the same topics again and again. Especially at this particular time.
I know that is what YOU do, post some lie, and keep repeating and repeating and repeating it. Count me out.
But I am still waiting to hear or read you explain the EV of your recent $200k+ winning Vegas trip? :cool:
Why is this retard posting in a sportsbetting forum? The retard knows LOL nothing about sportsbetting.
Well what does he know about? Anything in regards to gambling? :confused:
I give him the benefit of doubt that he knows how the comp system works (for a losing player), but there are some on this forum that believe most of the comps he gets aren't even from his own play. I am not going to get int that, because I don't know or care that much, but I do have to ask what has he posted that shows an understanding of anything gambling related, let alone was beneficial to anyone else?
Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
I may not be the high roller or "highER roller" mini whale type losing player that you are. But I and most real players KNOW how things work. This is my (our) business. And we know when we read a bunch of bullshit. :cool:
Casinos comp losing players like you in exchange for over-valued comps and rooms/suites. END of fucking story!!
As soon as one of you retards starts trying to claim you win (long-term) on top, you might as well be claiming to flap your arms and fly.
Ok here is what happened. the sportsbook is youwager. I started my latest cycle just into the football season. decent bonus, but not as good as they had given me previous cycles. I played through the rollover requirements at only a very small loss eating into the bonus, which should have resulted in a nice little profit.
When I requested a payout last week, it was denied. Initially no explanation given. Upon calling and going through several representative, I was told the bonus was given by mistake, that I shouldn't have been eligible for that bonus received. I don't know what the fuck that is supposed to mean. :mad: After some back and forth he agreed that I could withdraw my original deposit, with no bonus money, less the small loss registered playing the rollover, but I had to do so in 2 payout transactions, and pay $40 each, when I should have been entitled to free payouts.
So they stole the bonus money that I had already earned playing the rollover and then nickle/dimed me $80 for payouts on top. I did receive the first of the two payouts. So basically just a big waste of time these last 3 months with that sports book.
This kind of thing is what I feared, and why I was so hesitant to get involved in off shore books. Well I guess I feared even worse, that one of the books would steal even my original deposit, as well as reneg on the bonus. But still.
So question for you Axel or anyone that has been at this much longer than I have. How common is this type of shit? And I guess I was too aggressive in what I was doing, not really trying to hide it. I figured, I was meeting their requirements, why did I need to try to camouflage what I was doing. For context, this was my 5th cycle with this book.
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobSinger
At least the truth is out now that the retard loses $20,000 a month gambling.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gamb...ll/#post941959
Mickeycrimm, Axelwolf, and others, I would like to hear opinions on this thread at WoV about players shaving points and fixing games. If this is as rampant as some of these guys suggest, how the fuck is anyone supposed to win any money betting sports? (other than bonus money)
The thread was started by AutoMonkey, who although I haven't spoken to him in years, I always found to be pretty thorough in his opinions regarding any kind of gambling/AP.
Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg
Mdawg frequently posts or references a list of 33 things he thinks are lies that I have said. Most are things he just feels or thinks with absolutely zero proof. The surfboard comments for example. Living very near Daytona Beach as a kid, I was a surfing fanatic during my youth. Somehow this guy thinks and repeats that is a lie. I guess because I shared something we did where I lived (oiling surfboards to prevent them from drying out, that someone else was not familiar with. (I later showed a clip from a movie showing this exact procedure).
Other things on Mdawgs list are in fact things, I purposely mislead about, like my college experience. It doesn't even take a quarter of a brain to figure out why I would have done that on forums where I have been stalked by numerous people.
But still most are just things that are untrue, he and other say or accuse with zero evidence of.
And even with that, 33 on the list. If I were to make a list of Mdawgs lies, most with a monetary value totaling millions of dollars, and counting all the lies he repeats on an almost daily basis, even though he knows and has been told are lies, Mdawgs tally would be in the 10's of thousands.
I always put in cover play no matter what. I've instinctively known that aspect from when I first started Advantage Playing.
If it's not good enough to play without some cover play, then I don't think it's good enough to play in the first place. Oftentimes I'll make small intermittent deposits without taking a bonus where I'll make some stupid random parlays, bet some horses, or bet somthing random(play like a sucker and toss in some baccarat if possible)
I can't say how common it is when being blatantly obvious. You let your greed(or you are too cheap) and arrogance compel you to take 5 consecutive bonuses, and you even knew that might not be a good idea. Lesson learned? You have not learned your lesson regarding the forums :cool:
So far, I've only been bet limited and no bonused at known online Sportsbooks I've never had them retroactively take money or not pay me. for clarification, I must reiterate, known online sportsbooks I have not been paid at a number of online casinos. I have no doubt that eventually I'll get fucked for a nice chunk at a known sportsbook. I did make a mistake the other day and co-mingle some funds between two separate accounts at new place, fortunately, it was for less than $700 and so far they just told me that it's not allowed.
As you should know...
Most online sports books have a... recreational players-only clause, so if you abused their bonuses you don't have much recourse. My recourse is to use that information and get creative.
Whenever I play online casinos, I go in thinking that their job is to find any way possible not to pay me, and my job is to do everything possible not to give them a reason.
Speaking of Parlays and guys "new" to the game who can make A LIVING in LV betting on ALL DIFFRENT SPORTS, WITHOUT HANDICRAPPING. TomG is brilliant when it comes to making money via sports betting, I saw it first-hand many times.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/ques...ys/#post943778
https://plusevanalytics.wordpress.co...-5-easy-rules/ great post. I like this idea of cross game correlations. This one post has 10x more actionable info about sports betting than we've ever heard from redietz.
I have had some success correlating a wide spread weather pattern among different teams in different cities this year. Late sept or Oct there was a huge bad weather situation along the whole east coast over a weekend. I think it was what remained of a hurricane that hit Florida. I think I played under a couple college games and 3 NFL games based specifically on that weather and hit 4 or 5 (even though the lines had come down).
But the biggest was MLB and that month long heat wave across the entire eastern and middle of the country (Not so much west of the Rockies). Ball travels further in hot weather. We have all seen those commercials. Well for that entire month it seems like every day 10, 11 sometimes 12 games were going over. And they didn't really adjust the totals that much until the very end of that month long spell. I remember several what looked like pitcher duel type match ups with run totals of 6.5, that were 9-6 and score like that.
I should go back and look (if I can) because I would bet the month to 5 week period is a significant part of my year's total win.
But I am sure Redietz has been doing this for years. He is probably a certified meteorologist. Either him or his cousins, husband's siter is. Or he has lunch with one regularly. :rolleyes:
I have also been burned by my lack of paying attention to weather is some game. Most recently the SF/LA Rams Thursday night game. All signs pointed to a higher scoring game to me. Except I failed to check the weather and see the first half would be playing in basically a monsoon downpour. And I had made the same mistake only a week or two earlier with a mid week, MAC college game. Looked like an over to me.....until I turned on the TV and saw what they were playing in. :rolleyes:
I took a meteorology course, if that's what you mean. Not a phantom one at Villanova, either. And had lunch with a Mr. Munchkin yesterday, if that counts.
KewlJ(s) have discovered the effects of weather on sports. Happy days. Next they'll be getting checks from casinos to avoid getting robbed.
Or not.
The nuggets of wisdom here are top notch. Deep thoughts.
Quote:
Originally Posted by MDawg