Professional Sportsbetting

[Don Perignom]

I don't find this all that unusual or weird. The sample size is small and that means almost anything can happen.

Not quite almost anything imo. My analysis could be wrong, but the binomial distribution should apply here.

http://people.hsc.edu/faculty-staff/...alPlotter.html

100 trials:



You should basically always finish between 35 and 65%. For simplicity I'm assuming no skill (p=0.5%), but the generator does allow p value specification.

Here's 1000 trials:



Now the outcome is almost always between 45 and 55%.