Originally Posted by regnis View Post
Here is my analogy. If I am flipping a coin non stop for several hours, and heads has come up way more than tails, I am going to start betting tails, even tho each flip is independent and a 50-50 prop. The coin doesn't know the odds but I do believe it will somewhat even out after a while.But that is 1 coin and 1 player---VP is thousands of machines and players and, if you don't believe there are cycles, then all are trying to get lucky by spinning the right machine at the right time, and no amount of play will change that.
Actually, the more you play the closer you will get to the mean. So, the amount you play does have an effect. That is a mathematical fact. If you want to deny math that is fine, just don't plan on anyone with a brain believing you.

Originally Posted by regnis View Post
In VP, I have no expectation that anything will even out because I'm not there long enough for it to do so. In fact, I am hoping to hit and run before it can even out. I am just a small blip on the VP trail, and all I can do is hope to get lucky in my timing of spinning the reel.
Pure nonsense. You can do much more. You can play the best games, you can use the best strategy, you can play within your bankroll ... that you would claim relying on "luck" is all you can do is just plain silly.

It's like saying the only way to avoid a traffic accident is to be lucky, hence you might as well ignore all red lights.