Mdawg's current Vegas trip

[kewlJ]

Generally when they don't know what the player is doing, they will get the boot that much quicker.

I suspect this is correct. The idea that a casino can't figure out what a player is doing, so they will just allow him to sit there day after day, for years winning millions is as unrealistic as every other part of this story.

Those of us that have been backed off at any time in the last 15 years, the era of "polite" backoffs, probably heard one of the following as a reason: 1) management decision, 2) some variation of "you are too good" or "your game is to good", or 3) no reason even given. BECAUSE they don't HAVE to give a reason. If you are winning, beyond just variance or good luck, and years and years and winning millions is far beyond variance or good luck, so it doesn't matter if it is an advantage play, the player is cheating, the player is the luckiest person ever on the face of the planet, or they can't figure out which. They are NOT going to allow a player, playing rated no less, so they know exactly what he has won, to sit there and bankrupt the casino. THAT is not the way this works. It is a fun story, but not realistic.

Furthermore, it isn't just the casino that has an interest to halt a player that wins too much (even if they can't figure it out), but each individual pit person. Pit people are responsible for tables. Now any table can come up in the red for a shift or night due to normal variance. Especially if a bigger bettor was playing and won. But when a table that a pit person is responsible for comes up a loser shift after shift after shift, that person is going to lose their job! So it is just ridiculous to think the pit people don't care.

Absolutely they will try to figure out what the players is doing, advantage play cheating ect. And that process may involve calling in experts like the story Eliot relayed, but in the end, Casinos just do not let a player win for years and years like this at a table game that is closely monitored.

Final issue is Mdawg and his supporters, despite his crazy statements over the years, are trying to float the narrative that he is doing something that no one knows or understands. That he has figured out something no one else has. And I guess this thing he has figured works not only at baccarat but blackjack too, because his claims are split almost evenly now between the games. Even more bizarre is this secret thing works with stocks as well, because every one of his stock picks is a winner as well (after the fact).

By the way PositiveVariance, little brother, Mom asked that you wear something decent tomorrow for Thanksgiving.