Originally Posted by Mission146 View Post
Originally Posted by 1Hit1der View Post
Originally Posted by mickeycrimm View Post

You'll average missing the 2-spot 15.63158 games out of 16.63158 games. You'll average hitting the 2-spot once every 16.63158 games....which pays 8.3333 for 1.

8.3333/16.63158 = 50.1%.
Mission, while you're here, can you explain Mickey's explanation above?

I guess that another reason to have mathematicians explain stuff is that the explanations become universal. I don't know that he's correct, but, I do know that no one explains anything, that way.
What is there to explain? While that's not the way I would have done it, the conclusion is clearly that the two-spot base return is 50.1%, approximately.
Does that mean that that game is positive EV, to begin?