The Biden-Pocalypse

[kewlJ]

he is from the Midwest (Minnesota) where Kamala's ethnicity might not play well

it is obviously an attempt to shore up support among the more conservative in the Dem party who are most comfortable with white Christian males

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Well I hope it works.

My presidential preference at this point is "anybody but Trump". So I am not specifically huge on Harris. But my wagers, one on Democratic party and one on Harris herself at multiple sportsbooks, were made before Biden dropped out were about hedging opportunities. I should be able hedge the Democratics party bet shortly guaranteeing a win. But the Harris bet is not so cut and dry. If I hedge that with a republican win presidency, I could still lose both if something were to happen to Harris and another democrat win.

THAT is a very unlikely scenario, but when you hedge you are setting up a situation that guarantees a win and I can't do that, so I may have to ride that out and hope for the best or maybe hedge and take my chances. Still figuring that out. But it is definitely not the pure hedge opportunity I first envisioned.

Any suggestions?

I don't get it - what was your bet on the Dem party and how can you guarantee a win on that part of the bet_______?

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Wager #1 was democratic Party to win the presidency @ +240. This was made after the debate when Biden numbers were dropping. I thought the Dems would drop Biden but even if they didn't the race would still tighten come fall with the prospect of electing Trump. It has now tightened to the point that I can wager some money on Republicans winning the presidency and Guarantee a win. But I haven't pulled the trigger yet. still waiting. I guess it doesn't guarantee a win, if Kennedy or another third party were to win, but come on....

Wager #2 was Harris to win the presidency @ +650, made at that same time a couple weeks before Biden dropped out. So I could hedge the other way, with a republican to win bet, but like I said that slim scenario where something happens to Harris (God forbid) and some other Democrat wins, both wagers would lose.

When I made the Harris bet, Newsome was still being talked about as a Biden replacement. I bet Harris strictly because of the money. She would have access to the Biden campaign money, staff and offices, where as anyone else picked like Newsome, wouldn't.

Edit: I think I may have incorrectly stated that the Harris wager was to win the democratic Nomination. I wish it was, but that was not the wager. In my mind if she became the democratic Nominee, the race would tighten (which it has) and I would be able to hedge. So I phrased that wrong. My apologies. Boy I wish it was though.