we are getting into an interesting period betting wise. For me the Hot weather OVERS period is done, as weather is not super hot all across the country. There may be spot places that weather is warm and wind blowing out that are good over bets, but it isn't like it was for about 6 weeks from late June until early August.
Absent that angle, you have team, chasing a division or wild card that are starting to choke and play tight. And you have teams that are out of it that can and are playing loose. So the team that looks like the better team, may not be the better bet. But you also have teams that are out of it that just seem to be going through the motions, so you don't want to bet them. You have to figure out which teams that are out of it are trying or just going through the motions. You can kind of spot it after watching a couple games.
I am sure the Mets are trying to win. They are just bad. Especially starting pitching. Starting pitching is ranked in the high 20's (out of 30 teams) in just about every category. they are bad. I find it amazing that knowing this, the Mets chose to bolster their bullpen at the trade deadline instead of going after a starter or two. It is like they said, well if our starters can only go 3-4 innings, we need more bullpen guys. kind of backwards thinking to me.