This is week 2 of the 1st 2 weeks NFL underdog play. This play has NOT lost in 15 years. (3 even years and 12 winning years). Last week I went 7-7 with two pickem games that I didn't play. this week I also have two pickem or 1 point games that I saw no advantage in playing, the Eagles/KC and Denver/colts. So after Thursday night's loss, I am 7-8 with 13 games remaining.

I bet this play heavily, in addition to maxing out my online accounts, I spread significant money at a number of sportsbooks in Vegas. I know Redeitz is desperately hoping favorites win and cover so he can make some stupid comment about it not being a winning play. But I just want to pre-emptively say that whether this play shows a small win or a loss this year changes nothing about this play for me. I believe based on 15 years of results, that it is +EV. It will take more than 1 losing year in 16 to change my mind.

It would like going out and counting cards and having a losing day and saying "see counting cards doesn't work", when we know it does.

Good luck to those playing this play.