Originally Posted by AxelWolf View Post
Originally Posted by Alan Mendelson View Post
I don't understand what you're saying LarryS. I have plenty of accomplishments in life and I've never claimed any in casinos.

As far as Rob goes, some of what he says makes perfect sense and then there are some of you who just twist everything he says to meet your own agenda.

For a start Rob never said he turns a -EV game into a positive game. Yet there are "APs" who say that with comps and promotions the -EV games they play are turned into +EV activities.

It's a funny world, don't you think?
He just claims his system gives you/him the ability to make a profit short and long-term without changing the mathematical EV on the machine, IE. VOODOO. The fact that he doesn't claim to change the -EV into a positive one should be an even bigger red flag.

IIRC, he said he has a win goal of $2500 and he has always hit that mark or higher in a session before he runs out of his session BR. That doesn't sound suspicious to you?

And why does that make for a funny world? No true AP says they can profit on a -EV machine by itself. They profit from the casino and the extras, AND THEY CAN SHOW THE MATH. Rob claims the opposite and has bashed promotions such as point multipliers.
Two things that immediately stand out:

1. Rob told me he did have a session or even two when he lost his bankroll. If he practiced voodoo would he ever lose? LOL

2. Why is there this general and widespread belief that you must be on a +EV video poker game in order to win? I'm asking.

I wrote this before but it got lost. In the years I hit those $100k royals I had a profit at video poker. The profits were in the double digits. BUT I lost the profit playing craps.

The royals came on 8/5 Bonus Poker, a -EV game. Yes I had losses playing $5 Bonus but the three short sessions played on a whim at $25/coin because I had a substantial amount of free play gave me video poker profits.

So a question: why couldn't Rob also hit big winners at $25/coin video poker that would allow him to have a profit on -EV games?

While Rob never sent me his tax returns and I cannot vouch for his claims I fully accept that he could win about $100,000 a year. I accept it because he does play $25 VP regularly and at that level it just doesn't take that many big winners to have a $100k profit.

He could easily have a lucky streak.

I remember watching a player at Caesars having a lucky streak. The machines were $5, $10, $25 and he was on $25. He was hitting quads after quads, sometimes no more than three plays apart. He was playing 9/5 DDB and he hit AAAA once without a kicker, and once with a kicker.

People do WIN at -EV games. Over time the math says you won't BEAT the game but you can WIN at the game.

Ten years of play -- the time Rob says he was a professional -- is not long term. So he easily could have WON at the -EV games WITHOUT BEATING them.

Of course with no tax returns it cannot be proven. If Rob wanted to publish a book with DVDs and do an Infomercial to sell them I would insist that we showed his tax returns.