Originally Posted by arcimede$ View Post
Here's an example of "over time". You get in a car and start driving to a destination far away. You start out making good time and then hit some heavy traffic that slows you down. As you proceed to your destination you may hit many spells of making good time and making bad time.

Now consider a short trip. You may hit one of those heavy traffic areas or one of the light ones. Your speed over those short trips can vary significantly. However, in the long trip you can't avoid hitting both and your average speed will be higher than the heavy traffic speed and slower than the light traffic speed.

Now, you may be able to do some good trip planning and increase your average speed. This is similar to playing higher return VP machines. However, there's no way to know for sure. An accident could slow you down on the normally fast part of a trip. Same with VP, you could hit a bad spell even on high return games.
Terrible analogy.

You still haven't explained how good luck will eventually dry up in random events (other than to say "over time", which can never be quantified). The luck of hitting a royal (or any large win) has nothing to do with how many hands previously played or how many hands yet to be played. The RNG doesn't know and doesn't care. Therefore, "over time" is irrelevant. Luck is luck.