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Thread: Update on the KJ AP experience

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  1. #11
    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    the man's play extended over several years, it was only 3-4 short trips a year over several years. So you are still only talking a handful of days play. very small sample size, so yeah it could have very easily just been positive variance. That is why they were so cautious.

    Now compare that, maybe 10 trips of a few days each over several years to what Mdawg has claimed Hundreds of days played (and won) EVERY year for 6 years now or so. THAT is NOT a small sample size and CANNOT just be variance.

    So not nearly the same situation, as belly is trying to claim. But nice try.
    The length or number of trips is irrelevant. The sample size is the number of outcomes, not days stayed, or days played, or sessions played or whatever you are claiming.

    As far as you know, the total number of hands that Jacobson's big player experienced during his run was nearly equal to or greater than what MDawg has played.

    Do you know how many hands that either Jacobson's player or MDawg have played?

    Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post
    Furthermore, Dawg claims he has played at an advantage all these hundreds of days over all these years now.
    I recall that Jacobson posted his big player story to specifically refute your assertion that a casino would not allow a player to win consistently over a long period of time, and would certainly not comp a player who consistently wins big at high limit table games.

    We know that the casino relies on the math to win overall at table games, but they don't need for every player to lose for that to happen.

    We also know that some players do win, while the casino also wins. Those results are not mutually exclusive.

    You either believe that MDawg has played with an advantage (and the casinos haven't figured out what it is) or you don't, and think he has relied entirely on luck...just like Jacobson's player did.

    Which is it...which do you believe?
    Last edited by coach belly; 06-26-2025 at 09:45 AM.

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