Originally Posted by redietz View Post
Originally Posted by Rob.Singer View Post
Originally Posted by kewlJ View Post

Since you made a reasonable, non-trollish post, I will respond Rob. What you are doing looking at who is playing and matchups is called handicapping the game. THAT is NOT how successful sports bettors operate today. They look at things like how 1.5 dogs do and that type of things. It is all numbers today and less specifically what todays game is about. If you don't beleive me ask Mickeycrimm.
What today's game was about:
1. Kelce almost always being distracted. CHECK.
2. KC's lack of a consistent wideout. CHECK.
3. Mahomes continued deterioration as an elite & feared accurate passer. CHECK.
4. Philly being the same superior NFL team that won the SB. CHECK.

1.5 dogs and whatever you meant?? This game had massive value from the start, because it had high +EV. It's the only game I bet on.
Given all of what you said, and I agree with all of it
And yet, you said there is no such thing as EXPECTED VALUE IN SPORTS BETTING.