Professional Sportsbetting

[redietz]

Kew, you're "+EV" here is rationalized by hope and not math. In-general past results have nothing to do with what may or may not happen with dogs during individual games today. You should know better.

Use your head: the game in KC today for example--you're shying away from it because of the tiny spread. But there is good value in this game. Right now the Eagles are -1.5 favs. You bet on them and you're getting a whole lot of that +EV you like to say you know about.

KC's best two wideouts are out today, Philly destroyed KC in the SB, Kelce has famous tits & ass & billions on his mind constantly, and Mahomes has been on a downward slide for the last 2+ years. Even if Rice and Worthy were playing Philly would cover.

Since you made a reasonable, non-trollish post, I will respond Rob. What you are doing looking at who is playing and matchups is called handicapping the game. THAT is NOT how successful sports bettors operate today. They look at things like how 1.5 dogs do and that type of things. It is all numbers today and less specifically what todays game is about. If you don't beleive me ask Mickeycrimm.

What today's game was about:
1. Kelce almost always being distracted. CHECK.
2. KC's lack of a consistent wideout. CHECK.
3. Mahomes continued deterioration as an elite & feared accurate passer. CHECK.
4. Philly being the same superior NFL team that won the SB. CHECK.

1.5 dogs and whatever you meant?? This game had massive value from the start, because it had high +EV. It's the only game I bet on.

Rob, the team lost on a bobbled pass by a point and a half. That's not exactly lock-of-the-year material. Given all of what you said, and I agree with all of it, how do the Eagles win by just a field goal? It's actually mind-blowing that a team with no wideouts stayed in a game with the Eagles, but such is the NFL. I have no words for how the Eagles blew coverages twice in the last five minutes with a 10-point lead. That was stunning.