Just looked at the numbers for the 3 years that I have worked this 1st 2 weeks NFL underdog play.

2025 - 13-15 (4 no plays for me that were either pickem's or +/- 1 pt)
2024 - 15-13 (4 no plays for me)
2023 - 20-12

That is a total of 48-40 for the 3 years. That works out to about a 4% advantage. 4% is lower than the 6% advantage over the last 16 years, but I will take it. That is how variance works.

So tell me again, how this play isn't +EV Bob Dietz. Perhaps you can explain that in the interview that you have pushed off for 2 years and is NEVER going to happen.

And yes, I will definitely be throwing my money on the underdogs + points in the first 2 weeks of 2026. Give me that 4, 5, 6 % EV and advantage. That is what advantage players do. Of course Bob Dietz wouldn't know about this.

BTW, for the last 3 years some of my wagers on this 1st 2 weeks play has been at online sports books (in addition to overflow wagers at books here in Vegas) , contributing towards the rollover requirements for my bonus play. So I have made money off that end also.